Rebels SC Pre- White II
Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Southern Cal BU12 · 9 teams · Rebels Soccer Club (all teams)
Next game — Sun Nov 1, 01:30 PM
Surf Sports Park, Field 3 ↗ far trip
●●○○○ Lean win to win
Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.7 for, 1.5 against · 2.05 expected points)
| Season so far | Rebels SC Pre- White II | San Diego Surf Pre- Black II |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 3rd | 7th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 3-0-1 | 1-0-3 |
| Points per game | 2.25 | 0.75 |
| Goals for / game | 2.8 | 1.3 |
| Goals against / game | 1.5 | 3.0 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W L | L L W L |
| Biggest win | 3–0 vs CDA Slammers FC Pre White II | 2–0 at CDA Slammers FC Pre White II |
| Worst loss | 1–2 vs LAFC Pre White II | 0–4 vs Pateadores Pre- Blue II |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.78 | -0.72 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.43 | +0.13 |
Common opponents: Pateadores Pre- Blue II — we 3–2; they 0–4. CDA Slammers FC Pre White II — we 3–0; they 2–0.
Game plan
-
Swing game — small margins
Win 62% / draw 18% / loss 20%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
-
Away game
Kickoff 01:30 PM at Surf Sports Park.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the San Diego Surf Pre- Black II game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Rebels SC Pre- White II – San Diego Surf Pre- Black II) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 2 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 2.40 PPG |
3rd— holds | 3rd— holds | 3rd— holds |
| Win 2.40 PPG |
3rd— holds | 3rd— holds | 3rd— holds |
| Draw 2.00 PPG |
3rd— holds | 3rd— holds | 3rd— holds |
| Loss 1.80 PPG |
3rd— holds | 4th▼ down 1 | 5th▼ down 2 |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–1 win we finish as high as 2nd if every rival drops points, and as low as 3rd if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 2%
- 2nd 37%
- 3rd 32%
- 4th 20%
- 5th 7%
- 6th 1%
- 7th <1%
- 8th
- 9th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 15 remaining known games (max 2.84 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LAFC Pre White II | 3.00 (+0.75) | 1st (2.62) | 48 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 41 for their projection |
| 2 | Empire Surf Pre- II | 2.50 (+0.25) | 2nd (2.00) | 39 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection |
How the results connect
4 chains · 6 teams
Paths of results that link Rebels SC Pre- White II to San Diego Surf Pre- Black II through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
4 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.25 · 9th hardest of 9
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Oct 4 11:00 AM no score posted |
Empire Surf Pre- II 2nd · 3-1-0 · GD +8 |
Away far trip
Galway Downs |
●●●●○ Tough | 30% |
1–2 | 1.11 | 2.02 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 1 01:30 PM |
San Diego Surf Pre- Black II 7th · 1-0-3 · GD -7 |
Away far trip
Surf Sports Park |
●●○○○ Lean win | 62% |
2–1 | 2.05 | 2.03 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 8 09:00 AM |
Eagles SC Eagles SC Pre- White II |
Home Southwestern College |
●●○○○ Lean win | 60% |
2–1 | 1.98 | 2.02 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 15 09:00 AM |
Legends FC PRE Gold II |
Home Southwestern College |
●●○○○ Lean win | 60% |
2–1 | 1.98 | 2.02 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 22 01:30 PM |
SDSC Surf Pre- Orange II 6th · 1-0-3 · GD -3 |
Away far trip
Willow Grove Elementary School |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 57% |
2–2 | 1.87 | 2.00 | Swing game |
| Sun Dec 13 11:00 AM |
Legends FC - Del Mar Pre Silver 8th · 1-0-3 · GD -20 |
Home Southwestern College |
●○○○○ Favorable | 93% |
5–1 | 2.83 | 2.08 | Bank it |
| Sun Mar 14 01:30 PM |
San Diego Surf Pre- Black II 7th · 1-0-3 · GD -7 |
Home Southwestern College |
●●○○○ Lean win | 72% |
3–1 | 2.30 | 2.10 | Bank it |
| Sun Mar 21 TBD |
LAFC Pre White II 1st · 4-0-0 · GD +17 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 13% |
1–2 | 0.54 | 1.97 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 28 09:00 AM |
Pateadores Pre- Blue II 4th · 2-0-2 · GD +4 |
