San Diego Surf Pre- Black II

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Southern Cal BU11 · 9 teams · San Diego Surf Soccer Club (all teams)

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1st

4-0-0 record · 4 played

3.00 points per game

+19 goal diff · 21–2

WWWWlast 4

100% chance of top 4 · expected finish 1.2

+0.11 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Nov 1, 12:00 PM

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San Diego Surf Pre- Black II
1st · 3.00 PPG

Rebels SC Pre- White II
2nd · 2.50 PPG

Surf Sports Park, Field 3 ↗

66% 14% 20%

windrawloss

●●○○○ Lean win to win

Most likely score 3–2 (expected goals 3.8 for, 2.2 against · 2.12 expected points)

Season so far	San Diego Surf Pre- Black II	Rebels SC Pre- White II
Position	1st	2nd
Record (W-D-L)	4-0-0	3-1-0
Points per game	3.00	2.50
Goals for / game	5.3	5.5
Goals against / game	0.5	1.8
Clean sheets	2	0
Held scoreless	0	0
Form (recent first)	W W W W	W W W D
Biggest win	7–0 vs Pateadores Pre- Blue II	12–1 vs LA Breakers Pre- Red II
Worst loss	—	—
Model rating (net goals vs avg)	+2.66	+1.83
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)	+0.11	-1.16

Common opponents: Pateadores Pre- Blue II — we 7–0; they 5–2. CDA Slammers FC Pre White II — we 8–1; they 4–3.

Game plan

Respect their attack
Rebels SC Pre- White II score 5.5/game — well above the league's 3.0.
Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.
Swing game — small margins
Win 66% / draw 14% / loss 20%.
Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
They arrive in form
Rebels SC Pre- White II have won 3 straight.
Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Rebels SC Pre- White II game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (San Diego Surf Pre- Black II – Rebels SC Pre- White II) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 2 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our result	Rivals don't play	Likely results	Every rival wins
– Win · 3.00 PPG	1st— holds	1st— holds	1st— holds
Win 3.00 PPG	1st— holds	1st— holds	1st— holds
Draw 2.60 PPG	1st— holds	1st— holds	1st— holds
Loss 2.40 PPG	2nd▼ down 1	2nd▼ down 1	2nd▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? No. With a 3–2 win we stay 1st even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

84% finish 1st

100% top 4

0% below the top 4

1.2 average finish

1st 84%
2nd 14%
3rd 2%
4th <1%
5th <1%
6th
7th
8th
9th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

Top of the table. The job is to stay there: see the path below for where points are most at risk.

How the results connect

4 chains · 6 teams

Paths of results that link San Diego Surf Pre- Black II to Rebels SC Pre- White II through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

3 favour us

1 favour them

+3.5 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.

