TableChase Clubs

CDA Slammers FC Pre Maroon I

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Southern Cal BU12 · 8 teams · CDA Slammers FC (all teams)

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4th
2-0-2 record · 4 played
1.50 points per game
-1 goal diff · 8–9
WWLLlast 4
48% chance of top 4 · expected finish 4.5
+0.08 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Nov 1, 09:00 AM

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CDA Slammers FC Pre Maroon I
4th · 1.50 PPG
at
SDSC Surf Pre- Blue I
6th · 1.00 PPG

Alliant International University, Field 1 ↗ far trip

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.1 for, 2.2 against · 1.32 expected points)

Season so farCDA Slammers FC Pre Maroon ISDSC Surf Pre- Blue I
Position4th6th
Record (W-D-L)2-0-21-1-2
Points per game1.501.00
Goals for / game2.01.5
Goals against / game2.32.3
Clean sheets20
Held scoreless11
Form (recent first)L L W WL D L W
Biggest win6–0 at Pateadores Pre- I3–2 at Legends FC PRE I
Worst loss1–8 vs San Diego Surf Pre- White I0–3 vs LAFC Pre GOLD I
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.15-0.25
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.08+0.64

Common opponents: Beach Futbol Club Pre- White I — we 1–0; they 2–3. San Diego Surf Pre- White I — we 1–8; they 1–1. LAFC Pre GOLD I — we 0–1; they 0–3.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–1 at LAFC Pre GOLD I.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 37%; a draw (20%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 09:00 AM at Alliant International University.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 09:00 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

  • What a win does
    Beach Futbol Club Pre- White I sit 3rd on 1.75 PPG; we are on 1.50.

    A point moves us above Beach Futbol Club Pre- White I on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the SDSC Surf Pre- Blue I game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (CDA Slammers FC Pre Maroon I – SDSC Surf Pre- Blue I) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 2 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 1.40 PPG		 4th— holds 4th— holds 4th— holds
Win
1.80 PPG		 3rd▲ up 1 4th— holds 4th— holds
Draw
1.40 PPG		 4th— holds 4th— holds 4th— holds
Loss
1.20 PPG		 5th▼ down 1 5th▼ down 1 5th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–2 draw we stay 4th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
48% top 4
52% below the top 4
4.5 average finish
  1. 1st <1%
  2. 2nd 5%
  3. 3rd 17%
  4. 4th 26%
  5. 5th 27%
  6. 6th 24%
  7. 7th <1%
  8. 8th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 11 remaining known games (max 2.60 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 LAFC Pre GOLD I 2.33 (+0.83) 2nd (1.96) 29 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 24 for their projection
2 San Diego Surf Pre- White I 2.00 (+0.50) 1st (2.16) 24 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection
3 Beach Futbol Club Pre- White I 1.75 (+0.25) 3rd (1.63) A point next game

How the results connect

9 chains · 7 teams

Paths of results that link CDA Slammers FC Pre Maroon I to SDSC Surf Pre- Blue I through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

5 favour us
2 even
2 favour them
-0.4 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–1 3–0 1–0 3–2 1–8 1–1 0–0 6–0 0–6 1–0 2–3 1–4 2–2 CDA Slammers FC Pre… 4th LAFC Pre GOLD I 1st Beach Futbol Club P… 3rd San Diego Surf Pre-… 2nd Pateadores Pre- I 8th Legends FC PRE I 5th SDSC Surf Pre- Blue… 6th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

9 chains

Position over the season

5 game days

1st 4th 8th Sep 13 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 14 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.01 · 3rd hardest of 7

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 4
04:30 PM
no score posted		 Legends FC PRE I
5th · 1-1-2 · GD +1		 Home
Santiago Charter Middle School		 ●●●●○ Tough
40%		 2–2 1.41 1.48 Upside
Sun Nov 1
09:00 AM		 SDSC Surf Pre- Blue I
6th · 1-1-2 · GD -3		 Away far trip
Alliant International University		 ●●●●○ Tough
37%		 2–2 1.32 1.45 Upside
Sun Nov 8
01:30 PM		 LA Breakers Pre- Blue I
 Home
Santiago Charter Middle School		 ●●●●○ Tough
42%		 2–1 1.46 1.46 Upside
Sun Nov 22
TBD		 Rebels SC Pre- I
 Home
●●●●○ Tough
42%		 2–1 1.46 1.46 Upside
Sun Mar 14
TBD		 LAFC Pre PLATINUM I
 Home
●●●●○ Tough
42%		 2–1 1.46 1.46 Upside
Sun Apr 11
TBD		 Beach Futbol Club Pre- White I
3rd · 2-1-1 · GD +1		 Away
●●●●○ Tough
27%		 1–1 1.04 1.42 Upside
Sun Apr 18
TBD		 Pateadores Pre- I
8th · 0-0-3 · GD -15		 Home
●○○○○ Favorable
84%		 3–1 2.60 1.52 Bank it
Sun Apr 25
10:30 AM		 San Diego Surf Pre- White I
2nd · 2-2-0 · GD +13		 Away far trip
Surf Sports Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
10%		 1–3 0.41 1.43 Upside
Sun May 2
09:00 AM		 Legends FC PRE I
5th · 1-1-2 · GD +1		 Away
Silverlakes Complex		 ●●●●○ Tough
31%		 1–2 1.11 1.41 Upside
Sat May 8
TBD		 LAFC Pre GOLD I
1st · 2-1-0 · GD +4		 Home
●●●●● Very tough
24%		 1–1 0.95 1.37 Upside
Sun May 16
TBD		 SDSC Surf Pre- Blue I
6th · 1-1-2 · GD -3		 Home
●●●○○ Toss-up
48%		 2–1 1.63 1.39 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 LAFC Pre GOLD I 3210 40+4 72.33 WDW -0.07 -0.10 97% 2.0
2 San Diego Surf Pre- White I 4220 174+13 82.00 WWDD -0.57 -0.07 100% 1.6
3 Beach Futbol Club Pre- White I 4211 43+1 71.75 LWDW +0.07 -0.08 83% 3.3
4 CDA Slammers FC Pre Maroon I 4202 89-1 61.50 WWLL +0.08 -0.01 48% 4.5
5 Legends FC PRE I 4112 87+1 41.00 LLWD -0.12 +0.02 37% 4.8
6 SDSC Surf Pre- Blue I 4112 69-3 41.00 WLDL +0.64 -0.19 35% 4.8
7 Eagles SC Eagles SC Pre- Blue I 0000 00+0 00.00 — — ——
8 Pateadores Pre- I 3003 116-15 00.00 LLL +0.48 +0.20 0% 7.1

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.76 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.