SDSC Surf Pre- Silver II
Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Southern Cal BU12 · 9 teams · SDSC Surf (all teams)
Next game — Sun Oct 25, 09:00 AM
Alliant International University, Field 1 ↗
●●●●● Very tough to win
Most likely score 1–3 (expected goals 1.8 for, 3.9 against · 0.51 expected points)
| Season so far | SDSC Surf Pre- Silver II | Sporting California USA Pre- NAVY II |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 9th | 2nd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 0-0-4 | 4-0-0 |
| Points per game | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| Goals for / game | 1.0 | 5.0 |
| Goals against / game | 3.5 | 1.5 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | L L L L | W W W |
| Biggest win | — | 9–1 vs West Coast FC Pre- White II |
| Worst loss | 0–4 vs LA Breakers Pre- Red II | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -0.95 | +1.76 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.88 | -0.94 |
Already played this season: Sun Oct 18 2–4 at Sporting California USA Pre- NAVY II (L)
Game plan
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Respect their attack
Sporting California USA Pre- NAVY II score 5.0/game — well above the league's 3.1.Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.
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Hard to break down
Sporting California USA Pre- NAVY II concede only 1.5/game with 0 clean sheet(s).Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–4 vs LA Breakers Pre- Red II.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 13%; a draw (12%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
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They arrive in form
Sporting California USA Pre- NAVY II have won 3 straight.Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.
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Early kickoff
Game time 09:00 AM.Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.
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What a win does
Eagles SC Eagles SC Pre- White II sit 8th on 0.60 PPG; we are on 0.00.A win moves us above Eagles SC Eagles SC Pre- White II on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Sporting California USA Pre- NAVY II game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (SDSC Surf Pre- Silver II – Sporting California USA Pre- NAVY II) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 0 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Loss · 0.00 PPG |
9th— holds | 9th— holds | 9th— holds |
| Win 0.60 PPG |
8th▲ up 1 | 8th▲ up 1 | 8th▲ up 1 |
| Draw 0.20 PPG |
9th— holds | 9th— holds | 9th— holds |
| Loss 0.00 PPG |
9th— holds | 9th— holds | 9th— holds |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–3 loss we stay 9th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd <1%
- 3rd <1%
- 4th 1%
- 5th 3%
- 6th 11%
- 7th 34%
- 8th 30%
- 9th 22%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 15 remaining known games (max 2.37 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Beach Futbol Club Pre- Black II | 3.00 (+3.00) | 1st (2.59) | 57 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 50 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | Sporting California USA Pre- NAVY II | 3.00 (+3.00) | 2nd (2.32) | 57 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 45 for their projection |
| 3 | Pateadores Pre- Gold II | 1.80 (+1.80) | 4th (1.64) | 35 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection |
| 4 | Legends FC PRE Gold II | 1.75 (+1.75) | 3rd (1.67) | 34 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection |
| 5 | CDA Slammers FC Pre Black II | 1.50 (+1.50) | 6th (1.33) | 29 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection |
| 6 | Rebels SC Pre- Blue II | 1.00 (+1.00) | 5th (1.40) | 19 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection |
| 7 | West Coast FC Pre- White II | 1.00 (+1.00) | 8th (0.71) | 19 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 14 for their projection |
| 8 | Eagles SC Eagles SC Pre- White II | 0.60 (+0.60) | 9th (0.69) | Win next game |
How the results connect
1 chain · 2 teams
Paths of results that link SDSC Surf Pre- Silver II to Sporting California USA Pre- NAVY II through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
5 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.01 · 6th hardest of 9
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Oct 4 10:30 AM no score posted |
CDA Slammers FC Pre Black II 5th · 2-0-2 · GD -2 |
Away far trip
Santiago Charter Middle School |
●●●●○ Tough | 26% |
1–2 | 0.99 | 0.20 | Upside |
| Sun Oct 25 09:00 AM |
Sporting California USA Pre- NAVY II 2nd · 4-0-0 · GD +14 |
Home Alliant International University |
●●●●● Very tough | 13% |
1–3 | 0.51 | 0.25 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 8 02:00 PM |
Beach Futbol Club Pre- Black II 1st · 4-0-0 · GD +20 |
Home Willow Grove Elementary School |
●●●●● Very tough | 8% |
1–4 | 0.32 | 0.26 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 22 10:30 AM |
Rebels SC Pre- Blue II 6th · 1-0-2 · GD +0 |
Away far trip
Southwestern College |
