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Pride SC Pre- Predators

Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- Colorado GU12 · 7 teams · Pride SC (all teams)

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7th
0-0-2 record · 2 played
0.00 points per game
-7 goal diff · 1–8
LLlast 2
2% chance of top 4 · expected finish 6.4
+0.57 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Nov 1, 11:00 AM

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Pride SC Pre- Predators
7th · 0.00 PPG
vs

Pride Soccer Complex, Field 4 North ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.1 for, 2.2 against · 0.71 expected points)

Season so farPride SC Pre- PredatorsColorado Rush Pre- Blue
Position7th3rd
Record (W-D-L)0-0-22-0-0
Points per game0.003.00
Goals for / game0.51.5
Goals against / game4.00.5
Clean sheets01
Held scoreless10
Form (recent first)L LW W
Biggest win—2–1 at Colorado EDGE Pre- Select
Worst loss1–5 at Real Colorado Pre- Athletico—
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-1.26+0.30
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.57-0.68

Game plan

  • Hard to break down
    Colorado Rush Pre- Blue concede only 0.5/game with 1 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–3 vs Colorado Storm Pre- ELITE.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 17%; a draw (19%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • What a win does
    Colorado EDGE Pre- Select sit 6th on 0.00 PPG; we are on 0.00.

    A point moves us above Colorado EDGE Pre- Select on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Colorado Rush Pre- Blue game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Pride SC Pre- Predators – Colorado Rush Pre- Blue) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 2 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.00 PPG
7th— holds 7th— holds 7th— holds
Win
1.00 PPG
5th▲ up 2 5th▲ up 2 6th▲ up 1
Draw
0.33 PPG
5th▲ up 2 5th▲ up 2 6th▲ up 1
Loss
0.00 PPG
7th— holds 7th— holds 7th— holds

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we stay 7th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
2% top 4
98% below the top 4
6.4 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd <1%
  4. 4th 1%
  5. 5th 12%
  6. 6th 35%
  7. 7th 51%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 4 remaining known games (max 2.00 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Real Colorado Pre- National 3.00 (+3.00) 1st (2.37) 18 of 12 pts to pass their current pace, 15 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Real Colorado Pre- Athletico 3.00 (+3.00) 3rd (1.95) 18 of 12 pts to pass their current pace, 12 for their projection
3 Colorado Rush Pre- Blue 3.00 (+3.00) 2nd (1.96) 18 of 12 pts to pass their current pace, 12 for their projection
4 Colorado Storm Pre- ELITE 1.50 (+1.50) 4th (1.61) 9 of 12 pts to pass their current pace, 10 for their projection
5 Arsenal Colorado Pre- Academy 0.00 (+0.00) 5th (1.04) Already ahead
6 Colorado EDGE Pre- Select 0.00 (+0.00) 6th (0.59) Already ahead

Position over the season

2 game days

1st 4th 7th Sep 20 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.04 · 3rd hardest of 7

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Nov 1
11:00 AM
Colorado Rush Pre- Blue
3rd · 2-0-0 · GD +2
Home
Pride Soccer Complex
●●●●● Very tough
17%
1–2 0.71 0.24 Upside
Sun Nov 15
10:30 AM
Real Colorado Pre- National
1st · 2-0-0 · GD +7
Away far trip
Highland Heritage Regional Park
●●●●● Very tough
4%
1–4 0.20 0.23 Upside
Sun Nov 22
11:30 AM
Colorado EDGE Pre- Select
6th · 0-0-2 · GD -7
Away far trip
Long Lake Regional Park · turf
●●●●○ Tough
32%
1–2 1.15 0.41 Upside
Sat Mar 20
11:00 AM
Arsenal Colorado Pre- Academy
5th · 0-0-1 · GD -1
Home
Pride Soccer Complex
●●●●○ Tough
26%
1–1 1.00 0.51 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Real Colorado Pre- National 2200 92+7 63.00 WW -0.47 -0.10 100% 1.6
2 Real Colorado Pre- Athletico 1100 51+4 33.00 W -1.26 +0.11 93% 2.6
3 Colorado Rush Pre- Blue 2200 31+2 63.00 WW -0.68 +0.30 95% 2.8
4 Colorado Storm Pre- ELITE 2101 42+2 31.50 LW -0.09 -0.09 82% 3.5
5 Arsenal Colorado Pre- Academy 1001 01-1 00.00 L +0.30 -0.00 25% 5.0
6 Colorado EDGE Pre- Select 2002 29-7 00.00 LL +0.84 -0.08 3% 6.2
7 Pride SC Pre- Predators 2002 18-7 00.00 LL +0.57 +0.04 2% 6.4

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.90 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.