TableChase Clubs

Rebels SC Pre- I

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Southern Cal BU11 · 8 teams · Rebels Soccer Club (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 57 minutes ago. Next available update in 02:18.
Add schedule to calendar
6th
1-1-3 record · 5 played
0.80 points per game
-5 goal diff · 10–15
DLWLLlast 5
10% chance of top 4 · expected finish 5.7
+0.64 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 09:30 AM

Open the match preview →

Rebels SC Pre- I
6th · 0.80 PPG
at
Sporting California USA Pre- RED I
8th · 0.00 PPG

San Bernardino Soccer Complex, Field 6 ↗ far trip

windrawloss

●●○○○ Lean win to win

Most likely score 3–2 (expected goals 3.6 for, 2.2 against · 2.08 expected points)

Season so farRebels SC Pre- ISporting California USA Pre- RED I
Position6th8th
Record (W-D-L)1-1-30-0-4
Points per game0.800.00
Goals for / game2.01.3
Goals against / game3.06.5
Clean sheets00
Held scoreless11
Form (recent first)L L W L DL L L L
Biggest win6–2 vs Legends FC PRE Gold I—
Worst loss0–5 at LAFC Pre PLATINUM I1–7 at LAFC Pre PLATINUM I
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.51-2.67
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.64+0.86

Common opponents: Legends FC PRE Gold I — we 6–2; they 1–6. LAFC Pre PLATINUM I — we 0–5; they 1–7. West Coast FC Pre- Navy I — we 1–3; they 3–8.

Game plan

  • They struggle to score
    Sporting California USA Pre- RED I average 1.2 goals/game (league avg 3.1); blanked in 1 of 4.

    A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.

  • They leak goals — be greedy
    Sporting California USA Pre- RED I concede 6.5/game; worst result 1–7 at LAFC Pre PLATINUM I.

    Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–5 at LAFC Pre PLATINUM I.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 65% / draw 15% / loss 21%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • Confidence is low on their side
    Sporting California USA Pre- RED I have lost 4 straight (form: LLLL).

    Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 09:30 AM at San Bernardino Soccer Complex.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 09:30 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Sporting California USA Pre- RED I game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Rebels SC Pre- I – Sporting California USA Pre- RED I) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 3 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 1.17 PPG		 6th— holds 6th— holds 6th— holds
Win
1.17 PPG		 6th— holds 6th— holds 6th— holds
Draw
0.83 PPG		 6th— holds 6th— holds 6th— holds
Loss
0.67 PPG		 6th— holds 6th— holds 7th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? No. With a 3–2 win we stay 6th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
10% top 4
91% below the top 4
5.7 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd <1%
  3. 3rd 1%
  4. 4th 8%
  5. 5th 19%
  6. 6th 65%
  7. 7th 6%
  8. 8th <1%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 12 remaining known games (max 2.35 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 LAFC Pre PLATINUM I 3.00 (+2.20) 1st (2.69) 47 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 42 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 LA Breakers Pre- Blue I 2.25 (+1.45) 2nd (2.25) 35 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection
3 West Coast FC Pre- Navy I 2.25 (+1.45) 3rd (1.81) 35 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection
4 Legends FC PRE Gold I 1.50 (+0.70) 5th (1.49) 22 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection
5 Beach Futbol Club Pre- Gold I 1.50 (+0.70) 4th (1.56) 22 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection

How the results connect

11 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link Rebels SC Pre- I to Sporting California USA Pre- RED I through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

9 favour us
2 favour them
+3.4 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–5 7–1 1–3 8–3 6–2 6–1 0–5 1–1 2–8 4–2 5–0 2–4 0–2 1–4 1–3 7–2 Rebels SC Pre- I 6th LAFC Pre PLATINUM I 1st West Coast FC Pre- … 3rd Legends FC PRE Gold… 4th San Diego Surf Pre-… 7th LA Breakers Pre- Bl… 2nd Beach Futbol Club P… 5th Sporting California… 8th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

11 chains

Position over the season

5 game days

1st 4th 8th Sep 13 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 4 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.18 · 6th hardest of 8

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
09:30 AM		 Sporting California USA Pre- RED I
8th · 0-0-4 · GD -21		 Away far trip
San Bernardino Soccer Complex		 ●●○○○ Lean win
65%		 3–2 2.08 1.01 Swing game
Sun Nov 1
10:30 AM		 Beach Futbol Club Pre- Gold I
5th · 2-0-2 · GD +0		 Home
Southwestern College		 ●●●●○ Tough
37%		 2–2 1.28 1.05 Upside
Sun Dec 13
09:30 AM		 SDSC Surf Pre- Blue I
 Home
Southwestern College		 ●●●●○ Tough
38%		 2–2 1.33 1.09 Upside
Sun Mar 21
10:30 AM		 Beach Futbol Club Pre- White I
 Home
Southwestern College		 ●●●●○ Tough
38%		 2–2 1.33 1.11 Upside
Sun Apr 4
09:30 AM		 San Diego Surf Pre- White I
 Home
Southwestern College		 ●●●●○ Tough
38%		 2–2 1.33 1.14 Upside
Sun Apr 11
01:30 PM		 San Diego Surf Pre- Blue I
7th · 0-1-3 · GD -17		 Away far trip
Surf Sports Park		 ●●○○○ Lean win
62%		 3–1 2.01 1.22 Swing game
Sun Apr 18
10:30 AM		 LA Breakers Pre- Blue I
2nd · 3-0-1 · GD +13		 Home
Southwestern College		 ●●●●● Very tough
16%		 1–3 0.63 1.17 Upside
Sun Apr 25
09:00 AM		 Legends FC PRE Gold I
4th · 2-0-2 · GD +5		 Away far trip
Silverlakes Complex		 ●●●●● Very tough
23%		 2–3 0.83 1.14 Upside
Sun May 2
10:30 AM		 LAFC Pre PLATINUM I
1st · 5-0-0 · GD +20		 Home
Southwestern College		 ●●●●● Very tough
9%		 1–3 0.40 1.09 Upside
Sat May 8
TBD		 West Coast FC Pre- Navy I
3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +5		 Away
●●●●● Very tough
21%		 2–3 0.77 1.07 Upside
Sun May 9
09:30 AM		 Sporting California USA Pre- RED I
8th · 0-0-4 · GD -21		 Home
Southwestern College		 ●○○○○ Favorable
75%		 4–1 2.37 1.15 Bank it
Sun May 16
TBD		 Beach Futbol Club Pre- Gold I
5th · 2-0-2 · GD +0		 Away
●●●●○ Tough
26%		 2–3 0.96 1.14 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 LAFC Pre PLATINUM I 5500 233+20 153.00 WWWWW -0.08 -0.55 100% 1.1
2 LA Breakers Pre- Blue I 4301 196+13 92.25 WWWL +0.01 -0.28 100% 2.1
3 West Coast FC Pre- Navy I 4301 1510+5 92.25 LWWW -0.81 +0.12 88% 3.4
4 Legends FC PRE Gold I 4202 1712+5 61.50 WLLW -1.37 +0.33 43% 4.6
5 Beach Futbol Club Pre- Gold I 4202 1212+0 61.50 LWLW +0.37 -0.18 60% 4.3
6 Rebels SC Pre- I 5113 1015-5 40.80 DLWLL +0.64 -0.18 10% 5.7
7 San Diego Surf Pre- Blue I 4013 421-17 10.25 DLLL +0.60 +0.16 0% 7.3
8 Sporting California USA Pre- RED I 4004 526-21 00.00 LLLL +0.86 +0.26 0% 7.6

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (3.07 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.