won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

4 chains

Position over the season

4 game days

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.44 · 9th hardest of 9

Date	Opponent	Where	Difficulty	Win	Likely	Exp. pts	Run. PPG	Priority
Sun Oct 4 12:00 PM no score posted	LA Breakers Pre- Red II 9th · 0-0-4 · GD -24	Away far trip Vista Del Mar Child and Family Services	●○○○○ Favorable	97%	6–1	2.92	2.98	Bank it
Sun Nov 1 12:00 PM	Rebels SC Pre- White II 2nd · 3-1-0 · GD +15	Home Surf Sports Park	●●○○○ Lean win	66%	3–2	2.12	2.84	Swing game
Sun Nov 8 08:00 AM	SDSC Surf Pre- Orange II 6th · 1-0-3 · GD -5	Away far trip Willow Grove Elementary School	●○○○○ Favorable	84%	4–1	2.61	2.81	Bank it
Sun Nov 22 12:00 PM	Legends FC - Del Mar Pre White II 8th · 1-0-3 · GD -14	Home Surf Sports Park	●○○○○ Favorable	96%	5–0	2.91	2.82	Bank it
Sun Dec 13 02:30 PM	LAFC Pre White II 4th · 2-1-1 · GD +3	Away far trip Oak Park High School	●●○○○ Lean win	72%	3–1	2.30	2.76	Bank it
Sun Mar 14 12:00 PM	Rebels SC Pre- White II 2nd · 3-1-0 · GD +15	Away far trip Southwestern College	●●●○○ Toss-up	54%	3–2	1.79	2.66	Swing game
Sun Mar 21 09:00 AM	West Coast FC Pre- White II	Home Surf Sports Park	●○○○○ Favorable	85%	4–1	2.64	2.66	Bank it
Sun Mar 28 12:00 PM	CDA Slammers FC Pre White II 5th · 2-0-2 · GD -5	Home Surf Sports Park	●○○○○ Favorable	89%	4–1	2.75	2.67	Bank it
Sun Apr 4 09:00 AM	Empire Surf Pre- II 3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +13	Away far trip Galway Downs	●●●○○ Toss-up	51%	3–2	1.71	2.60	Swing game
Sun Apr 11 09:00 AM	Rebels SC Pre- Blue II	Home Surf Sports Park	●○○○○ Favorable	85%	4–1	2.64	2.60	Bank it
Sun Apr 18 09:00 AM	LA Breakers Pre- Red II 9th · 0-0-4 · GD -24	Home Surf Sports Park	●○○○○ Favorable	98%	7–1	2.96	2.62	Bank it
Sun May 2 09:00 AM	SDSC Surf Pre- Orange II 6th · 1-0-3 · GD -5	Home Surf Sports Park	●○○○○ Favorable	90%	4–1	2.76	2.63	Bank it
Sat May 8 09:00 AM	Legends FC - Del Mar Pre White II 8th · 1-0-3 · GD -14	Away far trip Solana Pacific School	●○○○○ Favorable	93%	5–1	2.83	2.64	Bank it
Sun May 9 TBD	Pateadores Pre- Blue II 7th · 1-0-3 · GD -10	Away	●○○○○ Favorable	88%	4–1	2.70	2.65	Bank it
Sun May 16 12:00 PM	LAFC Pre White II 4th · 2-1-1 · GD +3	Home Surf Sports Park	●○○○○ Favorable	81%	4–1	2.53	2.64	Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

Team

Pts

PPG

Form

SoS

Run-in

Top 4

Exp. finish

San Diego Surf Pre- Black II

+19

3.00

WWWW

+0.11

-0.44

100%

1.2

W	Sun Oct 18	vs	Beach Futbol Club Pre- Black II (—)	3–1
W	Sun Sep 27	vs	Empire Surf Pre- II (3rd)	3–0
W	Sun Sep 20	at	CDA Slammers FC Pre White II (5th)	8–1
W	Sun Sep 13	vs	Pateadores Pre- Blue II (7th)	7–0

Next: Sun Oct 4 at LA Breakers Pre- Red II · Sun Nov 1 vs Rebels SC Pre- White II · Sun Nov 8 at SDSC Surf Pre- Orange II See all 15 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 4 (no score yet)	at	LA Breakers Pre- Red II (9th)	6–1	97%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	Rebels SC Pre- White II (2nd)	3–2	66%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	SDSC Surf Pre- Orange II (6th)	4–1	84%
·	Sun Nov 22	vs	Legends FC - Del Mar Pre White II (8th)	5–0	96%
·	Sun Dec 13	at	LAFC Pre White II (4th)	3–1	72%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	Rebels SC Pre- White II (2nd)	3–2	54%
·	Sun Mar 21	vs	West Coast FC Pre- White II (—)	4–1	85%
·	Sun Mar 28	vs	CDA Slammers FC Pre White II (5th)	4–1	89%
·	Sun Apr 4	at	Empire Surf Pre- II (3rd)	3–2	51%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	Rebels SC Pre- Blue II (—)	4–1	85%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	LA Breakers Pre- Red II (9th)	7–1	98%
·	Sun May 2	vs	SDSC Surf Pre- Orange II (6th)	4–1	90%
·	Sat May 8	at	Legends FC - Del Mar Pre White II (8th)	5–1	93%
·	Sun May 9	at	Pateadores Pre- Blue II (7th)	4–1	88%
·	Sun May 16	vs	LAFC Pre White II (4th)	4–1	81%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Rebels SC Pre- White II

