Colorado Rush Pre- Blue
Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- Colorado GU12 · 7 teams · Colorado Rush (all teams)
Next game — Sun Nov 1, 11:00 AM
Pride Soccer Complex, Field 4 North ↗ far trip
●●○○○ Lean win to win
Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.2 for, 1.1 against · 2.09 expected points)
| Season so far | Colorado Rush Pre- Blue | Pride SC Pre- Predators |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 3rd | 7th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 2-0-0 | 0-0-2 |
| Points per game | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| Goals for / game | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| Goals against / game | 0.5 | 4.0 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | W W | L L |
| Biggest win | 2–1 at Colorado EDGE Pre- Select | — |
| Worst loss | — | 1–5 at Real Colorado Pre- Athletico |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.30 | -1.26 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.68 | +0.57 |
Game plan
-
They struggle to score
Pride SC Pre- Predators average 0.5 goals/game (league avg 1.9); blanked in 1 of 2.A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
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They leak goals — be greedy
Pride SC Pre- Predators concede 4.0/game; worst result 1–5 at Real Colorado Pre- Athletico.Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.
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Swing game — small margins
Win 63% / draw 19% / loss 17%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
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Away game
Kickoff 11:00 AM at Pride Soccer Complex.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
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What a win does
Real Colorado Pre- Athletico sit 2nd on 3.00 PPG; we are on 3.00.A win moves us above Real Colorado Pre- Athletico on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Pride SC Pre- Predators game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Colorado Rush Pre- Blue – Pride SC Pre- Predators) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 2 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 3.00 PPG |
3rd— holds | 2nd▲ up 1 | 3rd— holds |
| Win 3.00 PPG |
3rd— holds | 2nd▲ up 1 | 3rd— holds |
| Draw 2.33 PPG |
3rd— holds | 2nd▲ up 1 | 3rd— holds |
| Loss 2.00 PPG |
3rd— holds | 3rd— holds | 4th▼ down 1 |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–1 win we finish as high as 1st if every rival drops points, and as low as 3rd if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 14%
- 2nd 27%
- 3rd 29%
- 4th 25%
- 5th 5%
- 6th <1%
- 7th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 4 remaining known games (max 3.00 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Colorado Pre- National | 3.00 (+0.00) | 1st (2.37) | Win next game |
| 2 | Real Colorado Pre- Athletico | 3.00 (+0.00) | 3rd (1.95) | Win next game |
Position over the season
2 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.30 · 1st hardest of 7
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Nov 1 11:00 AM |
Pride SC Pre- Predators 7th · 0-0-2 · GD -7 |
Away far trip
Pride Soccer Complex |
●●○○○ Lean win | 63% |
2–1 | 2.09 | 2.70 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 22 10:30 AM |
Real Colorado Pre- National 1st · 2-0-0 · GD +7 |
Home Collegiate Academy of Colorado · turf |
●●●●○ Tough | 29% |
1–1 | 1.10 | 2.30 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 20 TBD |
Real Colorado Pre- Athletico 2nd · 1-0-0 · GD +4 |
Home |
●●●●○ Tough | 37% |
1–1 | 1.35 | 2.11 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 21 01:30 PM |
Colorado Storm Pre- ELITE 4th · 1-0-1 · GD +2 |
Away far trip
Regis University |
●●●●○ Tough | 32% |
1–1 | 1.22 | 1.96 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Colorado Pre- National | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | +7 | 6 | 3.00 | WW | -0.47 | -0.10 | 100% | 1.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 vs Arsenal Colorado Pre- Academy · Sun Nov 15 vs Pride SC Pre- Predators · Sun Nov 22 at Colorado Rush Pre- Blue See all 4 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Real Colorado Pre- Athletico | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | +4 | 3 | 3.00 | W | -1.26 | +0.11 | 93% | 2.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 at Colorado Storm Pre- ELITE · Sun Nov 15 vs Colorado EDGE Pre- Select · Sun Nov 22 vs Arsenal Colorado Pre- Academy See all 5 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Colorado Rush Pre- Blue | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 6 | 3.00 | WW | -0.68 | +0.30 | 95% | 2.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 at Pride SC Pre- Predators · Sun Nov 22 vs Real Colorado Pre- National · Sat Mar 20 vs Real Colorado Pre- Athletico See all 4 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Colorado Storm Pre- ELITE | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 1.50 | LW | -0.09 | -0.09 | 82% | 3.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 vs Real Colorado Pre- Athletico · Sun Nov 15 at Arsenal Colorado Pre- Academy · Sun Mar 21 vs Colorado Rush Pre- Blue See all 4 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Arsenal Colorado Pre- Academy | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | L | +0.30 | -0.00 | 25% | 5.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 at Real Colorado Pre- National · Sun Nov 15 vs Colorado Storm Pre- ELITE · Sun Nov 22 at Real Colorado Pre- Athletico See all 5 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Colorado EDGE Pre- Select | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | -7 | 0 | 0.00 | LL | +0.84 | -0.08 | 3% | 6.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 15 at Real Colorado Pre- Athletico · Sun Nov 22 vs Pride SC Pre- Predators · Sun Mar 14 at Arsenal Colorado Pre- Academy See all 4 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Pride SC Pre- Predators | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -7 | 0 | 0.00 | LL | +0.57 | +0.04 | 2% | 6.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 vs Colorado Rush Pre- Blue · Sun Nov 15 at Real Colorado Pre- National · Sun Nov 22 at Colorado EDGE Pre- Select See all 4 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.90 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.