Beach Futbol Club Pre- Black II
Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Southern Cal BU12 · 9 teams · Beach Futbol Club (all teams)
Next game — Sun Nov 1, 09:40 AM
Grant Howald, Field 1 ↗ far trip
●●○○○ Lean win to win
Most likely score 5–2 (expected goals 5.2 for, 2.7 against · 2.35 expected points)
| Season so far | Beach Futbol Club Pre- Black II | Pateadores Pre- Gold II |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 1st | 3rd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 4-0-0 | 3-0-2 |
| Points per game | 3.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals for / game | 6.0 | 4.4 |
| Goals against / game | 1.0 | 4.2 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W | W W W L L |
| Biggest win | 9–1 vs Pateadores Pre- Gold II | 5–0 at West Coast FC Pre- White II |
| Worst loss | — | 1–9 at Beach Futbol Club Pre- Black II |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +2.60 | +0.20 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.36 | -0.15 |
Already played this season: Sun Sep 13 9–1 vs Pateadores Pre- Gold II (W)
Game plan
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Respect their attack
Pateadores Pre- Gold II score 4.4/game — well above the league's 3.1.Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.
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Expected win — the trap is complacency
Model gives a 75% chance; likely score 5–2.Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.
-
They arrive in form
Pateadores Pre- Gold II have won 3 straight.Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.
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Away game
Kickoff 09:40 AM at Grant Howald.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
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Early kickoff
Game time 09:40 AM.Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Pateadores Pre- Gold II game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Beach Futbol Club Pre- Black II – Pateadores Pre- Gold II) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 2 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 3.00 PPG |
1st— holds | 1st— holds | 1st— holds |
| Win 3.00 PPG |
1st— holds | 1st— holds | 1st— holds |
| Draw 2.60 PPG |
2nd▼ down 1 | 2nd▼ down 1 | 2nd▼ down 1 |
| Loss 2.40 PPG |
2nd▼ down 1 | 2nd▼ down 1 | 2nd▼ down 1 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 5–2 win we stay 1st even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 77%
- 2nd 23%
- 3rd 1%
- 4th
- 5th
- 6th
- 7th
- 8th
- 9th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
Top of the table. The job is to stay there: see the path below for where points are most at risk.
How the results connect
5 chains · 7 teams
Paths of results that link Beach Futbol Club Pre- Black II to Pateadores Pre- Gold II through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
5 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.24 · 9th hardest of 9
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Oct 4 12:00 PM no score posted |
West Coast FC Pre- White II 7th · 1-0-2 · GD -12 |
Away far trip
Robert A Curtis Park |
●○○○○ Favorable | 91% |
5–1 | 2.79 | 2.96 | Bank it |
| Sun Nov 1 09:40 AM |
Pateadores Pre- Gold II 3rd · 3-0-2 · GD +1 |
Away far trip
Grant Howald |
●●○○○ Lean win | 75% |
5–2 | 2.35 | 2.86 | Bank it |
| Sun Nov 8 02:00 PM |
SDSC Surf Pre- Silver II 9th · 0-0-4 · GD -10 |
Away far trip
Willow Grove Elementary School |
●○○○○ Favorable | 84% |
4–1 | 2.60 | 2.82 | Bank it |
| Sun Nov 15 TBD |
Sporting California USA Pre- NAVY II 2nd · 4-0-0 · GD +14 |
Away |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 49% |
3–2 | 1.64 | 2.67 | Swing game |
| Sun Dec 13 12:00 PM |
Legends FC PRE Gold II 4th · 2-1-1 · GD +8 |
Away far trip
Silverlakes Complex |
●●○○○ Lean win | 69% |
4–2 | 2.19 | 2.62 | Swing game |
| Sun Mar 14 TBD |
SDSC Surf Pre- Orange II |
Home |
●○○○○ Favorable | 84% |
4–1 | 2.59 | 2.62 | Bank it |
| Sun Mar 21 TBD |
Pateadores Pre- Blue II |
Home |
●○○○○ Favorable | 84% |
4–1 | 2.59 | 2.61 | Bank it |
| Sun Mar 28 TBD |
CDA Slammers FC Pre Black II 5th · 2-0-2 · GD -2 |
Home |
●○○○○ Favorable | 82% |
3–1 | 2.55 | 2.61 | Bank it |
| Sun Apr 4 TBD |
Eagles SC Eagles SC Pre- White II 8th · 1-0-4 · GD -17 |
Home |
●○○○○ Favorable | 96% |
7–1 | 2.91 | 2.63 | Bank it |
| Sun Apr 11 TBD |
