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Legends FC - Del Mar Pre Silver

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Southern Cal BU12 · 9 teams · Legends FC - Del Mar (all teams)

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8th
1-0-3 record · 4 played
0.75 points per game
-20 goal diff · 3–23
LLLWlast 4
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 8.5
+0.34 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Nov 1, 10:20 AM

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Legends FC - Del Mar Pre Silver
8th · 0.75 PPG
vs

Solana Pacific School, Field 1 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–4 (expected goals 1.7 for, 4.6 against · 0.32 expected points)

Season so farLegends FC - Del Mar Pre SilverLA Breakers Pre- Red II
Position8th5th
Record (W-D-L)1-0-32-0-2
Points per game0.751.50
Goals for / game0.83.0
Goals against / game5.82.3
Clean sheets00
Held scoreless20
Form (recent first)W L L LL L W
Biggest win2–1 vs CDA Slammers FC Pre White II4–1 vs CDA Slammers FC Pre White II
Worst loss0–10 vs LAFC Pre White II2–4 vs Sporting California USA Pre- NAVY II
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-2.72+0.24
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.34-0.16

Common opponents: CDA Slammers FC Pre White II — we 2–1; they 4–1.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–5 at Empire Surf Pre- II, 0–10 vs LAFC Pre White II.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 8%; a draw (9%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • What a win does
    San Diego Surf Pre- Black II sit 7th on 0.75 PPG; we are on 0.75.

    A point moves us above San Diego Surf Pre- Black II on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the LA Breakers Pre- Red II game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Legends FC - Del Mar Pre Silver – LA Breakers Pre- Red II) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 2 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.60 PPG
8th— holds 8th— holds 8th— holds
Win
1.20 PPG
6th▲ up 2 6th▲ up 2 7th▲ up 1
Draw
0.80 PPG
6th▲ up 2 6th▲ up 2 7th▲ up 1
Loss
0.60 PPG
8th— holds 8th— holds 8th— holds

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–4 loss we stay 8th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
8.5 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th <1%
  7. 7th 5%
  8. 8th 37%
  9. 9th 58%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 15 remaining known games (max 2.53 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 LAFC Pre White II 3.00 (+2.25) 1st (2.62) 54 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 47 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Empire Surf Pre- II 2.50 (+1.75) 2nd (2.00) 45 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 36 for their projection
3 Rebels SC Pre- White II 2.25 (+1.50) 3rd (1.97) 40 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection
4 Pateadores Pre- Blue II 1.50 (+0.75) 4th (1.81) 26 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection
5 LA Breakers Pre- Red II 1.50 (+0.75) 5th (1.53) 26 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection
6 SDSC Surf Pre- Orange II 0.75 (+0.00) 6th (1.20) Already ahead
7 San Diego Surf Pre- Black II 0.75 (+0.00) 7th (0.98) Already ahead

How the results connect

3 chains · 5 teams

Paths of results that link Legends FC - Del Mar Pre Silver to LA Breakers Pre- Red II through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

0 favour us
1 even
2 favour them
-3.0 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
2–1 1–4 0–3 4–2 0–10 2–1 Legends FC - Del Ma… 8th CDA Slammers FC Pre… 9th LAFC Pre White II 1st Rebels SC Pre- Whit… 3rd LA Breakers Pre- Re… 5th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

3 chains

Position over the season

4 game days

1st 5th 9th Sep 13 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.24 · 2nd hardest of 9

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 4
01:00 PM
no score posted
Pateadores Pre- Blue II
4th · 2-0-2 · GD +4
Away far trip
Vanguard University · turf?
●●●●● Very tough
3%
1–5 0.13 0.63 Upside
Sun Nov 1
10:20 AM
LA Breakers Pre- Red II
5th · 2-0-2 · GD +3
Home
Solana Pacific School
●●●●● Very tough
8%
1–4 0.32 0.57 Upside
Sun Nov 15
10:20 AM
SDSC Surf Pre- Silver II
Home
Solana Pacific School
●●●●● Very tough
10%
1–3 0.42 0.55 Upside
Sun Nov 22
01:30 PM
San Diego Surf Pre- Black II
7th · 1-0-3 · GD -7
Away far trip
Surf Sports Park
●●●●● Very tough
13%
1–3 0.52 0.55 Upside
Sun Dec 13
11:00 AM
Rebels SC Pre- White II
3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +5
Away far trip
Southwestern College
●●●●● Very tough
3%
1–5 0.12 0.50 Upside
Sun Mar 14
10:20 AM
CDA Slammers FC Pre Black II
Home
Solana Pacific School
●●●●● Very tough
10%
1–3 0.42 0.49 Upside
Sun Mar 21
TBD
SDSC Surf Pre- Orange II
6th · 1-0-3 · GD -3
Away
●●●●● Very tough
7%
1–4 0.30 0.47 Upside
Sun Mar 28
10:20 AM
Sporting California USA Pre- NAVY II
Home
Solana Pacific School
●●●●● Very tough
10%
1–3 0.42 0.47 Upside
Sun Apr 4
TBD
LAFC Pre White II
1st · 4-0-0 · GD +17
Away
●●●●● Very tough
0%
0–6 0.02 0.43 Upside
Sun Apr 11
10:20 AM
Pateadores Pre- Blue II
4th · 2-0-2 · GD +4
Home
Solana Pacific School
●●●●● Very tough
5%
1–4 0.23 0.42 Upside
Sun Apr 18
TBD
CDA Slammers FC Pre White II
9th · 0-0-4 · GD -9
Away
●●●●● Very tough
24%
1–2 0.90 0.45 Upside
Sun Apr 25
10:20 AM
Empire Surf Pre- II
2nd · 3-1-0 · GD +8
Home
Solana Pacific School
●●●●● Very tough
4%
1–4 0.19 0.44 Upside
Sun May 2
TBD
LA Breakers Pre- Red II
5th · 2-0-2 · GD +3
Away
●●●●● Very tough
4%
1–5 0.19 0.42 Upside
Sat May 8
10:20 AM
San Diego Surf Pre- Black II
7th · 1-0-3 · GD -7
Home
Solana Pacific School
●●●●● Very tough
20%
1–3 0.75 0.44 Upside
Sun May 16
10:20 AM
Rebels SC Pre- White II
3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +5
Home
Solana Pacific School
●●●●● Very tough
5%
1–4 0.22 0.43 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 LAFC Pre White II 4400 181+17 123.00 WWWW -0.38 -0.21 100% 1.1
2 Empire Surf Pre- II 4310 124+8 102.50 DWWW -1.20 +0.10 93% 2.8
3 Rebels SC Pre- White II 4301 116+5 92.25 LWWW +0.43 -0.25 92% 3.0
4 Pateadores Pre- Blue II 4202 117+4 61.50 WLWL +0.56 -0.25 79% 3.7
5 LA Breakers Pre- Red II 4202 129+3 61.50 WLL -0.16 -0.01 31% 4.8
6 SDSC Surf Pre- Orange II 4103 1013-3 30.75 WLLL +0.36 -0.05 4% 6.0
7 San Diego Surf Pre- Black II 4103 512-7 30.75 LWLL +0.13 +0.05 1% 6.8
8 Legends FC - Del Mar Pre Silver 4103 323-20 30.75 LLLW +0.34 +0.24 0% 8.5
9 CDA Slammers FC Pre White II 4004 211-9 00.00 LLLL -0.69 +0.32 0% 8.3

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.27 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.