+15

2.50

DWWW

-1.16

-0.03

100%

2.6

W	Sun Oct 18	vs	LA Breakers Pre- Red II (9th)	12–1
W	Sun Sep 27	vs	CDA Slammers FC Pre White II (5th)	4–3
W	Sun Sep 20	at	Pateadores Pre- Blue II (7th)	5–2
D	Sun Sep 13	vs	LAFC Pre White II (4th)	1–1

Next: Sun Oct 4 at Empire Surf Pre- II · Sun Nov 1 at San Diego Surf Pre- Black II · Sun Nov 8 vs Eagles SC Eagles SC Pre- White II See all 15 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 4 (no score yet)	at	Empire Surf Pre- II (3rd)	3–3	33%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	San Diego Surf Pre- Black II (1st)	2–3	20%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	Eagles SC Eagles SC Pre- White II (—)	4–2	75%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	Legends FC PRE Black II (—)	4–2	75%
·	Sun Nov 22	at	SDSC Surf Pre- Orange II (6th)	4–2	74%
·	Sun Dec 13	vs	Legends FC - Del Mar Pre White II (8th)	5–1	93%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	San Diego Surf Pre- Black II (1st)	2–3	30%
·	Sun Mar 21	at	LAFC Pre White II (4th)	3–2	58%
·	Sun Mar 28	vs	Pateadores Pre- Blue II (7th)	5–1	87%
·	Sun Apr 4	at	CDA Slammers FC Pre White II (5th)	4–2	72%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	SDSC Surf Pre- Silver II (—)	4–2	75%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	LA Breakers Pre- Red II (9th)	6–1	93%
·	Sat May 8	vs	SDSC Surf Pre- Orange II (6th)	4–1	83%
·	Sun May 9	vs	Empire Surf Pre- II (3rd)	3–3	46%
·	Sun May 16	at	Legends FC - Del Mar Pre White II (8th)	4–1	88%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Empire Surf Pre- II

+13

2.25

WWLW

-0.01

-0.33

100%

2.3

W	Sun Oct 18	at	SDSC Surf Pre- Orange II (6th)	7–2
L	Sun Sep 27	at	San Diego Surf Pre- Black II (1st)	0–3
W	Sun Sep 20	vs	Legends FC - Del Mar Pre White II (8th)	10–0
W	Sun Sep 13	vs	Legends FC PRE Black II (—)	2–1

Next: Sun Oct 4 vs Rebels SC Pre- White II · Sun Oct 25 vs LAFC Pre White II · Sun Nov 1 vs Pateadores Pre- Blue II See all 15 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 4 (no score yet)	vs	Rebels SC Pre- White II (2nd)	3–3	51%
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	LAFC Pre White II (4th)	4–2	71%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	Pateadores Pre- Blue II (7th)	5–1	88%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	LAFC Pre White II (4th)	3–2	60%
·	Sun Nov 22	vs	Beach Futbol Club Pre- Black II (—)	4–2	76%
·	Sun Dec 13	at	CDA Slammers FC Pre White II (5th)	4–1	74%
·	Sun Mar 21	vs	Eagles SC Eagles SC Pre- White II (—)	4–2	76%
·	Sun Mar 28	at	LA Breakers Pre- Red II (9th)	6–1	94%
·	Sun Apr 4	vs	San Diego Surf Pre- Black II (1st)	2–3	32%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	LA Breakers Pre- Red II (9th)	7–1	97%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	SDSC Surf Pre- Orange II (6th)	4–1	84%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	Legends FC - Del Mar Pre White II (8th)	4–1	88%
·	Sat May 8	at	Pateadores Pre- Blue II (7th)	4–1	80%
·	Sun May 9	at	Rebels SC Pre- White II (2nd)	3–3	38%
·	Sun May 16	vs	CDA Slammers FC Pre White II (5th)	4–1	83%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

