LA Breakers Pre- Blue I
Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Southern Cal BU11 · 8 teams · LA Breakers FC (all teams)
Next game — Sun Oct 25, 09:00 AM
Robert A Curtis Park, Field 1 ↗ far trip
●●●○○ Toss-up to win
Most likely score 3–2 (expected goals 3.5 for, 2.7 against · 1.81 expected points)
| Season so far | LA Breakers Pre- Blue I | West Coast FC Pre- Navy I |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 2nd | 3rd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 3-0-1 | 3-0-1 |
| Points per game | 2.25 | 2.25 |
| Goals for / game | 4.8 | 3.8 |
| Goals against / game | 1.5 | 2.5 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | L W W W | W W W L |
| Biggest win | 8–0 at San Diego Surf Pre- Blue I | 8–3 at Sporting California USA Pre- RED I |
| Worst loss | 0–2 vs LAFC Pre PLATINUM I | 0–5 vs LAFC Pre PLATINUM I |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.81 | +0.61 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.01 | -0.81 |
Common opponents: Rebels SC Pre- I — we 4–2; they 3–1. San Diego Surf Pre- Blue I — we 8–0; they 4–1. LAFC Pre PLATINUM I — we 0–2; they 0–5.
Game plan
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–2 vs LAFC Pre PLATINUM I.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Swing game — small margins
Win 55% / draw 16% / loss 29%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
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They arrive in form
West Coast FC Pre- Navy I have won 3 straight.Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.
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Away game
Kickoff 09:00 AM at Robert A Curtis Park.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
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Early kickoff
Game time 09:00 AM.Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the West Coast FC Pre- Navy I game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (LA Breakers Pre- Blue I – West Coast FC Pre- Navy I) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 3 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 2.40 PPG |
2nd— holds | 2nd— holds | 2nd— holds |
| Win 2.40 PPG |
2nd— holds | 2nd— holds | 2nd— holds |
| Draw 2.00 PPG |
2nd— holds | 2nd— holds | 2nd— holds |
| Loss 1.80 PPG |
3rd▼ down 1 | 3rd▼ down 1 | 3rd▼ down 1 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 3–2 win we stay 2nd even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 6%
- 2nd 80%
- 3rd 12%
- 4th 2%
- 5th <1%
- 6th
- 7th
- 8th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 13 remaining known games (max 2.82 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LAFC Pre PLATINUM I | 3.00 (+0.75) | 1st (2.69) | 42 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 37 for their projection |
How the results connect
10 chains · 7 teams
Paths of results that link LA Breakers Pre- Blue I to West Coast FC Pre- Navy I through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
5 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.28 · 7th hardest of 8
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Oct 4 09:00 AM no score posted |
Legends FC PRE Gold I 4th · 2-0-2 · GD +5 |
Away far trip
Silverlakes Complex |
●●○○○ Lean win | 60% |
4–2 | 1.93 | 2.19 | Swing game |
| Sun Oct 25 09:00 AM |
West Coast FC Pre- Navy I 3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +5 |
Away far trip
Robert A Curtis Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 55% |
3–2 | 1.81 | 2.12 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 1 12:00 PM |
Sporting California USA Pre- RED I 8th · 0-0-4 · GD -21 |
Home Vista Del Mar Child and Family Services |
●○○○○ Favorable | 96% |
6–1 | 2.90 | 2.23 | Bank it |
| Sun Nov 15 12:00 PM |
SDSC Surf Pre- Blue I |
Home Vista Del Mar Child and Family Services |
●○○○○ Favorable | 75% |
4–2 | 2.37 | 2.25 | Bank it |
| Sun Dec 13 10:30 AM |
Beach Futbol Club Pre- White I |
Home Vista Del Mar Child and Family Services |
●○○○○ Favorable | 75% |
4–2 | 2.37 | 2.26 | Bank it |
| Sun Mar 21 TBD |
