TableChase Clubs

Beach Futbol Club Pre- White I

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Southern Cal BU12 · 8 teams · Beach Futbol Club (all teams)

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3rd
2-1-1 record · 4 played
1.75 points per game
+1 goal diff · 4–3
LWDWlast 4
84% chance of top 4 · expected finish 3.3
+0.07 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 09:00 AM

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Beach Futbol Club Pre- White I
3rd · 1.75 PPG
at
San Diego Surf Pre- White I
2nd · 2.00 PPG

Surf Sports Park, Field 5 ↗ far trip

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.0 for, 2.1 against · 0.71 expected points)

Season so farBeach Futbol Club Pre- White ISan Diego Surf Pre- White I
Position3rd2nd
Record (W-D-L)2-1-12-2-0
Points per game1.752.00
Goals for / game1.04.3
Goals against / game0.81.0
Clean sheets21
Held scoreless20
Form (recent first)W D W LD D W W
Biggest win1–0 vs Legends FC PRE I8–1 at CDA Slammers FC Pre Maroon I
Worst loss0–1 at CDA Slammers FC Pre Maroon I—
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.19+1.55
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.07-0.57

Common opponents: CDA Slammers FC Pre Maroon I — we 0–1; they 8–1. Legends FC PRE I — we 1–0; they 2–2. SDSC Surf Pre- Blue I — we 3–2; they 1–1.

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    San Diego Surf Pre- White I score 4.2/game — well above the league's 1.8.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–1 at CDA Slammers FC Pre Maroon I, 0–0 at LAFC Pre GOLD I.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 17%; a draw (20%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 09:00 AM at Surf Sports Park.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 09:00 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

  • What a win does
    San Diego Surf Pre- White I sit 2nd on 2.00 PPG; we are on 1.75.

    A win moves us above San Diego Surf Pre- White I on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the San Diego Surf Pre- White I game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Beach Futbol Club Pre- White I – San Diego Surf Pre- White I) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 2 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 1.40 PPG		 4th▼ down 1 4th▼ down 1 5th▼ down 2
Win
2.00 PPG		 2nd▲ up 1 2nd▲ up 1 2nd▲ up 1
Draw
1.60 PPG		 3rd— holds 3rd— holds 3rd— holds
Loss
1.40 PPG		 4th▼ down 1 4th▼ down 1 5th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we fall to at least 4th even if every rival loses, and as low as 5th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

6% finish 1st
84% top 4
16% below the top 4
3.3 average finish
  1. 1st 6%
  2. 2nd 18%
  3. 3rd 38%
  4. 4th 23%
  5. 5th 11%
  6. 6th 5%
  7. 7th <1%
  8. 8th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 12 remaining known games (max 2.69 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 LAFC Pre GOLD I 2.33 (+0.58) 2nd (1.96) 31 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection
2 San Diego Surf Pre- White I 2.00 (+0.25) 1st (2.16) Win next game

How the results connect

9 chains · 7 teams

Paths of results that link Beach Futbol Club Pre- White I to San Diego Surf Pre- White I through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

4 favour us
1 even
4 favour them
-1.1 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
3–2 1–1 1–0 2–2 0–1 1–8 2–3 6–0 0–6 4–1 0–0 3–0 1–0 Beach Futbol Club P… 3rd SDSC Surf Pre- Blue… 6th Legends FC PRE I 5th CDA Slammers FC Pre… 4th LAFC Pre GOLD I 1st Pateadores Pre- I 8th San Diego Surf Pre-… 2nd

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

9 chains

Position over the season

5 game days

1st 4th 8th Sep 13 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 14 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.08 · 5th hardest of 7

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
09:00 AM		 San Diego Surf Pre- White I
2nd · 2-2-0 · GD +13		 Away far trip
Surf Sports Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
17%		 1–2 0.71 1.54 Upside
Sun Nov 1
10:15 AM		 Pateadores Pre- I
8th · 0-0-3 · GD -15		 Home
El Segundo High School		 ●○○○○ Favorable
81%		 2–0 2.55 1.71 Bank it
Sun Nov 8
TBD		 Beach Futbol Club Pre- Gold I
 Home
●●●○○ Toss-up
46%		 1–1 1.62 1.70 Swing game
Sun Nov 22
10:15 AM		 Sporting California USA Pre- RED I
 Home
El Segundo High School		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
46%		 1–1 1.62 1.69 Swing game
Sun Mar 14
TBD		 West Coast FC Pre- Navy I
 Home
●●●○○ Toss-up
46%		 1–1 1.62 1.68 Swing game
Sun Mar 28
TBD		 San Diego Surf Pre- Blue I
 Home
●●●○○ Toss-up
46%		 1–1 1.62 1.68 Swing game
Sun Apr 11
TBD		 CDA Slammers FC Pre Maroon I
4th · 2-0-2 · GD -1		 Home
●●●○○ Toss-up
50%		 1–1 1.72 1.68 Swing game
Sun Apr 18
10:30 AM		 Legends FC PRE I
5th · 1-1-2 · GD +1		 Away far trip
Silverlakes Complex		 ●●●●○ Tough
36%		 1–1 1.35 1.65 Upside
Sun Apr 25
TBD		 LAFC Pre GOLD I
1st · 2-1-0 · GD +4		 Home
●●●●○ Tough
27%		 0–0 1.15 1.61 Upside
Sat May 8
TBD		 SDSC Surf Pre- Blue I
6th · 1-1-2 · GD -3		 Home
●●●○○ Toss-up
51%		 1–1 1.76 1.62 Swing game
Sun May 9
TBD		 San Diego Surf Pre- White I
2nd · 2-2-0 · GD +13		 Home
●●●●● Very tough
23%		 1–1 0.92 1.58 Upside
Sun May 16
TBD		 Pateadores Pre- I
8th · 0-0-3 · GD -15		 Away
●●○○○ Lean win
74%		 2–0 2.38 1.63 Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 LAFC Pre GOLD I 3210 40+4 72.33 WDW -0.07 -0.10 98% 2.0
2 San Diego Surf Pre- White I 4220 174+13 82.00 WWDD -0.57 -0.07 100% 1.6
3 Beach Futbol Club Pre- White I 4211 43+1 71.75 LWDW +0.07 -0.08 84% 3.3
4 CDA Slammers FC Pre Maroon I 4202 89-1 61.50 WWLL +0.08 -0.01 50% 4.5
5 Legends FC PRE I 4112 87+1 41.00 LLWD -0.12 +0.02 35% 4.8
6 SDSC Surf Pre- Blue I 4112 69-3 41.00 WLDL +0.64 -0.19 34% 4.9
7 Eagles SC Eagles SC Pre- Blue I 0000 00+0 00.00 — — ——
8 Pateadores Pre- I 3003 116-15 00.00 LLL +0.48 +0.20 0% 7.1

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.76 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.