FC Pride Elite Pre- 2 B15/16
Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Ohio Valley BU11 (2015-2016) 9v9 · 7 teams · FC Pride (all teams)
Next game — Sun Nov 8, 04:00 PM
FC Pride Performance Center (Turf), Field 1 ↗ · turf
●●●●● Very tough to win
Most likely score 1–3 (expected goals 1.8 for, 3.4 against · 0.65 expected points)
| Season so far | FC Pride Elite Pre- 2 B15/16 | Lakota FC Red |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 5th | 4th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 2-1-4 | 3-2-1 |
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.83 |
| Goals for / game | 2.1 | 2.7 |
| Goals against / game | 4.6 | 1.5 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 2 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | L L L L W | W L W D D |
| Biggest win | 5–2 at Elite FC Pre- Black | 7–2 vs Elite FC Pre- Black |
| Worst loss | 0–13 vs CUSC Premier | 1–3 at CUSC Premier |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -1.51 | +0.65 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.63 | -0.04 |
Common opponents: Union FC Indy Teal II — we 3–3, 0–1; they 1–1. Elite FC Pre- Black — we 5–2; they 7–2, 4–1. Ohio Elite SA Pre — we 2–1; they 1–0. LouCity Academy Pre- 2 — we 4–5, 1–7; they 2–2. CUSC Premier — we 0–13; they 1–3.
Game plan
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–13 vs CUSC Premier, 0–1 vs Union FC Indy Teal II.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 17%; a draw (14%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Lakota FC Red game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (FC Pride Elite Pre- 2 B15/16 – Lakota FC Red) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 2 other games that week (Mon Nov 2 – Sun Nov 8); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Loss · 0.88 PPG |
5th— holds | 5th— holds | 5th— holds |
| Win 1.25 PPG |
5th— holds | 5th— holds | 5th— holds |
| Draw 1.00 PPG |
5th— holds | 5th— holds | 5th— holds |
| Loss 0.88 PPG |
5th— holds | 5th— holds | 5th— holds |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–3 loss we stay 5th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd
- 3rd
- 4th
- 5th 100%
- 6th
- 7th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 1 remaining known games (max 1.25 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CUSC Premier | 3.00 (+2.00) | 1st (2.67) | 17 of 3 pts to pass their current pace, 15 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | LouCity Academy Pre- 2 | 2.60 (+1.60) | 2nd (2.31) | 14 of 3 pts to pass their current pace, 12 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 3 | Union FC Indy Teal II | 2.20 (+1.20) | 4th (1.67) | 11 of 3 pts to pass their current pace, 7 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 4 | Lakota FC Red | 1.83 (+0.83) | 3rd (1.94) | 8 of 3 pts to pass their current pace, 9 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
How the results connect
35 chains · 7 teams
Paths of results that link FC Pride Elite Pre- 2 B15/16 to Lakota FC Red through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
16 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.65 · 5th hardest of 6
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Nov 8 04:00 PM |
Lakota FC Red 4th · 3-2-1 · GD +7 |
Home FC Pride Performance Center (Turf) · turf |
●●●●● Very tough | 17% |
1–3 | 0.65 | 0.96 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | CUSC Premier | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 5 | +30 | 15 | 3.00 | WWWWW | -1.35 | +0.95 | 100% | 1.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at LouCity Academy Pre- 2 · Sun Nov 8 at Union FC Indy Teal II · Sun Nov 8 at Union FC Indy Teal II See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | LouCity Academy Pre- 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 28 | 11 | +17 | 13 | 2.60 | WWDWW | -1.22 | +0.73 | 100% | 2.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Ohio Elite SA Pre · Sat Oct 24 vs CUSC Premier · Sun Oct 25 vs Union FC Indy Teal II See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Union FC Indy Teal II | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 6 | +7 | 11 | 2.20 | DWWDW | -1.19 | +2.68 | 100% | 3.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at LouCity Academy Pre- 2 · Sun Nov 8 vs CUSC Premier · Sun Nov 8 vs CUSC Premier See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Lakota FC Red | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 9 | +7 | 11 | 1.83 | DDWLW | -0.04 | -1.57 | 100% | 3.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 at Ohio Elite SA Pre · Sun Nov 8 at FC Pride Elite Pre- 2 B15/16 See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | FC Pride Elite Pre- 2 B15/16 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 7 | 1.00 | WLLLL | +0.63 | +0.65 | 0% | 5.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 8 vs Lakota FC Red See all 1 future matchup ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Elite FC Pre- Black | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 14 | 42 | -28 | 3 | 0.38 | LLWLL | +0.94 | — | 0% | 6.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 7 | Ohio Elite SA Pre | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 21 | -16 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +0.38 | +1.15 | 0% | 6.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at LouCity Academy Pre- 2 · Sun Nov 1 vs Lakota FC Red See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.80 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.