San Diego Surf Pre- White I |
Home |
●○○○○ Favorable | 75% |
4–2 | 2.37 | 2.27 | Bank it |
| Sun Apr 11 TBD |
Beach Futbol Club Pre- Gold I 5th · 2-0-2 · GD +0 |
Home |
●●○○○ Lean win | 73% |
4–2 | 2.32 | 2.28 | Bank it |
| Sun Apr 18 10:30 AM |
Rebels SC Pre- I 6th · 1-1-3 · GD -5 |
Away far trip
Southwestern College |
●●○○○ Lean win | 70% |
3–1 | 2.24 | 2.27 | Bank it |
| Sun Apr 25 TBD |
San Diego Surf Pre- Blue I 7th · 0-1-3 · GD -17 |
Home |
●○○○○ Favorable | 94% |
6–1 | 2.87 | 2.32 | Bank it |
| Sun May 2 TBD |
Legends FC PRE Gold I 4th · 2-0-2 · GD +5 |
Home |
●●○○○ Lean win | 72% |
4–2 | 2.26 | 2.32 | Bank it |
| Sat May 8 TBD |
LAFC Pre PLATINUM I 1st · 5-0-0 · GD +20 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 22% |
1–3 | 0.82 | 2.22 | Upside |
| Sun May 9 TBD |
West Coast FC Pre- Navy I 3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +5 |
Home |
●●○○○ Lean win | 67% |
4–2 | 2.15 | 2.21 | Swing game |
| Sun May 16 TBD |
Sporting California USA Pre- RED I 8th · 0-0-4 · GD -21 |
Away |
●○○○○ Favorable | 92% |
5–1 | 2.80 | 2.25 | Bank it |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | LAFC Pre PLATINUM I | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 3 | +20 | 15 | 3.00 | WWWWW | -0.08 | -0.55 | 100% | 1.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Legends FC PRE Gold I · Sun Nov 1 at San Diego Surf Pre- Blue I · Sun Nov 8 vs LAFC Pre GOLD I See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | LA Breakers Pre- Blue I | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 6 | +13 | 9 | 2.25 | WWWL | +0.01 | -0.28 | 100% | 2.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 4 at Legends FC PRE Gold I · Sun Oct 25 at West Coast FC Pre- Navy I · Sun Nov 1 vs Sporting California USA Pre- RED I See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | West Coast FC Pre- Navy I | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | +5 | 9 | 2.25 | LWWW | -0.81 | +0.12 | 86% | 3.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 4 vs Beach Futbol Club Pre- Gold I · Sun Oct 25 vs LA Breakers Pre- Blue I · Sun Nov 1 at Legends FC PRE Gold I See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Legends FC PRE Gold I | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 12 | +5 | 6 | 1.50 | WLLW | -1.37 | +0.33 | 45% | 4.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 4 vs LA Breakers Pre- Blue I · Sun Oct 25 at LAFC Pre PLATINUM I · Sun Nov 1 vs West Coast FC Pre- Navy I See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Beach Futbol Club Pre- Gold I | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 12 | +0 | 6 | 1.50 | LWLW | +0.37 | -0.18 | 61% | 4.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 4 at West Coast FC Pre- Navy I · Sun Oct 25 vs San Diego Surf Pre- Blue I · Sun Nov 1 at Rebels SC Pre- I See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Rebels SC Pre- I | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 4 | 0.80 | DLWLL | +0.64 | -0.18 | 8% | 5.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Sporting California USA Pre- RED I · Sun Nov 1 vs Beach Futbol Club Pre- Gold I · Sun Dec 13 vs SDSC Surf Pre- Blue I See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | San Diego Surf Pre- Blue I | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 21 | -17 | 1 | 0.25 | DLLL | +0.60 | +0.16 | 0% | 7.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 4 at Sporting California USA Pre- RED I · Sun Oct 25 at Beach Futbol Club Pre- Gold I · Sun Nov 1 vs LAFC Pre PLATINUM I See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Sporting California USA Pre- RED I | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 26 | -21 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLL | +0.86 | +0.26 | 0% | 7.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 4 vs San Diego Surf Pre- Blue I · Sun Oct 25 vs Rebels SC Pre- I · Sun Nov 1 at LA Breakers Pre- Blue I See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (3.07 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.