LAFC Pre White II

1.75

DLWW

-0.55

+0.01

75%

4.2

W	Sun Oct 18	vs	Pateadores Pre- Blue II (7th)	4–3
W	Sun Sep 27	at	Legends FC - Del Mar Pre White II (8th)	5–1
L	Sun Sep 20	vs	SDSC Surf Pre- Orange II (6th)	2–4
D	Sun Sep 13	at	Rebels SC Pre- White II (2nd)	1–1

Next: Sun Oct 25 at Empire Surf Pre- II · Sun Nov 1 vs Rebels SC Pre- Blue II · Sun Nov 8 vs Empire Surf Pre- II See all 15 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	at	Empire Surf Pre- II (3rd)	2–4	16%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	Rebels SC Pre- Blue II (—)	3–2	52%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	Empire Surf Pre- II (3rd)	2–3	25%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	LA Breakers Pre- Red II (9th)	5–1	88%
·	Sun Dec 13	vs	San Diego Surf Pre- Black II (1st)	1–3	15%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	LA Breakers Pre- Red II (9th)	4–1	80%
·	Sun Mar 21	vs	Rebels SC Pre- White II (2nd)	2–3	27%
·	Sun Mar 28	at	SDSC Surf Pre- Orange II (6th)	2–2	52%
·	Sun Apr 4	vs	Legends FC - Del Mar Pre White II (8th)	3–1	80%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	Pateadores Pre- Gold II (—)	3–2	52%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	Pateadores Pre- Blue II (7th)	3–2	57%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	CDA Slammers FC Pre White II (5th)	3–2	62%
·	Sun May 2	vs	Legends FC PRE Black II (—)	3–2	52%
·	Sat May 8	at	CDA Slammers FC Pre White II (5th)	2–2	50%
·	Sun May 16	at	San Diego Surf Pre- Black II (1st)	1–4	9%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

CDA Slammers FC Pre White II

-5

1.50

WLLW

-0.11

+0.03

18%

5.4

W	Sun Oct 18	at	Legends FC - Del Mar Pre White II (8th)	2–1
L	Sun Sep 27	at	Rebels SC Pre- White II (2nd)	3–4
L	Sun Sep 20	vs	San Diego Surf Pre- Black II (1st)	1–8
W	Sun Sep 13	at	LA Breakers Pre- Red II (9th)	2–0

Next: Sun Oct 4 vs SDSC Surf Pre- Orange II · Sun Oct 25 vs Beach Futbol Club Pre- Black II · Sun Nov 1 vs SDSC Surf Pre- Silver II See all 15 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 4 (no score yet)	vs	SDSC Surf Pre- Orange II (6th)	2–2	49%
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	Beach Futbol Club Pre- Black II (—)	2–2	37%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	SDSC Surf Pre- Silver II (—)	2–2	37%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	Pateadores Pre- Blue II (7th)	2–2	42%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	Pateadores Pre- Gold II (—)	2–2	37%
·	Sun Dec 13	vs	Empire Surf Pre- II (3rd)	1–4	14%
·	Sun Mar 21	vs	LA Breakers Pre- Red II (9th)	4–1	77%
·	Sun Mar 28	at	San Diego Surf Pre- Black II (1st)	1–4	4%
·	Sun Apr 4	vs	Rebels SC Pre- White II (2nd)	2–4	15%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	SDSC Surf Pre- Orange II (6th)	2–2	38%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	Legends FC - Del Mar Pre White II (8th)	3–1	68%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	LAFC Pre White II (4th)	2–3	22%
·	Sun May 2	vs	Pateadores Pre- Blue II (7th)	3–2	53%
·	Sat May 8	vs	LAFC Pre White II (4th)	2–2	32%
·	Sun May 16	at	Empire Surf Pre- II (3rd)	1–4	8%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

