WNY Flash Pre

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Ohio Valley BU10 (2016-2017) 7v7 · 7 teams · WNY Flash Academy (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 1 hour ago.

Add schedule to calendar

2nd

3-0-2 record · 5 played

1.80 points per game

+3 goal diff · 24–21

WLLWWlast 5

51% chance of top 4 · expected finish 4.0

-0.36 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 12:00 PM

Open the match preview →

WNY Flash Pre
2nd · 1.80 PPG

Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pre
5th · 1.43 PPG

Montour Junction Sports Complex, Indoor 1 ↗ far trip

38% 14% 48%

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 4–4 (expected goals 4.5 for, 4.9 against · 1.29 expected points)

Season so far	WNY Flash Pre	Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pre
Position	2nd	5th
Record (W-D-L)	3-0-2	3-1-3
Points per game	1.80	1.43
Goals for / game	4.8	4.4
Goals against / game	4.2	4.6
Clean sheets	2	1
Held scoreless	0	0
Form (recent first)	W W L L W	D W L L W
Biggest win	7–0 vs GTFC Impact Pre	8–1 vs GTFC Impact Pre
Worst loss	2–8 at Grasshoppers FC Pre- Black	1–9 at Grasshoppers FC Pre- Black
Model rating (net goals vs avg)	+0.25	+0.05
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)	-0.36	-0.02

Already played this season: Sat Oct 10 5–3 vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pre (W)

Common opponents: Pacesetter SC Pre- Red — we 4–0; they 4–0. Grasshoppers FC Pre- Black — we 2–8; they 1–9. Grasshoppers FC Teal — we 6–10; they 7–6. GTFC Impact Pre — we 7–0; they 8–1.

Game plan

Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 38%; a draw (14%) would be a good result.
Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
Away game
Kickoff 12:00 PM at Montour Junction Sports Complex.
Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (WNY Flash Pre – Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 1 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our result	Rivals don't play	Likely results	Every rival wins
– Draw · 1.67 PPG	2nd— holds	2nd— holds	2nd— holds
Win 2.00 PPG	2nd— holds	2nd— holds	2nd— holds
Draw 1.67 PPG	2nd— holds	2nd— holds	2nd— holds
Loss 1.50 PPG	5th▼ down 3	5th▼ down 3	5th▼ down 3

Can we move up this round? No. With a 4–4 draw we stay 2nd even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st

51% top 4

49% below the top 4

4.0 average finish

1st
2nd 23%
3rd 2%
4th 27%
5th 49%
6th
7th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 3 remaining known games (max 2.25 PPG if we win out).

#	Team	PPG	Proj.	To pass them
1	Grasshoppers FC Pre- Black	3.00 (+1.20)	1st (3.00)	15 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 15 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule

How the results connect

29 chains · 7 teams

Paths of results that link WNY Flash Pre to Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

10 favour us

3 even

16 favour them

-1.0 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.

won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

10 game days

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.73 · 1st hardest of 5

Date	Opponent	Where	Difficulty	Win	Likely	Exp. pts	Run. PPG	Priority
Sun Oct 25 12:00 PM	Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pre 5th · 3-1-3 · GD -1	Away far trip Montour Junction Sports Complex	●●●●○ Tough	38%	4–4	1.29	1.72	Upside
Sat Nov 7 02:00 PM	Cleveland Force Pre- Blue 4th · 2-2-1 · GD +8	Away far trip Sportsplex	●●●●○ Tough	26%	3–5	0.90	1.60	Upside
Sat Nov 7 04:30 PM	Cleveland Force Pre- Blue 4th · 2-2-1 · GD +8	Away far trip Sportsplex	●●●●○ Tough	26%	3–5	0.90	1.51	Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

Team

Pts

PPG

Form

SoS

Run-in

Top 4

Exp. finish

Grasshoppers FC Pre- Black

+48

3.00

WWWWW

-0.55

—

100%

1.0

WNY Flash Pre

1.80

WLLWW

-0.36

+0.73

51%

4.0

W	Sat Oct 10	vs	GTFC Impact Pre (7th)	7–0
W	Sat Oct 10	vs	Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pre (5th)	5–3
L	Sun Oct 4	at	Grasshoppers FC Teal (3rd)	6–10
L	Sun Oct 4	at	Grasshoppers FC Pre- Black (1st)	2–8
W	Sat Sep 12	vs	Pacesetter SC Pre- Red (6th)	4–0

