TableChase Clubs

Pateadores Pre- I

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Southern Cal BU12 · 8 teams · Pateadores Soccer Club (all teams)

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8th
0-0-3 record · 3 played
0.00 points per game
-15 goal diff · 1–16
LLLlast 3
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 7.1
+0.48 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 09:00 AM

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Pateadores Pre- I
8th · 0.00 PPG
vs
SDSC Surf Pre- Blue I
6th · 1.00 PPG

Vanguard University, Stadium ↗ · turf?

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–3 (expected goals 1.3 for, 3.1 against · 0.54 expected points)

Season so farPateadores Pre- ISDSC Surf Pre- Blue I
Position8th6th
Record (W-D-L)0-0-31-1-2
Points per game0.001.00
Goals for / game0.31.5
Goals against / game5.32.3
Clean sheets00
Held scoreless21
Form (recent first)L L LL D L W
Biggest win—3–2 at Legends FC PRE I
Worst loss0–6 at San Diego Surf Pre- White I0–3 vs LAFC Pre GOLD I
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-2.21-0.25
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.48+0.64

Common opponents: San Diego Surf Pre- White I — we 0–6; they 1–1. Legends FC PRE I — we 1–4; they 3–2.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–6 at San Diego Surf Pre- White I, 0–6 vs CDA Slammers FC Pre Maroon I.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 13%; a draw (14%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 09:00 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

  • What a win does
    Eagles SC Eagles SC Pre- Blue I sit 7th on 0.00 PPG; we are on 0.00.

    A point moves us above Eagles SC Eagles SC Pre- Blue I on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the SDSC Surf Pre- Blue I game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Pateadores Pre- I – SDSC Surf Pre- Blue I) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 2 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.00 PPG		 8th— holds 8th— holds 8th— holds
Win
0.75 PPG		 7th▲ up 1 7th▲ up 1 7th▲ up 1
Draw
0.25 PPG		 7th▲ up 1 7th▲ up 1 7th▲ up 1
Loss
0.00 PPG		 8th— holds 8th— holds 8th— holds

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–3 loss we stay 8th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
7.1 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th 1%
  7. 7th 84%
  8. 8th 15%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 13 remaining known games (max 2.44 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 LAFC Pre GOLD I 2.33 (+2.33) 2nd (1.96) 38 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection
2 San Diego Surf Pre- White I 2.00 (+2.00) 1st (2.16) 32 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection
3 Beach Futbol Club Pre- White I 1.75 (+1.75) 3rd (1.63) 28 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection
4 CDA Slammers FC Pre Maroon I 1.50 (+1.50) 4th (1.39) 24 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection
5 Legends FC PRE I 1.00 (+1.00) 5th (1.32) 16 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection
6 SDSC Surf Pre- Blue I 1.00 (+1.00) 6th (1.29) 16 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection
7 Eagles SC Eagles SC Pre- Blue I 0.00 (+0.00) 8th (0.00) Already ahead

How the results connect

8 chains · 7 teams

Paths of results that link Pateadores Pre- I to SDSC Surf Pre- Blue I through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

0 favour us
8 favour them
-5.5 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–4 2–3 0–6 1–1 0–1 3–2 2–2 0–6 1–0 0–1 3–0 1–8 Pateadores Pre- I 8th Legends FC PRE I 5th San Diego Surf Pre-… 2nd CDA Slammers FC Pre… 4th Beach Futbol Club P… 3rd LAFC Pre GOLD I 1st SDSC Surf Pre- Blue… 6th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

8 chains

Position over the season

5 game days

1st 4th 8th Sep 13 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 14 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.20 · 1st hardest of 7

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 4
10:20 AM
no score posted		 LAFC Pre GOLD I
1st · 2-1-0 · GD +4		 Home
Vanguard University · turf?		 ●●●●● Very tough
6%		 0–2 0.30 0.07 Upside
Sun Oct 25
09:00 AM		 SDSC Surf Pre- Blue I
6th · 1-1-2 · GD -3		 Home
Vanguard University · turf?		 ●●●●● Very tough
13%		 1–3 0.54 0.17 Upside
Sun Nov 1
10:15 AM		 Beach Futbol Club Pre- White I
3rd · 2-1-1 · GD +1		 Away far trip
El Segundo High School		 ●●●●● Very tough
7%		 0–2 0.32 0.19 Upside
Sun Nov 8
09:00 AM		 Rebels SC Pre- I
 Home
Vanguard University · turf?		 ●●●●● Very tough
11%		 1–3 0.46 0.23 Upside
Sun Nov 22
10:20 AM		 LAFC Pre PLATINUM I
 Home
Vanguard University · turf?		 ●●●●● Very tough
11%		 1–3 0.46 0.26 Upside
Sun Mar 14
TBD		 Legends FC PRE Black I
 Home
●●●●● Very tough
11%		 1–3 0.46 0.28 Upside
Sun Mar 28
TBD		 LA Breakers Pre- Blue I
 Home
●●●●● Very tough
11%		 1–3 0.46 0.30 Upside
Sun Apr 11
TBD		 San Diego Surf Pre- White I
2nd · 2-2-0 · GD +13		 Home
●●●●● Very tough
2%		 0–5 0.09 0.28 Upside
Sun Apr 18
TBD		 CDA Slammers FC Pre Maroon I
4th · 2-0-2 · GD -1		 Away
●●●●● Very tough
7%		 1–3 0.30 0.28 Upside
Sun Apr 25
TBD		 Legends FC PRE I
5th · 1-1-2 · GD +1		 Home
●●●●● Very tough
10%		 1–3 0.42 0.29 Upside
Sun May 2
TBD		 LAFC Pre GOLD I
1st · 2-1-0 · GD +4		 Away
●●●●● Very tough
4%		 0–3 0.20 0.29 Upside
Sun May 9
TBD		 SDSC Surf Pre- Blue I
6th · 1-1-2 · GD -3		 Away
●●●●● Very tough
8%		 1–3 0.36 0.29 Upside
Sun May 16
TBD		 Beach Futbol Club Pre- White I
3rd · 2-1-1 · GD +1		 Home
●●●●● Very tough
10%		 0–2 0.46 0.30 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 LAFC Pre GOLD I 3210 40+4 72.33 WDW -0.07 -0.10 98% 2.0
2 San Diego Surf Pre- White I 4220 174+13 82.00 WWDD -0.57 -0.07 99% 1.6
3 Beach Futbol Club Pre- White I 4211 43+1 71.75 LWDW +0.07 -0.08 81% 3.4
4 CDA Slammers FC Pre Maroon I 4202 89-1 61.50 WWLL +0.08 -0.01 52% 4.4
5 Legends FC PRE I 4112 87+1 41.00 LLWD -0.12 +0.02 35% 4.8
6 SDSC Surf Pre- Blue I 4112 69-3 41.00 WLDL +0.64 -0.19 36% 4.8
7 Eagles SC Eagles SC Pre- Blue I 0000 00+0 00.00 — — ——
8 Pateadores Pre- I 3003 116-15 00.00 LLL +0.48 +0.20 0% 7.1

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.76 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.