SDSC Surf Pre- Orange II

-5

0.75

LWLL

-0.10

+0.08

6.4

L	Sun Oct 18	vs	Empire Surf Pre- II (3rd)	2–7
L	Sun Sep 27	vs	Pateadores Pre- Blue II (7th)	1–2
W	Sun Sep 20	at	LAFC Pre White II (4th)	4–2
L	Sun Sep 13	at	Legends FC - Del Mar Pre White II (8th)	0–1

Next: Sun Oct 4 at CDA Slammers FC Pre White II · Sun Oct 25 vs CDA Slammers FC Pre Black II · Sun Nov 1 vs West Coast FC Pre- White II See all 15 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 4 (no score yet)	at	CDA Slammers FC Pre White II (5th)	2–2	33%
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	CDA Slammers FC Pre Black II (—)	2–2	34%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	West Coast FC Pre- White II (—)	2–2	34%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	San Diego Surf Pre- Black II (1st)	1–4	7%
·	Sun Nov 22	vs	Rebels SC Pre- White II (2nd)	2–4	14%
·	Sun Dec 13	at	LA Breakers Pre- Red II (9th)	3–2	64%
·	Sun Mar 21	vs	Legends FC - Del Mar Pre White II (8th)	3–1	65%
·	Sun Mar 28	vs	LAFC Pre White II (4th)	2–2	30%
·	Sun Apr 4	at	Pateadores Pre- Blue II (7th)	2–2	39%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	CDA Slammers FC Pre White II (5th)	2–2	44%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	Empire Surf Pre- II (3rd)	1–4	8%
·	Sun May 2	at	San Diego Surf Pre- Black II (1st)	1–4	4%
·	Sat May 8	at	Rebels SC Pre- White II (2nd)	1–4	8%
·	Sun May 9	vs	LA Breakers Pre- Red II (9th)	3–1	75%
·	Sun May 16	vs	Pateadores Pre- Gold II (—)	2–2	34%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Pateadores Pre- Blue II

-10

0.75

LLWL

+0.95

-0.20

6.3

L	Sun Oct 18	at	LAFC Pre White II (4th)	3–4
W	Sun Sep 27	at	SDSC Surf Pre- Orange II (6th)	2–1
L	Sun Sep 20	vs	Rebels SC Pre- White II (2nd)	2–5
L	Sun Sep 13	at	San Diego Surf Pre- Black II (1st)	0–7

Next: Sun Oct 4 vs Legends FC - Del Mar Pre White II · Sun Oct 25 vs Rebels SC Pre- Blue II · Sun Nov 1 at Empire Surf Pre- II See all 15 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 4 (no score yet)	vs	Legends FC - Del Mar Pre White II (8th)	3–1	63%
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	Rebels SC Pre- Blue II (—)	2–3	31%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	Empire Surf Pre- II (3rd)	1–5	6%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	CDA Slammers FC Pre White II (5th)	2–2	41%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	West Coast FC Pre- White II (—)	2–3	31%
·	Sun Nov 22	vs	LA Breakers Pre- Red II (9th)	4–2	73%
·	Sun Mar 28	at	Rebels SC Pre- White II (2nd)	1–5	6%
·	Sun Apr 4	vs	SDSC Surf Pre- Orange II (6th)	2–2	43%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	Legends FC - Del Mar Pre White II (8th)	2–2	52%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	LAFC Pre White II (4th)	2–3	27%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	Sporting California USA Pre- NAVY II (—)	2–3	31%
·	Sun May 2	at	CDA Slammers FC Pre White II (5th)	2–3	30%
·	Sat May 8	vs	Empire Surf Pre- II (3rd)	1–4	10%
·	Sun May 9	vs	San Diego Surf Pre- Black II (1st)	1–4	5%
·	Sun May 16	at	LA Breakers Pre- Red II (9th)	3–2	62%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Legends FC - Del Mar Pre White II

