Empire Surf Pre- II
Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Southern Cal BU12 · 9 teams · Empire Surf (all teams)
Next game — Sun Oct 25, 11:00 AM
●●●●● Very tough to win
Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.4 for, 2.2 against · 0.89 expected points)
| Season so far | Empire Surf Pre- II | LAFC Pre White II |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 2nd | 1st |
| Record (W-D-L) | 3-1-0 | 4-0-0 |
| Points per game | 2.50 | 3.00 |
| Goals for / game | 3.0 | 4.5 |
| Goals against / game | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 3 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W D | W W W W |
| Biggest win | 5–0 vs Legends FC - Del Mar Pre Silver | 10–0 at Legends FC - Del Mar Pre Silver |
| Worst loss | — | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.97 | +2.24 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -1.20 | -0.38 |
Common opponents: Legends FC - Del Mar Pre Silver — we 5–0; they 10–0. SDSC Surf Pre- Orange II — we 3–1; they 4–0.
Game plan
-
Respect their attack
LAFC Pre White II score 4.5/game — well above the league's 2.3.Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.
-
Hard to break down
LAFC Pre White II concede only 0.2/game with 3 clean sheet(s).Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.
-
Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 23%; a draw (20%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
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They arrive in form
LAFC Pre White II have won 4 straight.Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the LAFC Pre White II game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Empire Surf Pre- II – LAFC Pre White II) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 0 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Loss · 2.00 PPG |
3rd▼ down 1 | 3rd▼ down 1 | 3rd▼ down 1 |
| Win 2.60 PPG |
1st▲ up 1 | 1st▲ up 1 | 1st▲ up 1 |
| Draw 2.20 PPG |
3rd▼ down 1 | 3rd▼ down 1 | 3rd▼ down 1 |
| Loss 2.00 PPG |
3rd▼ down 1 | 3rd▼ down 1 | 3rd▼ down 1 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we fall to at least 3rd even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 4%
- 2nd 40%
- 3rd 31%
- 4th 18%
- 5th 6%
- 6th 1%
- 7th <1%
- 8th
- 9th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 15 remaining known games (max 2.89 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LAFC Pre White II | 3.00 (+0.50) | 1st (2.62) | 47 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 40 for their projection |
How the results connect
6 chains · 6 teams
Paths of results that link Empire Surf Pre- II to LAFC Pre White II through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
4 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.10 · 3rd hardest of 9
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Oct 4 11:00 AM no score posted |
Rebels SC Pre- White II 3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +5 |
Home Galway Downs |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 49% |
2–1 | 1.68 | 2.34 | Swing game |
| Sun Oct 25 11:00 AM |
LAFC Pre White II 1st · 4-0-0 · GD +17 |
Home Galway Downs |
●●●●● Very tough | 23% |
1–2 | 0.89 | 2.10 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 1 11:00 AM |
Pateadores Pre- Blue II 4th · 2-0-2 · GD +4 |
Home Galway Downs |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 51% |
2–1 | 1.72 | 2.04 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 8 11:00 AM |
LAFC Pre White II 1st · 4-0-0 · GD +17 |
Away far trip
Oak Park High School |
●●●●● Very tough | 16% |
1–2 | 0.67 | 1.87 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 22 11:00 AM |
Beach Futbol Club Pre- Black II |
Home Galway Downs |
●●○○○ Lean win | 64% |
2–1 | 2.08 | 1.89 | Swing game |
| Sun Dec 13 10:30 AM |
CDA Slammers FC Pre White II 9th · 0-0-4 · GD -9 |
Away far trip
Santiago Charter Middle School |
●●○○○ Lean win | 75% |
2–0 | 2.39 | 1.94 | Bank it |
| Sun Mar 21 11:00 AM |
Eagles SC Eagles SC Pre- White II |
Home Galway Downs |
●●○○○ Lean win | 64% |
2–1 | 2.08 | 1.96 | Swing game |
| Sun Mar 28 TBD |
LA Breakers Pre- Red II 5th · 2-0-2 · GD +3 |
Away |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 51% |
2–1 | 1.71 | 1.94 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 4 11:00 AM |
San Diego Surf Pre- Black II 7th · 1-0-3 · GD -7 |
