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Eagles SC Eagles SC Pre- White II

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Southern Cal BU12 · 9 teams · Eagles SC (all teams)

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8th
1-0-4 record · 5 played
0.60 points per game
-17 goal diff · 14–31
WLLLLlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 8.1
+0.08 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Nov 1, TBD

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Eagles SC Eagles SC Pre- White II
8th · 0.60 PPG
at

Venue TBD

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 2–7 (expected goals 2.1 for, 7.1 against · 0.15 expected points)

Season so farEagles SC Eagles SC Pre- White IISporting California USA Pre- NAVY II
Position8th2nd
Record (W-D-L)1-0-44-0-0
Points per game0.603.00
Goals for / game2.85.0
Goals against / game6.21.5
Clean sheets00
Held scoreless00
Form (recent first)L L L L WW W W
Biggest win2–1 vs SDSC Surf Pre- Silver II9–1 vs West Coast FC Pre- White II
Worst loss2–9 vs Legends FC PRE Gold II—
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-2.06+1.76
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.08-0.94

Common opponents: SDSC Surf Pre- Silver II — we 2–1; they 4–2.

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    Sporting California USA Pre- NAVY II score 5.0/game — well above the league's 3.1.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Hard to break down
    Sporting California USA Pre- NAVY II concede only 1.5/game with 0 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 4%; a draw (4%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • They arrive in form
    Sporting California USA Pre- NAVY II have won 3 straight.

    Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.

  • Away game
    Kickoff TBD at TBD.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    West Coast FC Pre- White II sit 7th on 1.00 PPG; we are on 0.60.

    A win moves us above West Coast FC Pre- White II on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Sporting California USA Pre- NAVY II game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Eagles SC Eagles SC Pre- White II – Sporting California USA Pre- NAVY II) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 2 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.50 PPG
8th— holds 8th— holds 8th— holds
Win
1.00 PPG
8th— holds 8th— holds 8th— holds
Draw
0.67 PPG
8th— holds 8th— holds 8th— holds
Loss
0.50 PPG
8th— holds 8th— holds 8th— holds

Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–7 loss we stay 8th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
8.1 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th <1%
  5. 5th 1%
  6. 6th 4%
  7. 7th 19%
  8. 8th 33%
  9. 9th 43%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 14 remaining known games (max 2.37 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Beach Futbol Club Pre- Black II 3.00 (+2.40) 1st (2.59) 54 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 47 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Sporting California USA Pre- NAVY II 3.00 (+2.40) 2nd (2.32) 54 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 42 for their projection
3 Pateadores Pre- Gold II 1.80 (+1.20) 4th (1.64) 32 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection
4 Legends FC PRE Gold II 1.75 (+1.15) 3rd (1.67) 31 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection
5 CDA Slammers FC Pre Black II 1.50 (+0.90) 6th (1.33) 26 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection
6 Rebels SC Pre- Blue II 1.00 (+0.40) 5th (1.40) Win next game
7 West Coast FC Pre- White II 1.00 (+0.40) 8th (0.71) Win next game

How the results connect

5 chains · 7 teams

Paths of results that link Eagles SC Eagles SC Pre- White II to Sporting California USA Pre- NAVY II through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

0 favour us
5 favour them
-5.8 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
2–1 2–4 1–3 2–0 1–3 6–9 5–0 1–9 0–4 0–1 Eagles SC Eagles SC… 8th SDSC Surf Pre- Silv… 9th CDA Slammers FC Pre… 5th Pateadores Pre- Gol… 3rd Rebels SC Pre- Blue… 6th West Coast FC Pre- … 7th Sporting California… 2nd

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

5 chains

Position over the season

5 game days

1st 5th 9th Sep 13 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 4 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.29 · 1st hardest of 9