West Coast FC Pre- White II 7th · 1-0-2 · GD -12 |
Home |
●○○○○ Favorable | 95% |
6–1 | 2.89 | 2.65 | Bank it |
| Sun Apr 18 TBD |
Sporting California USA Pre- NAVY II 2nd · 4-0-0 · GD +14 |
Home |
●●○○○ Lean win | 62% |
3–2 | 2.00 | 2.61 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 25 10:30 AM |
Rebels SC Pre- Blue II 6th · 1-0-2 · GD +0 |
Away far trip
Southwestern College |
●●○○○ Lean win | 70% |
3–1 | 2.24 | 2.58 | Bank it |
| Sun May 2 TBD |
Rebels SC Pre- Blue II 6th · 1-0-2 · GD +0 |
Home |
●○○○○ Favorable | 79% |
3–1 | 2.48 | 2.58 | Bank it |
| Sat May 8 10:30 AM |
Eagles SC Eagles SC Pre- White II 8th · 1-0-4 · GD -17 |
Away far trip
Pleasant Valley Fields |
●○○○○ Favorable | 93% |
6–2 | 2.82 | 2.59 | Bank it |
| Sun May 9 TBD |
LAFC Pre White II |
Home |
●○○○○ Favorable | 84% |
4–1 | 2.59 | 2.59 | Bank it |
| Sun May 16 TBD |
Legends FC PRE Gold II 4th · 2-1-1 · GD +8 |
Home |
●○○○○ Favorable | 80% |
5–2 | 2.49 | 2.59 | Bank it |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Beach Futbol Club Pre- Black II | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 4 | +20 | 12 | 3.00 | WWW | -0.36 | -0.24 | 100% | 1.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 4 at West Coast FC Pre- White II · Sun Nov 1 at Pateadores Pre- Gold II · Sun Nov 8 at SDSC Surf Pre- Silver II See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Sporting California USA Pre- NAVY II | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 6 | +14 | 12 | 3.00 | WWW | -0.94 | -0.03 | 100% | 1.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 4 vs LAFC Pre White II · Sun Oct 25 at SDSC Surf Pre- Silver II · Sun Nov 1 vs Eagles SC Eagles SC Pre- White II See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Pateadores Pre- Gold II | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 21 | +1 | 9 | 1.80 | LLWWW | -0.15 | +0.03 | 71% | 4.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Rebels SC Pre- White II · Sun Nov 1 vs Beach Futbol Club Pre- Black II · Sun Nov 8 vs Legends FC - Del Mar Pre Silver See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Legends FC PRE Gold II | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 14 | +8 | 7 | 1.75 | WWL | -1.24 | +0.18 | 71% | 4.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 4 vs Rebels SC Pre- Blue II · Sun Oct 25 vs San Diego Surf Pre- Black II · Sun Nov 1 at CDA Slammers FC Pre Black II See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | CDA Slammers FC Pre Black II | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 | 1.50 | LLWW | -0.38 | +0.14 | 23% | 5.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 4 vs SDSC Surf Pre- Silver II · Sun Nov 1 vs Legends FC PRE Gold II · Sun Nov 8 vs West Coast FC Pre- White II See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Rebels SC Pre- Blue II | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | +0 | 3 | 1.00 | LWL | +0.53 | -0.09 | 33% | 5.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 4 at Legends FC PRE Gold II · Sun Oct 18 vs West Coast FC Pre- White II · Sun Nov 8 at Sporting California USA Pre- NAVY II See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | West Coast FC Pre- White II | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 14 | -12 | 3 | 1.00 | WLL | +0.57 | +0.14 | 0% | 8.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 4 vs Beach Futbol Club Pre- Black II · Sun Oct 18 at Rebels SC Pre- Blue II · Sun Oct 25 vs Legends FC - Del Mar Pre Silver See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Eagles SC Eagles SC Pre- White II | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 31 | -17 | 3 | 0.60 | WLLLL | +0.08 | +0.29 | 0% | 8.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 at Sporting California USA Pre- NAVY II · Sun Nov 15 vs San Diego Surf Pre- Black II · Sun Nov 22 vs Pateadores Pre- Gold II See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | SDSC Surf Pre- Silver II | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 14 | -10 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLL | +0.88 | -0.01 | 1% | 7.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 4 at CDA Slammers FC Pre Black II · Sun Oct 25 vs Sporting California USA Pre- NAVY II · Sun Nov 8 vs Beach Futbol Club Pre- Black II See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (3.13 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.