Rebels SC Pre- White II
Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Southern Cal BU11 · 9 teams · Rebels Soccer Club (all teams)
Next game — Sun Nov 1, 12:00 PM
Surf Sports Park, Field 3 ↗ far trip
●●●●● Very tough to win
Most likely score 2–3 (expected goals 2.2 for, 3.8 against · 0.74 expected points)
| Season so far | Rebels SC Pre- White II | San Diego Surf Pre- Black II |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 2nd | 1st |
| Record (W-D-L) | 3-1-0 | 4-0-0 |
| Points per game | 2.50 | 3.00 |
| Goals for / game | 5.5 | 5.3 |
| Goals against / game | 1.8 | 0.5 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W D | W W W W |
| Biggest win | 12–1 vs LA Breakers Pre- Red II | 7–0 vs Pateadores Pre- Blue II |
| Worst loss | — | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.83 | +2.66 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -1.16 | +0.11 |
Common opponents: Pateadores Pre- Blue II — we 5–2; they 7–0. CDA Slammers FC Pre White II — we 4–3; they 8–1.
Game plan
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Respect their attack
San Diego Surf Pre- Black II score 5.2/game — well above the league's 3.0.Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.
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Hard to break down
San Diego Surf Pre- Black II concede only 0.5/game with 2 clean sheet(s).Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 20%; a draw (14%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
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They arrive in form
San Diego Surf Pre- Black II have won 4 straight.Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.
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Away game
Kickoff 12:00 PM at Surf Sports Park.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the San Diego Surf Pre- Black II game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Rebels SC Pre- White II – San Diego Surf Pre- Black II) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 2 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Loss · 2.00 PPG |
3rd▼ down 1 | 3rd▼ down 1 | 3rd▼ down 1 |
| Win 2.60 PPG |
1st▲ up 1 | 1st▲ up 1 | 1st▲ up 1 |
| Draw 2.20 PPG |
3rd▼ down 1 | 3rd▼ down 1 | 3rd▼ down 1 |
| Loss 2.00 PPG |
3rd▼ down 1 | 3rd▼ down 1 | 3rd▼ down 1 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–3 loss we stay 2nd even if every rival loses, and as low as 3rd if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 6%
- 2nd 35%
- 3rd 53%
- 4th 5%
- 5th <1%
- 6th
- 7th
- 8th
- 9th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 15 remaining known games (max 2.89 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Diego Surf Pre- Black II | 3.00 (+0.50) | 1st (2.64) | 47 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 41 for their projection |
How the results connect
4 chains · 6 teams
Paths of results that link Rebels SC Pre- White II to San Diego Surf Pre- Black II through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
4 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.03 · 6th hardest of 9
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Oct 4 09:00 AM no score posted |
Empire Surf Pre- II 3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +13 |
Away far trip
Galway Downs |
●●●●○ Tough | 33% |
3–3 | 1.15 | 2.23 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 1 12:00 PM |
San Diego Surf Pre- Black II 1st · 4-0-0 · GD +19 |
Away far trip
Surf Sports Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 20% |
2–3 | 0.74 | 1.98 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 8 10:30 AM |
Eagles SC Eagles SC Pre- White II |
Home Southwestern College |
●●○○○ Lean win | 75% |
4–2 | 2.35 | 2.04 | Bank it |
| Sun Nov 15 10:30 AM |
Legends FC PRE Black II |
Home Southwestern College |
●●○○○ Lean win | 75% |
4–2 | 2.35 | 2.08 | Bank it |
| Sun Nov 22 12:00 PM |
SDSC Surf Pre- Orange II 6th · 1-0-3 · GD -5 |
Away far trip
Willow Grove Elementary School |
●●○○○ Lean win | 74% |
4–2 | 2.34 | 2.10 | Bank it |
| Sun Dec 13 12:30 PM |
Legends FC - Del Mar Pre White II 8th · 1-0-3 · GD -14 |
Home Southwestern College |
●○○○○ Favorable | 93% |
5–1 | 2.83 | 2.18 | Bank it |
| Sun Mar 14 12:00 PM |
San Diego Surf Pre- Black II 1st · 4-0-0 · GD +19 |
Home Southwestern College |
●●●●○ Tough | 30% |
2–3 | 1.05 | 2.07 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 21 TBD |
LAFC Pre White II 4th · 2-1-1 · GD +3 |