Home Southwestern College |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.59 | 1.94 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 4 TBD |
CDA Slammers FC Pre White II 9th · 0-0-4 · GD -9 |
Away |
●●○○○ Lean win | 73% |
2–1 | 2.34 | 1.97 | Bank it |
| Sun Apr 18 01:30 PM |
SDSC Surf Pre- Silver II |
Home Southwestern College |
●●○○○ Lean win | 60% |
2–1 | 1.98 | 1.97 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 25 TBD |
LA Breakers Pre- Red II 5th · 2-0-2 · GD +3 |
Away |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 46% |
2–2 | 1.57 | 1.95 | Swing game |
| Sat May 8 08:00 AM |
SDSC Surf Pre- Orange II 6th · 1-0-3 · GD -3 |
Home Southwestern College |
●●○○○ Lean win | 68% |
3–1 | 2.18 | 1.96 | Swing game |
| Sun May 9 12:30 PM |
Empire Surf Pre- II 2nd · 3-1-0 · GD +8 |
Home Southwestern College |
●●●●○ Tough | 40% |
1–1 | 1.40 | 1.93 | Upside |
| Sun May 16 10:20 AM |
Legends FC - Del Mar Pre Silver 8th · 1-0-3 · GD -20 |
Away far trip
Solana Pacific School |
●○○○○ Favorable | 88% |
4–1 | 2.71 | 1.97 | Bank it |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | LAFC Pre White II | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 1 | +17 | 12 | 3.00 | WWWW | -0.38 | -0.21 | 100% | 1.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Empire Surf Pre- II · Sun Nov 1 vs Rebels SC Pre- Blue II · Sun Nov 8 vs Empire Surf Pre- II See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Empire Surf Pre- II | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 4 | +8 | 10 | 2.50 | DWWW | -1.20 | +0.10 | 93% | 2.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 4 vs Rebels SC Pre- White II · Sun Oct 25 vs LAFC Pre White II · Sun Nov 1 vs Pateadores Pre- Blue II See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Rebels SC Pre- White II | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 9 | 2.25 | LWWW | +0.43 | -0.25 | 92% | 3.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 4 at Empire Surf Pre- II · Sun Nov 1 at San Diego Surf Pre- Black II · Sun Nov 8 vs Eagles SC Eagles SC Pre- White II See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Pateadores Pre- Blue II | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | +4 | 6 | 1.50 | WLWL | +0.56 | -0.25 | 78% | 3.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 4 vs Legends FC - Del Mar Pre Silver · Sun Oct 25 vs Rebels SC Pre- Blue II · Sun Nov 1 at Empire Surf Pre- II See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | LA Breakers Pre- Red II | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | +3 | 6 | 1.50 | WLL | -0.16 | -0.01 | 32% | 4.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 4 vs San Diego Surf Pre- Black II · Sun Nov 1 at Legends FC - Del Mar Pre Silver · Sun Nov 15 at LAFC Pre White II See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | SDSC Surf Pre- Orange II | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 3 | 0.75 | WLLL | +0.36 | -0.05 | 4% | 6.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 4 at CDA Slammers FC Pre White II · Sun Oct 25 vs CDA Slammers FC Pre Black II · Sun Nov 1 vs West Coast FC Pre- White II See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | San Diego Surf Pre- Black II | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 3 | 0.75 | LWLL | +0.13 | +0.05 | 1% | 6.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 4 at LA Breakers Pre- Red II · Sun Nov 1 vs Rebels SC Pre- White II · Sun Nov 8 at SDSC Surf Pre- Orange II See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Legends FC - Del Mar Pre Silver | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 23 | -20 | 3 | 0.75 | LLLW | +0.34 | +0.24 | 0% | 8.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 4 at Pateadores Pre- Blue II · Sun Nov 1 vs LA Breakers Pre- Red II · Sun Nov 15 vs SDSC Surf Pre- Silver II See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | CDA Slammers FC Pre White II | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 11 | -9 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLL | -0.69 | +0.32 | 0% | 8.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 4 vs SDSC Surf Pre- Orange II · Sun Oct 25 vs Beach Futbol Club Pre- Black II · Sun Nov 1 vs SDSC Surf Pre- Silver II See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.27 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.