Next: Sun Oct 25 at Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pre · Sat Nov 7 at Cleveland Force Pre- Blue · Sat Nov 7 at Cleveland Force Pre- Blue See all 3 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	at	Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pre (5th)	4–4	38%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Cleveland Force Pre- Blue (4th)	3–5	26%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Cleveland Force Pre- Blue (4th)	3–5	26%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Grasshoppers FC Teal

+14

1.63

LWWWL

-0.32

—

100%

3.1

Cleveland Force Pre- Blue

1.60

LDWWD

+0.54

-1.64

94%

2.5

D	Sun Oct 18	vs	Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pre (5th)	3–3
W	Sat Oct 17	vs	Pacesetter SC Pre- Red (6th)	8–2
W	Sat Oct 17	vs	Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pre (5th)	8–5
D	Sat Aug 29	vs	Grasshoppers FC Teal (3rd)	2–2
L	Sat Aug 29	vs	Grasshoppers FC Pre- Black (1st)	3–4

Next: Sun Nov 1 at GTFC Impact Pre · Sat Nov 7 vs WNY Flash Pre · Sat Nov 7 vs WNY Flash Pre See all 3 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Nov 1	at	GTFC Impact Pre (7th)	7–1	97%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	WNY Flash Pre (2nd)	5–3	62%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	WNY Flash Pre (2nd)	5–3	62%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pre

-1

1.43

WLLWD

-0.02

+0.25

55%

4.4

D	Sun Oct 18	at	Cleveland Force Pre- Blue (4th)	3–3
W	Sat Oct 17	vs	Pacesetter SC Pre- Red (6th)	4–0
L	Sat Oct 17	at	Cleveland Force Pre- Blue (4th)	5–8
L	Sat Oct 10	at	WNY Flash Pre (2nd)	3–5
W	Sat Oct 10	vs	GTFC Impact Pre (7th)	8–1
L	Sun Sep 13	at	Grasshoppers FC Pre- Black (1st)	1–9
W	Sun Sep 13	at	Grasshoppers FC Teal (3rd)	7–6

Next: Sun Oct 25 vs WNY Flash Pre See all 1 future matchup ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	WNY Flash Pre (2nd)	4–4	48%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Pacesetter SC Pre- Red

-18

0.43

LLLLL

+0.87

-5.40

6.0

L	Sun Oct 18	at	Grasshoppers FC Pre- Black (1st)	0–5
L	Sat Oct 17	at	Cleveland Force Pre- Blue (4th)	2–8
L	Sat Oct 17	at	Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pre (5th)	0–4
L	Sat Oct 3	vs	Grasshoppers FC Teal (3rd)	2–4
L	Sat Oct 3	vs	Grasshoppers FC Pre- Black (1st)	2–6
W	Sun Sep 13	at	GTFC Impact Pre (7th)	7–0
L	Sat Sep 12	at	WNY Flash Pre (2nd)	0–4

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs GTFC Impact Pre See all 1 future matchup ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	GTFC Impact Pre (7th)	4–1	87%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

GTFC Impact Pre

-54

0.00

LLLLL

+0.74

-0.23

7.0

L	Sat Oct 10	at	WNY Flash Pre (2nd)	0–7
L	Sat Oct 10	at	Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pre (5th)	1–8
L	Sat Oct 3	vs	Grasshoppers FC Teal (3rd)	0–7
L	Sun Sep 13	vs	Pacesetter SC Pre- Red (6th)	0–7
L	Sun Aug 23	at	Grasshoppers FC Pre- Black (1st)	0–14
L	Sun Aug 23	at	Grasshoppers FC Teal (3rd)	0–12

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Pacesetter SC Pre- Red · Sun Nov 1 vs Cleveland Force Pre- Blue See all 2 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Pacesetter SC Pre- Red (6th)	1–4	6%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	Cleveland Force Pre- Blue (4th)	1–7	1%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (4.03 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.