Sporting Springfield Pre
Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- Frontier GU11 · 10 teams · Sporting Springfield (all teams)
Next game — Sat Nov 14, 12:30 PM
Betty and Bobby Allison Sports Town, Field 4 ↗
●●●●● Very tough to win
Most likely score 1–3 (expected goals 1.5 for, 3.9 against · 0.41 expected points)
| Season so far | Sporting Springfield Pre | Kansas City Surf Blue Pre |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 8th | 2nd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 2-0-7 | 5-0-1 |
| Points per game | 0.67 | 2.50 |
| Goals for / game | 1.9 | 3.0 |
| Goals against / game | 4.6 | 1.0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 3 |
| Held scoreless | 2 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W L L W L | W W L W W |
| Biggest win | 5–2 vs West Side Alliance Pre- White | 7–0 vs FC Wichita Navy Pre |
| Worst loss | 1–8 vs FC Tulsa Academy Pre- II | 2–4 vs Sporting Springfield Pre |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -1.73 | +0.98 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.71 | -0.96 |
Already played this season: Sat Oct 3 4–2 at Kansas City Surf Blue Pre (W)
Common opponents: Arkansas Comets FC Pre — we 2–5; they 3–1, 2–1. West Side Alliance Pre- White — we 5–2; they 2–0.
Game plan
-
Hard to break down
Kansas City Surf Blue Pre concede only 1.0/game with 3 clean sheet(s).Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.
-
Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–5 vs FC Tulsa Academy Pre, 0–6 at FC Tulsa Academy Pre- II.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
-
Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 10%; a draw (11%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Kansas City Surf Blue Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Sporting Springfield Pre – Kansas City Surf Blue Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 1 other games that week (Mon Nov 9 – Sun Nov 15); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Loss · 0.60 PPG |
8th— holds | 8th— holds | 8th— holds |
| Win 0.90 PPG |
8th— holds | 8th— holds | 8th— holds |
| Draw 0.70 PPG |
8th— holds | 8th— holds | 8th— holds |
| Loss 0.60 PPG |
8th— holds | 8th— holds | 8th— holds |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–3 loss we stay 8th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd
- 3rd
- 4th
- 5th
- 6th <1%
- 7th 3%
- 8th 56%
- 9th 40%
- 10th 1%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 8 remaining known games (max 1.76 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | OK Energy FC Frontier Pre | 3.00 (+2.33) | 2nd (2.27) | 45 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 33 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | Kansas City Surf Blue Pre | 2.50 (+1.83) | 3rd (1.95) | 37 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 3 | FC Wichita Red Pre | 2.29 (+1.62) | 1st (2.31) | 33 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 34 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 4 | FC Tulsa Academy Pre- II | 1.88 (+1.21) | 4th (1.85) | 26 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 5 | FC Tulsa Academy Pre | 1.78 (+1.11) | 5th (1.76) | 25 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 24 for their projection |
| 6 | Arkansas Comets FC Pre | 1.29 (+0.62) | 7th (1.28) | 16 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 16 for their projection |
| 7 | OK Energy FC Frontier Pre- White | 1.20 (+0.53) | 6th (1.45) | 15 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection |
How the results connect
34 chains · 8 teams
Paths of results that link Sporting Springfield Pre to Kansas City Surf Blue Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
11 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.31 · 9th hardest of 10
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Nov 14 12:30 PM |
Kansas City Surf Blue Pre 2nd · 5-0-1 · GD +12 |
Home Betty and Bobby Allison Sports Town |
●●●●● Very tough | 10% |
1–3 | 0.41 | 0.64 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 15 02:00 PM |
FC Wichita Navy Pre 10th · 0-0-5 · GD -36 |
Home Betty and Bobby Allison Sports Town |
●○○○○ Favorable | 87% |
5–1 | 2.68 | 0.83 | Bank it |
| Sun Nov 15 11:00 AM |
FC Wichita Red Pre 3rd · 5-1-1 · GD +15 |
Home Betty and Bobby Allison Sports Town |
●●●●● Very tough | 5% |
1–4 | 0.22 | 0.78 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 22 11:00 AM |
