TableChase Clubs

LAFC Pre GOLD I

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Southern Cal BU12 · 8 teams · LAFC So Cal (all teams)

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1st
2-1-0 record · 3 played
2.33 points per game
+4 goal diff · 4–0
WDWlast 3
98% chance of top 4 · expected finish 2.0
-0.07 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 09:00 AM

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LAFC Pre GOLD I
1st · 2.33 PPG
at
Legends FC PRE I
5th · 1.00 PPG

Silverlakes Complex, Field 9 ↗ far trip

windrawloss

●●●○○ Toss-up to win

Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.4 for, 1.0 against · 1.68 expected points)

Season so farLAFC Pre GOLD ILegends FC PRE I
Position1st5th
Record (W-D-L)2-1-01-1-2
Points per game2.331.00
Goals for / game1.32.0
Goals against / game0.01.8
Clean sheets30
Held scoreless11
Form (recent first)W D WD W L L
Biggest win3–0 at SDSC Surf Pre- Blue I4–1 vs Pateadores Pre- I
Worst loss—2–3 vs SDSC Surf Pre- Blue I
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.63+0.08
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.07-0.12

Common opponents: SDSC Surf Pre- Blue I — we 3–0; they 2–3. Beach Futbol Club Pre- White I — we 0–0; they 0–1.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–0 vs Beach Futbol Club Pre- White I.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 47% / draw 26% / loss 26%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • Away game
    Kickoff 09:00 AM at Silverlakes Complex.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 09:00 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Legends FC PRE I game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (LAFC Pre GOLD I – Legends FC PRE I) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 2 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 2.00 PPG		 2nd▼ down 1 2nd▼ down 1 2nd▼ down 1
Win
2.50 PPG		 1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds
Draw
2.00 PPG		 2nd▼ down 1 2nd▼ down 1 2nd▼ down 1
Loss
1.75 PPG		 2nd▼ down 1 2nd▼ down 1 3rd▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–1 draw we stay 1st even if every rival loses, and as low as 2nd if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

34% finish 1st
98% top 4
2% below the top 4
2.0 average finish
  1. 1st 34%
  2. 2nd 42%
  3. 3rd 16%
  4. 4th 6%
  5. 5th 2%
  6. 6th 1%
  7. 7th
  8. 8th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

Top of the table. The job is to stay there: see the path below for where points are most at risk.

How the results connect

8 chains · 7 teams

Paths of results that link LAFC Pre GOLD I to Legends FC PRE I through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

7 favour us
1 favour them
+1.8 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–0 1–0 3–0 3–2 3–2 1–0 1–0 1–1 2–2 6–0 1–4 1–8 LAFC Pre GOLD I 1st Beach Futbol Club P… 3rd SDSC Surf Pre- Blue… 6th CDA Slammers FC Pre… 4th San Diego Surf Pre-… 2nd Pateadores Pre- I 8th Legends FC PRE I 5th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

8 chains

Position over the season

5 game days

1st 4th 8th Sep 13 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 14 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.10 · 6th hardest of 7

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 4
10:20 AM
no score posted		 Pateadores Pre- I
8th · 0-0-3 · GD -15		 Away far trip
Vanguard University · turf?		 ●○○○○ Favorable
82%		 2–0 2.58 2.39 Bank it
Sun Oct 25
09:00 AM		 Legends FC PRE I
5th · 1-1-2 · GD +1		 Away far trip
Silverlakes Complex		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
47%		 1–1 1.68 2.25 Swing game
Sun Nov 1
03:30 PM		 San Diego Surf Pre- White I
2nd · 2-2-0 · GD +13		 Home
Oak Park High School		 ●●●●○ Tough
34%		 1–1 1.27 2.09 Upside
Sun Nov 22
02:30 PM		 Legends FC PRE Black I
 Home
Oak Park High School		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
56%		 1–0 1.93 2.07 Swing game
Sun Mar 14
TBD		 LA Breakers Pre- Blue I
 Home
●●●○○ Toss-up
56%		 1–0 1.93 2.05 Swing game
Sun Mar 28
TBD		 Rebels SC Pre- I
 Home
●●●○○ Toss-up
56%		 1–0 1.93 2.04 Swing game
Sun Apr 4
TBD		 San Diego Surf Pre- Blue I
 Home
●●●○○ Toss-up
56%		 1–0 1.93 2.03 Swing game
Sun Apr 18
TBD		 SDSC Surf Pre- Blue I
6th · 1-1-2 · GD -3		 Home
●●○○○ Lean win
61%		 1–0 2.06 2.03 Swing game
Sun Apr 25
TBD		 Beach Futbol Club Pre- White I
3rd · 2-1-1 · GD +1		 Away
●●●●○ Tough
39%		 0–0 1.52 1.99 Upside
Sun May 2
TBD		 Pateadores Pre- I
8th · 0-0-3 · GD -15		 Home
●○○○○ Favorable
87%		 3–0 2.71 2.04 Bank it
Sat May 8
TBD		 CDA Slammers FC Pre Maroon I
4th · 2-0-2 · GD -1		 Away
●●●○○ Toss-up
52%		 1–1 1.81 2.03 Swing game
Sun May 9
TBD		 Legends FC PRE I
5th · 1-1-2 · GD +1		 Home
●●●○○ Toss-up
55%		 1–0 1.90 2.02 Swing game
Sun May 16
09:00 AM		 San Diego Surf Pre- White I
2nd · 2-2-0 · GD +13		 Away far trip
Surf Sports Park		 ●●●●○ Tough
26%		 1–1 1.04 1.96 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 LAFC Pre GOLD I 3210 40+4 72.33 WDW -0.07 -0.10 98% 2.0
2 San Diego Surf Pre- White I 4220 174+13 82.00 WWDD -0.57 -0.07 99% 1.6
3 Beach Futbol Club Pre- White I 4211 43+1 71.75 LWDW +0.07 -0.08 84% 3.3
4 CDA Slammers FC Pre Maroon I 4202 89-1 61.50 WWLL +0.08 -0.01 49% 4.5
5 Legends FC PRE I 4112 87+1 41.00 LLWD -0.12 +0.02 35% 4.8
6 SDSC Surf Pre- Blue I 4112 69-3 41.00 WLDL +0.64 -0.19 36% 4.8
7 Eagles SC Eagles SC Pre- Blue I 0000 00+0 00.00 — — ——
8 Pateadores Pre- I 3003 116-15 00.00 LLL +0.48 +0.20 0% 7.1

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.76 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.