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Nov 1
TBD
Sporting California USA Pre- NAVY II
2nd · 4-0-0 · GD +14
Away
●●●●● Very tough
4%
2–7 0.15 0.52 Upside
Sun Nov 15
10:30 AM
San Diego Surf Pre- Black II
Home
Pleasant Valley Fields
●●●●● Very tough
23%
3–4 0.82 0.57 Upside
Sun Nov 22
10:30 AM
Pateadores Pre- Gold II
3rd · 3-0-2 · GD +1
Home
Pleasant Valley Fields
●●●●● Very tough
20%
3–5 0.72 0.59 Upside
Sun Dec 13
10:30 AM
Rebels SC Pre- Blue II
6th · 1-0-2 · GD +0
Home
Pleasant Valley Fields
●●●●● Very tough
24%
2–3 0.86 0.62 Upside
Sun Mar 14
10:30 AM
Pateadores Pre- Blue II
Home
Pleasant Valley Fields
●●●●● Very tough
23%
3–4 0.82 0.64 Upside
Sun Mar 28
10:30 AM
West Coast FC Pre- White II
7th · 1-0-2 · GD -12
Home
Pleasant Valley Fields
●●●○○ Toss-up
55%
3–2 1.80 0.74 Swing game
Sun Apr 4
TBD
Beach Futbol Club Pre- Black II
1st · 4-0-0 · GD +20
Away
●●●●● Very tough
2%
1–7 0.07 0.69 Upside
Sun Apr 11
10:30 AM
Sporting California USA Pre- NAVY II
2nd · 4-0-0 · GD +14
Home
*Pleasant Valley Fields
●●●●● Very tough
7%
2–6 0.28 0.65 Upside
Sun Apr 18
TBD
CDA Slammers FC Pre Black II
5th · 2-0-2 · GD -2
Away
●●●●● Very tough
20%
2–3 0.74 0.66 Upside
Sun Apr 25
10:30 AM
SDSC Surf Pre- Orange II
Home
*Pleasant Valley Fields
●●●●● Very tough
23%
3–4 0.82 0.67 Upside
Sun May 2
TBD
West Coast FC Pre- White II
7th · 1-0-2 · GD -12
Away
●●●●○ Tough
42%
3–3 1.42 0.72 Upside
Sat May 8
10:30 AM
Beach Futbol Club Pre- Black II
1st · 4-0-0 · GD +20
Home
Pleasant Valley Fields
●●●●● Very tough
3%
2–6 0.14 0.68 Upside
Sun May 9
TBD
SDSC Surf Pre- Silver II
9th · 0-0-4 · GD -10
Away
●●●●○ Tough
28%
2–3 1.00 0.70 Upside
Sun May 16
10:30 AM
Rebels SC Pre- Blue II
6th · 1-0-2 · GD +0
Away far trip
Southwestern College
●●●●● Very tough
15%
2–4 0.58 0.69 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Beach Futbol Club Pre- Black II 4400 244+20 123.00 WWW -0.36 -0.24 100% 1.2
2 Sporting California USA Pre- NAVY II 4400 206+14 123.00 WWW -0.94 -0.03 100% 1.9
3 Pateadores Pre- Gold II 5302 2221+1 91.80 LLWWW -0.15 +0.03 72% 4.0
4 Legends FC PRE Gold II 4211 2214+8 71.75 WWL -1.24 +0.18 72% 4.0
5 CDA Slammers FC Pre Black II 4202 57-2 61.50 LLWW -0.38 +0.14 25% 5.3
6 Rebels SC Pre- Blue II 3102 55+0 31.00 LWL +0.53 -0.09 31% 5.1
7 West Coast FC Pre- White II 3102 214-12 31.00 WLL +0.57 +0.14 0% 7.9
8 Eagles SC Eagles SC Pre- White II 5104 1431-17 30.60 WLLLL +0.08 +0.29 0% 8.1
9 SDSC Surf Pre- Silver II 4004 414-10 00.00 LLLL +0.88 -0.01 1% 7.6

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (3.13 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.