-14

0.75

WLLL

+0.18

+0.13

7.9

L	Sun Oct 18	vs	CDA Slammers FC Pre White II (5th)	1–2
L	Sun Sep 27	vs	LAFC Pre White II (4th)	1–5
L	Sun Sep 20	at	Empire Surf Pre- II (3rd)	0–10
W	Sun Sep 13	vs	SDSC Surf Pre- Orange II (6th)	1–0

Next: Sun Oct 4 at Pateadores Pre- Blue II · Sun Nov 1 vs LA Breakers Pre- Red II · Sun Nov 15 vs SDSC Surf Pre- Silver II See all 15 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 4 (no score yet)	at	Pateadores Pre- Blue II (7th)	1–3	21%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	LA Breakers Pre- Red II (9th)	3–2	55%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	SDSC Surf Pre- Silver II (—)	1–3	18%
·	Sun Nov 22	at	San Diego Surf Pre- Black II (1st)	0–5	1%
·	Sun Dec 13	at	Rebels SC Pre- White II (2nd)	1–5	3%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	CDA Slammers FC Pre Black II (—)	1–3	18%
·	Sun Mar 21	at	SDSC Surf Pre- Orange II (6th)	1–3	19%
·	Sun Mar 28	vs	Sporting California USA Pre- NAVY II (—)	1–3	18%
·	Sun Apr 4	at	LAFC Pre White II (4th)	1–3	9%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	Pateadores Pre- Blue II (7th)	2–2	31%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	CDA Slammers FC Pre White II (5th)	1–3	17%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	Empire Surf Pre- II (3rd)	1–4	5%
·	Sun May 2	at	LA Breakers Pre- Red II (9th)	2–2	43%
·	Sat May 8	vs	San Diego Surf Pre- Black II (1st)	1–5	3%
·	Sun May 16	vs	Rebels SC Pre- White II (2nd)	1–4	5%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

LA Breakers Pre- Red II

-24

0.00

LLL

+0.72

+0.21

8.8

L	Sun Oct 18	at	Rebels SC Pre- White II (2nd)	1–12
L	Sun Sep 27	vs	Sporting California USA Pre- NAVY II (—)	2–3
L	Sun Sep 13	vs	CDA Slammers FC Pre White II (5th)	0–2

Next: Sun Oct 4 vs San Diego Surf Pre- Black II · Sun Nov 1 at Legends FC - Del Mar Pre White II · Sun Nov 15 at LAFC Pre White II See all 16 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 4 (no score yet)	vs	San Diego Surf Pre- Black II (1st)	1–6	1%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	Legends FC - Del Mar Pre White II (8th)	2–3	28%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	LAFC Pre White II (4th)	1–5	6%
·	Sun Nov 22	at	Pateadores Pre- Blue II (7th)	2–4	15%
·	Sat Dec 5	vs	Eagles SC Eagles SC Pre- White II (—)	2–4	12%
·	Sun Dec 13	vs	SDSC Surf Pre- Orange II (6th)	2–3	21%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	LAFC Pre White II (4th)	1–4	10%
·	Sun Mar 21	at	CDA Slammers FC Pre White II (5th)	1–4	12%
·	Sun Mar 28	vs	Empire Surf Pre- II (3rd)	1–6	3%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	Empire Surf Pre- II (3rd)	1–7	1%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	San Diego Surf Pre- Black II (1st)	1–7	1%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	Rebels SC Pre- White II (2nd)	1–6	3%
·	Sun May 2	vs	Legends FC - Del Mar Pre White II (8th)	2–2	39%
·	Sat May 8	vs	CDA Slammers FC Pre Black II (—)	2–4	12%
·	Sun May 9	at	SDSC Surf Pre- Orange II (6th)	1–3	13%
·	Sun May 16	vs	Pateadores Pre- Blue II (7th)	2–3	24%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (3.00 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.