Arkansas Comets FC Pre 6th · 3-0-4 · GD -2 |
Away far trip
Brunner & Lay Soccer Complex |
●●●●● Very tough | 16% |
2–3 | 0.62 | 0.76 | Upside |
| Sat Feb 6 02:00 PM |
FC Wichita Navy Pre 10th · 0-0-5 · GD -36 |
Away far trip
Stryker Soccer Complex |
●○○○○ Favorable | 79% |
4–2 | 2.47 | 0.89 | Bank it |
| Sat Feb 6 11:00 AM |
FC Wichita Red Pre 3rd · 5-1-1 · GD +15 |
Away far trip
Stryker Soccer Complex |
●●●●● Very tough | 3% |
1–5 | 0.13 | 0.84 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 18 01:30 PM |
OK Energy FC Frontier Pre- White 7th · 2-0-3 · GD +3 |
Away far trip
Edmond Soccer Club |
●●●●● Very tough | 10% |
1–3 | 0.42 | 0.81 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 18 10:30 AM |
OK Energy FC Frontier Pre 1st · 5-0-0 · GD +11 |
Away far trip
Edmond Soccer Club |
●●●●● Very tough | 4% |
1–5 | 0.17 | 0.77 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | OK Energy FC Frontier Pre | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 6 | +11 | 15 | 3.00 | WWWWW | -0.08 | -0.22 | 98% | 1.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 vs Arkansas Comets FC Pre · Sat Dec 5 vs FC Wichita Navy Pre · Sat Dec 5 vs FC Wichita Red Pre See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | Kansas City Surf Blue Pre | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 6 | +12 | 15 | 2.50 | WWLWW | -0.96 | +0.16 | 77% | 3.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at FC Wichita Red Pre · Sun Oct 25 at FC Wichita Navy Pre · Sat Nov 14 at Sporting Springfield Pre See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | FC Wichita Red Pre | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 7 | +15 | 16 | 2.29 | LWWDW | +0.85 | -0.73 | 100% | 1.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 10 vs Arkansas Comets FC Pre · Sat Oct 17 at Arkansas Comets FC Pre · Sun Oct 25 vs Kansas City Surf Blue Pre See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | FC Tulsa Academy Pre- II | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 34 | 15 | +19 | 15 | 1.88 | WWLLW | -0.82 | +0.27 | 63% | 4.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at West Side Alliance Pre- White · Sun Nov 15 vs Arkansas Comets FC Pre · Sat Nov 21 at Arkansas Comets FC Pre See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | FC Tulsa Academy Pre | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 10 | +16 | 16 | 1.78 | LDWLL | -0.75 | +0.46 | 51% | 4.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at West Side Alliance Pre- White · Sat Nov 21 at Arkansas Comets FC Pre · Sat Dec 12 at FC Tulsa Academy Pre- II See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | Arkansas Comets FC Pre | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 9 | 1.29 | LWWLL | +0.33 | -0.11 | 2% | 6.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 10 at FC Wichita Navy Pre · Sat Oct 10 at FC Wichita Red Pre · Sat Oct 17 vs FC Wichita Red Pre See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | OK Energy FC Frontier Pre- White | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 6 | 1.20 | LLWWL | -0.08 | -0.07 | 9% | 5.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 vs Arkansas Comets FC Pre · Sat Dec 5 vs FC Wichita Red Pre · Sat Dec 5 vs FC Wichita Navy Pre See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | Sporting Springfield Pre | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 17 | 41 | -24 | 6 | 0.67 | LWLLW | +0.71 | -0.31 | 0% | 8.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 14 vs Kansas City Surf Blue Pre · Sun Nov 15 vs FC Wichita Navy Pre · Sun Nov 15 vs FC Wichita Red Pre See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | West Side Alliance Pre- White | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 3 | 0.43 | LWLLL | +0.39 | +0.10 | 0% | 8.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 13 vs FC Wichita Navy Pre · Sat Oct 24 vs FC Tulsa Academy Pre · Sat Oct 24 vs FC Tulsa Academy Pre- II See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | FC Wichita Navy Pre | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 37 | -36 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +1.21 | +0.14 | 0% | 10.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 13 at West Side Alliance Pre- White · Sat Oct 10 vs Arkansas Comets FC Pre · Sat Oct 17 at Arkansas Comets FC Pre See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.42 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.