FC Wichita Red Pre
Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- Frontier GU11 · 10 teams · FC Wichita (all teams)
Next game — Sun Oct 25, TBD
Venue TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up to win
Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.1 for, 1.4 against · 1.84 expected points)
| Season so far | FC Wichita Red Pre | Kansas City Surf Blue Pre |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 3rd | 2nd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 5-1-1 | 5-0-1 |
| Points per game | 2.29 | 2.50 |
| Goals for / game | 3.1 | 3.0 |
| Goals against / game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W D W W L | W W L W W |
| Biggest win | 6–0 vs FC Tulsa Academy Pre- II | 7–0 vs FC Wichita Navy Pre |
| Worst loss | 0–2 at Kansas City Surf Blue Pre | 2–4 vs Sporting Springfield Pre |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.65 | +0.98 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.85 | -0.96 |
Already played this season: Sun Sep 20 0–2 at Kansas City Surf Blue Pre (L)
Common opponents: West Side Alliance Pre- White — we 4–0; they 2–0.
Game plan
-
Hard to break down
Kansas City Surf Blue Pre concede only 1.0/game with 3 clean sheet(s).Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.
-
Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–2 at Kansas City Surf Blue Pre.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
-
Swing game — small margins
Win 54% / draw 21% / loss 25%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Kansas City Surf Blue Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (FC Wichita Red Pre – Kansas City Surf Blue Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 3 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 2.38 PPG |
2nd▲ up 1 | 2nd▲ up 1 | 2nd▲ up 1 |
| Win 2.38 PPG |
2nd▲ up 1 | 2nd▲ up 1 | 2nd▲ up 1 |
| Draw 2.13 PPG |
3rd— holds | 3rd— holds | 3rd— holds |
| Loss 2.00 PPG |
3rd— holds | 4th▼ down 1 | 4th▼ down 1 |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–1 win we finish as high as 2nd if every rival drops points, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 49%
- 2nd 38%
- 3rd 10%
- 4th 2%
- 5th <1%
- 6th <1%
- 7th
- 8th
- 9th
- 10th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 12 remaining known games (max 2.74 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | OK Energy FC Frontier Pre | 3.00 (+0.71) | 2nd (2.27) | 41 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection |
| 2 | Kansas City Surf Blue Pre | 2.50 (+0.21) | 3rd (1.95) | 32 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection |
How the results connect
25 chains · 7 teams
Paths of results that link FC Wichita Red Pre to Kansas City Surf Blue Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
11 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.73 · 10th hardest of 10
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 10 TBD no score posted |
Arkansas Comets FC Pre 6th · 3-0-4 · GD -2 |
Home |
●○○○○ Favorable | 76% |
3–1 | 2.41 | 2.30 | Bank it |
| Sat Oct 17 TBD no score posted |
Arkansas Comets FC Pre 6th · 3-0-4 · GD -2 |
Away |
●●○○○ Lean win | 67% |
2–1 | 2.18 | 2.29 | Swing game |
| Sun Oct 25 TBD |
Kansas City Surf Blue Pre 2nd · 5-0-1 · GD +12 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 54% |
2–1 | 1.84 | 2.24 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 15 11:00 AM |
Sporting Springfield Pre 8th · 2-0-7 · GD -24 |
Away far trip
Betty and Bobby Allison Sports Town |
●○○○○ Favorable | 88% |
4–1 | 2.71 | 2.28 | Bank it |
| Sat Nov 21 TBD |
West Side Alliance Pre- White 9th · 1-0-6 · GD -14 |
Home |
●○○○○ Favorable | 88% |
4–1 | 2.71 | 2.32 | Bank it |
| Sat Dec 5 03:00 PM |
OK Energy FC Frontier Pre- White 7th · 2-0-3 · GD +3 |
Away far trip
Edmond Soccer Club |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 56% |
2–1 | 1.88 | 2.29 | Swing game |
| Sat Dec 5 09:00 AM |
OK Energy FC Frontier Pre 1st · 5-0-0 · GD +11 |
Away far trip
Edmond Soccer Club |
●●●●○ Tough | 41% |
1–1 | 1.44 | 2.23 | Upside |
| Sat Dec 12 TBD |
FC Wichita Navy Pre 10th · 0-0-5 · GD -36 |
Home |
●○○○○ Favorable | 99% |
7–0 | 2.98 | 2.28 | Bank it |
| Sat Dec 12 TBD |