Away |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 58% |
3–2 | 1.88 | 2.06 | Swing game |
| Sun Mar 28 10:30 AM |
Pateadores Pre- Blue II 7th · 1-0-3 · GD -10 |
Home Southwestern College |
●○○○○ Favorable | 87% |
5–1 | 2.67 | 2.11 | Bank it |
| Sun Apr 4 TBD |
CDA Slammers FC Pre White II 5th · 2-0-2 · GD -5 |
Away |
●●○○○ Lean win | 72% |
4–2 | 2.29 | 2.12 | Bank it |
| Sun Apr 18 12:00 PM |
SDSC Surf Pre- Silver II |
Home Southwestern College |
●●○○○ Lean win | 75% |
4–2 | 2.35 | 2.13 | Bank it |
| Sun Apr 25 TBD |
LA Breakers Pre- Red II 9th · 0-0-4 · GD -24 |
Away |
●○○○○ Favorable | 93% |
6–1 | 2.84 | 2.18 | Bank it |
| Sat May 8 09:30 AM |
SDSC Surf Pre- Orange II 6th · 1-0-3 · GD -5 |
Home Southwestern College |
●○○○○ Favorable | 83% |
4–1 | 2.57 | 2.20 | Bank it |
| Sun May 9 11:00 AM |
Empire Surf Pre- II 3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +13 |
Home Southwestern College |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 46% |
3–3 | 1.53 | 2.16 | Swing game |
| Sun May 16 09:00 AM |
Legends FC - Del Mar Pre White II 8th · 1-0-3 · GD -14 |
Away far trip
Solana Pacific School |
●○○○○ Favorable | 88% |
4–1 | 2.70 | 2.19 | Bank it |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | San Diego Surf Pre- Black II | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 2 | +19 | 12 | 3.00 | WWWW | +0.11 | -0.44 | 100% | 1.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 4 at LA Breakers Pre- Red II · Sun Nov 1 vs Rebels SC Pre- White II · Sun Nov 8 at SDSC Surf Pre- Orange II See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Rebels SC Pre- White II | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 7 | +15 | 10 | 2.50 | DWWW | -1.16 | -0.03 | 100% | 2.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 4 at Empire Surf Pre- II · Sun Nov 1 at San Diego Surf Pre- Black II · Sun Nov 8 vs Eagles SC Eagles SC Pre- White II See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Empire Surf Pre- II | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 6 | +13 | 9 | 2.25 | WWLW | -0.01 | -0.33 | 100% | 2.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 4 vs Rebels SC Pre- White II · Sun Oct 25 vs LAFC Pre White II · Sun Nov 1 vs Pateadores Pre- Blue II See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | LAFC Pre White II | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 9 | +3 | 7 | 1.75 | DLWW | -0.55 | +0.01 | 77% | 4.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Empire Surf Pre- II · Sun Nov 1 vs Rebels SC Pre- Blue II · Sun Nov 8 vs Empire Surf Pre- II See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | CDA Slammers FC Pre White II | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 6 | 1.50 | WLLW | -0.11 | +0.03 | 15% | 5.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 4 vs SDSC Surf Pre- Orange II · Sun Oct 25 vs Beach Futbol Club Pre- Black II · Sun Nov 1 vs SDSC Surf Pre- Silver II See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | SDSC Surf Pre- Orange II | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 3 | 0.75 | LWLL | -0.10 | +0.08 | 3% | 6.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 4 at CDA Slammers FC Pre White II · Sun Oct 25 vs CDA Slammers FC Pre Black II · Sun Nov 1 vs West Coast FC Pre- White II See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Pateadores Pre- Blue II | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 3 | 0.75 | LLWL | +0.95 | -0.20 | 5% | 6.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 4 vs Legends FC - Del Mar Pre White II · Sun Oct 25 vs Rebels SC Pre- Blue II · Sun Nov 1 at Empire Surf Pre- II See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Legends FC - Del Mar Pre White II | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 17 | -14 | 3 | 0.75 | WLLL | +0.18 | +0.13 | 0% | 7.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 4 at Pateadores Pre- Blue II · Sun Nov 1 vs LA Breakers Pre- Red II · Sun Nov 15 vs SDSC Surf Pre- Silver II See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | LA Breakers Pre- Red II | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 27 | -24 | 0 | 0.00 | LLL | +0.72 | +0.21 | 0% | 8.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 4 vs San Diego Surf Pre- Black II · Sun Nov 1 at Legends FC - Del Mar Pre White II · Sun Nov 15 at LAFC Pre White II See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (3.00 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.