TableChase Clubs

Grasshoppers FC Teal

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Ohio Valley BU11 (2015-2016) 9v9 · 9 teams · Grasshoppers FC (all teams)

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3rd
4-0-2 record · 6 played
2.00 points per game
+16 goal diff · 26–10
WLLWWlast 5
93% chance of top 4 · expected finish 3.8
-0.43 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 10:15 AM

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Grasshoppers FC Teal
3rd · 2.00 PPG
at
Ohio Premier Pre
4th · 2.00 PPG

OP Training Facility, field 4S ↗

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 2–3 (expected goals 2.8 for, 3.1 against · 1.26 expected points)

Season so farGrasshoppers FC TealOhio Premier Pre
Position3rd4th
Record (W-D-L)4-0-23-1-1
Points per game2.002.00
Goals for / game4.34.6
Goals against / game1.72.0
Clean sheets10
Held scoreless11
Form (recent first)W W L L WD W W L W
Biggest win9–1 vs GTFC Impact Pre9–1 at Manta Pre
Worst loss0–4 at Cleveland Force Pre- Blue0–3 at Cleveland Force Pre- Blue
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+1.59+1.67
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.43+0.34

Common opponents: Manta Pre — we 7–0; they 9–1. Cleveland Force Pre- Blue — we 0–4; they 0–3. Grasshoppers FC Pre- Black — we 1–3; they 2–2. Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pre — we 2–1; they 4–3. WNY Flash Pre- I — we 7–1; they 8–1.

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    Ohio Premier Pre score 4.6/game — well above the league's 3.2.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–4 at Cleveland Force Pre- Blue.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 36%; a draw (17%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 10:15 AM at OP Training Facility.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Ohio Premier Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Grasshoppers FC Teal – Ohio Premier Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 2 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 1.71 PPG
4th▼ down 1 4th▼ down 1 4th▼ down 1
Win
2.14 PPG
3rd— holds 3rd— holds 3rd— holds
Draw
1.86 PPG
3rd— holds 4th▼ down 1 4th▼ down 1
Loss
1.71 PPG
4th▼ down 1 4th▼ down 1 4th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–3 loss we fall to at least 4th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
93% top 4
8% below the top 4
3.8 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd 33%
  4. 4th 60%
  5. 5th 6%
  6. 6th 2%
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 2 remaining known games (max 2.25 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Cleveland Force Pre- Blue 3.00 (+1.00) 1st (2.98) 12 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 12 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Grasshoppers FC Pre- Black 2.38 (+0.38) 2nd (2.38) 8 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 7 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule

How the results connect

26 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link Grasshoppers FC Teal to Ohio Premier Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

6 favour us
3 even
17 favour them
-1.2 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
2–1 3–4 7–1 1–8 0–4 3–0 7–0 1–9 1–3 2–2 1–2 0–6 5–2 2–4 9–1 0–8 1–7 Grasshoppers FC Teal 3rd Pittsburgh Riverhou… 5th WNY Flash Pre- I 7th Cleveland Force Pre… 1st Manta Pre 9th Grasshoppers FC Pre… 2nd GTFC Impact Pre 8th Ohio Premier Pre 4th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

12 game days

1st 5th 9th Aug 22 Aug 29 Sep 12 Sep 20 Oct 4 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.49 · 3rd hardest of 7

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
10:15 AM
Ohio Premier Pre
4th · 3-1-1 · GD +13
Away
OP Training Facility
●●●●○ Tough
36%
2–3 1.26 1.89 Upside
Sun Oct 25
10:30 AM
Kings Hammer SC Columbus 1
6th · 3-0-3 · GD -6
Away far trip
Kilbourne Run Sports Park- 4625 Westerville Rd Col
●●○○○ Lean win
71%
4–2 2.25 1.94 Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Cleveland Force Pre- Blue 6600 337+26 183.00 WWWWW +0.26 -2.72 100% 1.0
2 Grasshoppers FC Pre- Black 8611 3411+23 192.38 WWWDW -0.19 — 100% 2.2
3 Grasshoppers FC Teal 6402 2610+16 122.00 WLLWW -0.43 +0.49 93% 3.8
4 Ohio Premier Pre 5311 2310+13 102.00 WLWWD +0.34 -1.14 99% 3.1
5 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pre 8404 2813+15 121.50 LWWWL -0.32 — 6% 5.0
6 Kings Hammer SC Columbus 1 6303 1824-6 91.50 LWWWL -0.57 +1.63 3% 5.9
7 WNY Flash Pre- I 7205 1728-11 60.86 LLLLW -0.25 +2.77 0% 7.0
8 GTFC Impact Pre 5005 239-37 00.00 LLLLL +0.53 +0.32 0% 8.7
9 Manta Pre 7007 847-39 00.00 LLLLL +1.04 -4.31 0% 8.3

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (3.22 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.