FC Wichita Navy Pre 10th · 0-0-5 · GD -36 |
Away |
●○○○○ Favorable | 98% |
6–0 | 2.96 | 2.32 | Bank it |
| Sat Feb 6 11:00 AM |
Sporting Springfield Pre 8th · 2-0-7 · GD -24 |
Home Stryker Soccer Complex |
●○○○○ Favorable | 93% |
5–1 | 2.83 | 2.35 | Bank it |
| Sun Apr 11 TBD |
OK Energy FC Frontier Pre- White 7th · 2-0-3 · GD +3 |
Home |
●●○○○ Lean win | 65% |
2–1 | 2.14 | 2.34 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 11 TBD |
OK Energy FC Frontier Pre 1st · 5-0-0 · GD +11 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 51% |
2–1 | 1.73 | 2.31 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | OK Energy FC Frontier Pre | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 6 | +11 | 15 | 3.00 | WWWWW | -0.08 | -0.22 | 98% | 1.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 vs Arkansas Comets FC Pre · Sat Dec 5 vs FC Wichita Navy Pre · Sat Dec 5 vs FC Wichita Red Pre See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Kansas City Surf Blue Pre | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 6 | +12 | 15 | 2.50 | WWLWW | -0.96 | +0.16 | 77% | 3.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at FC Wichita Red Pre · Sun Oct 25 at FC Wichita Navy Pre · Sat Nov 14 at Sporting Springfield Pre See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | FC Wichita Red Pre | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 7 | +15 | 16 | 2.29 | LWWDW | +0.85 | -0.73 | 100% | 1.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 10 vs Arkansas Comets FC Pre · Sat Oct 17 at Arkansas Comets FC Pre · Sun Oct 25 vs Kansas City Surf Blue Pre See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | FC Tulsa Academy Pre- II | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 34 | 15 | +19 | 15 | 1.88 | WWLLW | -0.82 | +0.27 | 65% | 4.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at West Side Alliance Pre- White · Sun Nov 15 vs Arkansas Comets FC Pre · Sat Nov 21 at Arkansas Comets FC Pre See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | FC Tulsa Academy Pre | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 10 | +16 | 16 | 1.78 | LDWLL | -0.75 | +0.46 | 51% | 4.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at West Side Alliance Pre- White · Sat Nov 21 at Arkansas Comets FC Pre · Sat Dec 12 vs FC Tulsa Academy Pre- II See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Arkansas Comets FC Pre | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 9 | 1.29 | LWWLL | +0.33 | -0.11 | 1% | 6.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 10 at FC Wichita Navy Pre · Sat Oct 10 at FC Wichita Red Pre · Sat Oct 17 vs FC Wichita Navy Pre See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | OK Energy FC Frontier Pre- White | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 6 | 1.20 | LLWWL | -0.08 | -0.07 | 9% | 5.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 vs Arkansas Comets FC Pre · Sat Dec 5 vs FC Wichita Red Pre · Sat Dec 5 vs FC Wichita Navy Pre See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Sporting Springfield Pre | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 17 | 41 | -24 | 6 | 0.67 | LWLLW | +0.71 | -0.31 | 0% | 8.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 14 vs Kansas City Surf Blue Pre · Sun Nov 15 vs FC Wichita Navy Pre · Sun Nov 15 vs FC Wichita Red Pre See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | West Side Alliance Pre- White | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 3 | 0.43 | LWLLL | +0.39 | +0.10 | 0% | 8.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 13 vs FC Wichita Navy Pre · Sat Oct 24 vs FC Tulsa Academy Pre · Sat Oct 24 vs FC Tulsa Academy Pre- II See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | FC Wichita Navy Pre | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 37 | -36 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +1.21 | +0.14 | 0% | 10.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 13 at West Side Alliance Pre- White · Sat Oct 10 vs Arkansas Comets FC Pre · Sat Oct 17 at Arkansas Comets FC Pre See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.42 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.