Home Galway Downs |
●●○○○ Lean win | 74% |
2–1 | 2.37 | 1.97 | Bank it |
| Sun Apr 11 11:00 AM |
LA Breakers Pre- Red II 5th · 2-0-2 · GD +3 |
Home Galway Downs |
●●○○○ Lean win | 61% |
2–1 | 2.01 | 1.97 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 18 11:00 AM |
SDSC Surf Pre- Orange II 6th · 1-0-3 · GD -3 |
Home Galway Downs |
●●○○○ Lean win | 71% |
3–1 | 2.27 | 1.99 | Bank it |
| Sun Apr 25 10:20 AM |
Legends FC - Del Mar Pre Silver 8th · 1-0-3 · GD -20 |
Away far trip
Solana Pacific School |
●○○○○ Favorable | 89% |
4–1 | 2.75 | 2.04 | Bank it |
| Sat May 8 TBD |
Pateadores Pre- Blue II 4th · 2-0-2 · GD +4 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 41% |
2–1 | 1.43 | 2.00 | Upside |
| Sun May 9 12:30 PM |
Rebels SC Pre- White II 3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +5 |
Away far trip
Southwestern College |
●●●●○ Tough | 39% |
1–1 | 1.39 | 1.97 | Upside |
| Sun May 16 11:00 AM |
CDA Slammers FC Pre White II 9th · 0-0-4 · GD -9 |
Home Galway Downs |
●○○○○ Favorable | 82% |
3–0 | 2.57 | 2.00 | Bank it |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | LAFC Pre White II | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 1 | +17 | 12 | 3.00 | WWWW | -0.38 | -0.21 | 100% | 1.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Empire Surf Pre- II · Sun Nov 1 vs Rebels SC Pre- Blue II · Sun Nov 8 vs Empire Surf Pre- II See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Empire Surf Pre- II | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 4 | +8 | 10 | 2.50 | DWWW | -1.20 | +0.10 | 93% | 2.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 4 vs Rebels SC Pre- White II · Sun Oct 25 vs LAFC Pre White II · Sun Nov 1 vs Pateadores Pre- Blue II See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Rebels SC Pre- White II | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 9 | 2.25 | LWWW | +0.43 | -0.25 | 92% | 3.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 4 at Empire Surf Pre- II · Sun Nov 1 at San Diego Surf Pre- Black II · Sun Nov 8 vs Eagles SC Eagles SC Pre- White II See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Pateadores Pre- Blue II | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | +4 | 6 | 1.50 | WLWL | +0.56 | -0.25 | 78% | 3.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 4 vs Legends FC - Del Mar Pre Silver · Sun Oct 25 vs Rebels SC Pre- Blue II · Sun Nov 1 at Empire Surf Pre- II See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | LA Breakers Pre- Red II | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | +3 | 6 | 1.50 | WLL | -0.16 | -0.01 | 32% | 4.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 4 vs San Diego Surf Pre- Black II · Sun Nov 1 at Legends FC - Del Mar Pre Silver · Sun Nov 15 at LAFC Pre White II See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | SDSC Surf Pre- Orange II | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 3 | 0.75 | WLLL | +0.36 | -0.05 | 4% | 6.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 4 at CDA Slammers FC Pre White II · Sun Oct 25 vs CDA Slammers FC Pre Black II · Sun Nov 1 vs West Coast FC Pre- White II See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | San Diego Surf Pre- Black II | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 3 | 0.75 | LWLL | +0.13 | +0.05 | 1% | 6.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 4 at LA Breakers Pre- Red II · Sun Nov 1 vs Rebels SC Pre- White II · Sun Nov 8 at SDSC Surf Pre- Orange II See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Legends FC - Del Mar Pre Silver | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 23 | -20 | 3 | 0.75 | LLLW | +0.34 | +0.24 | 0% | 8.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 4 at Pateadores Pre- Blue II · Sun Nov 1 vs LA Breakers Pre- Red II · Sun Nov 15 vs SDSC Surf Pre- Silver II See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | CDA Slammers FC Pre White II | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 11 | -9 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLL | -0.69 | +0.32 | 0% | 8.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 4 vs SDSC Surf Pre- Orange II · Sun Oct 25 vs Beach Futbol Club Pre- Black II · Sun Nov 1 vs SDSC Surf Pre- Silver II See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.27 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.