●●●●● Very tough | 22% |
1–2 | 0.85 | 0.33 | Upside |
| Sun Dec 13 10:30 AM |
Pateadores Pre- Blue II |
Home Willow Grove Elementary School |
●●●●○ Tough | 31% |
2–2 | 1.10 | 0.42 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 14 TBD |
West Coast FC Pre- White II 7th · 1-0-2 · GD -12 |
Away |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.61 | 0.54 | Swing game |
| Sun Mar 21 TBD |
Pateadores Pre- Gold II 3rd · 3-0-2 · GD +1 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 19% |
2–4 | 0.69 | 0.55 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 28 01:30 PM |
Legends FC PRE Gold II 4th · 2-1-1 · GD +8 |
Away far trip
Silverlakes Complex |
●●●●● Very tough | 15% |
2–4 | 0.55 | 0.55 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 4 TBD |
Pateadores Pre- Gold II 3rd · 3-0-2 · GD +1 |
Home |
●●●●○ Tough | 28% |
2–3 | 1.01 | 0.59 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 11 TBD |
Legends FC PRE Gold II 4th · 2-1-1 · GD +8 |
Home |
●●●●● Very tough | 23% |
2–3 | 0.84 | 0.60 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 25 TBD |
West Coast FC Pre- White II 7th · 1-0-2 · GD -12 |
Home |
●●○○○ Lean win | 58% |
2–1 | 1.92 | 0.69 | Swing game |
| Sun May 2 TBD |
Empire Surf Pre- II |
Home |
●●●●○ Tough | 31% |
2–2 | 1.10 | 0.72 | Upside |
| Sat May 8 TBD |
Rebels SC Pre- Blue II 6th · 1-0-2 · GD +0 |
Home |
●●●●○ Tough | 31% |
1–2 | 1.12 | 0.74 | Upside |
| Sun May 9 TBD |
Eagles SC Eagles SC Pre- White II 8th · 1-0-4 · GD -17 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 56% |
3–2 | 1.84 | 0.80 | Swing game |
| Sun May 16 TBD |
CDA Slammers FC Pre Black II 5th · 2-0-2 · GD -2 |
Home |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
1–1 | 1.26 | 0.83 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Beach Futbol Club Pre- Black II | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 4 | +20 | 12 | 3.00 | WWW | -0.36 | -0.24 | 100% | 1.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 4 at West Coast FC Pre- White II · Sun Nov 1 at Pateadores Pre- Gold II · Sun Nov 8 at SDSC Surf Pre- Silver II See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Sporting California USA Pre- NAVY II | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 6 | +14 | 12 | 3.00 | WWW | -0.94 | -0.03 | 100% | 1.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 4 vs LAFC Pre White II · Sun Oct 25 at SDSC Surf Pre- Silver II · Sun Nov 1 vs Eagles SC Eagles SC Pre- White II See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Pateadores Pre- Gold II | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 21 | +1 | 9 | 1.80 | LLWWW | -0.15 | +0.03 | 71% | 4.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Rebels SC Pre- White II · Sun Nov 1 vs Beach Futbol Club Pre- Black II · Sun Nov 8 vs Legends FC - Del Mar Pre Silver See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Legends FC PRE Gold II | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 14 | +8 | 7 | 1.75 | WWL | -1.24 | +0.18 | 72% | 3.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 4 vs Rebels SC Pre- Blue II · Sun Oct 25 vs San Diego Surf Pre- Black II · Sun Nov 1 at CDA Slammers FC Pre Black II See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | CDA Slammers FC Pre Black II | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 | 1.50 | LLWW | -0.38 | +0.14 | 24% | 5.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 4 vs SDSC Surf Pre- Silver II · Sun Nov 1 vs Legends FC PRE Gold II · Sun Nov 8 vs West Coast FC Pre- White II See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Rebels SC Pre- Blue II | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | +0 | 3 | 1.00 | LWL | +0.53 | -0.09 | 32% | 5.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 4 at Legends FC PRE Gold II · Sun Oct 18 vs West Coast FC Pre- White II · Sun Nov 8 at Sporting California USA Pre- NAVY II See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | West Coast FC Pre- White II | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 14 | -12 | 3 | 1.00 | WLL | +0.57 | +0.14 | 0% | 7.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 4 vs Beach Futbol Club Pre- Black II · Sun Oct 18 at Rebels SC Pre- Blue II · Sun Oct 25 vs Legends FC - Del Mar Pre Silver See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Eagles SC Eagles SC Pre- White II | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 31 | -17 | 3 | 0.60 | WLLLL | +0.08 | +0.29 | 0% | 8.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 at Sporting California USA Pre- NAVY II · Sun Nov 15 vs San Diego Surf Pre- Black II · Sun Nov 22 vs Pateadores Pre- Gold II See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | SDSC Surf Pre- Silver II | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 14 | -10 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLL | +0.88 | -0.01 | 1% | 7.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 4 at CDA Slammers FC Pre Black II · Sun Oct 25 vs Sporting California USA Pre- NAVY II · Sun Nov 8 vs Beach Futbol Club Pre- Black II See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (3.13 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.