Sting Pre- Lucero
Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- North Texas BU12 · 9 teams · Sting Soccer Club (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 31, 03:30 PM
Fairview Soccer Park , Field 6B ↗
●●●●○ Tough to win
Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.9 for, 2.1 against · 1.26 expected points)
| Season so far | Sting Pre- Lucero | SOLAR PRE- SALCEDO |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 5th | 6th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 3-0-2 | 2-1-2 |
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals for / game | 3.2 | 1.8 |
| Goals against / game | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 2 |
| Form (recent first) | L W L W W | L D W L W |
| Biggest win | 6–0 at DKSC Pre- Portillo | 5–2 at Nido Dallas Pre - Maldonado |
| Worst loss | 1–4 vs FC Dallas South Academy | 0–2 at SOLAR PRE- OGLESBY |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.60 | +0.45 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.46 | +0.50 |
Common opponents: SOLAR PRE- OGLESBY — we 3–0; they 0–2. OK Energy FC Pre II — we 3–0; they 2–0. Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Academy — we 3–5; they 2–2.
Game plan
-
Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 35%; a draw (21%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
-
Away game
Kickoff 03:30 PM at Fairview Soccer Park .Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the SOLAR PRE- SALCEDO game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Sting Pre- Lucero – SOLAR PRE- SALCEDO) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 2 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Loss · 1.50 PPG |
6th▼ down 1 | 6th▼ down 1 | 6th▼ down 1 |
| Win 2.00 PPG |
5th— holds | 5th— holds | 5th— holds |
| Draw 1.67 PPG |
5th— holds | 5th— holds | 5th— holds |
| Loss 1.50 PPG |
6th▼ down 1 | 6th▼ down 1 | 6th▼ down 1 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we fall to at least 6th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 1%
- 2nd 3%
- 3rd 2%
- 4th 4%
- 5th 48%
- 6th 42%
- 7th <1%
- 8th
- 9th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 3 remaining known games (max 2.25 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dallas Texans Pre- McKinney | 2.60 (+0.80) | 1st (2.43) | 12 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 11 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Academy | 2.20 (+0.40) | 4th (2.16) | 9 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 9 for their projection |
| 3 | FC Dallas North Academy | 2.17 (+0.37) | 3rd (2.17) | 9 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 9 for their projection |
| 4 | FC Dallas South Academy | 2.17 (+0.37) | 2nd (2.18) | 9 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 9 for their projection |
How the results connect
13 chains · 8 teams
Paths of results that link Sting Pre- Lucero to SOLAR PRE- SALCEDO through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
9 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.34 · 3rd hardest of 7
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 31 03:30 PM |
SOLAR PRE- SALCEDO 6th · 2-1-2 · GD +2 |
Away Fairview Soccer Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
1–2 | 1.26 | 1.71 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 1 12:30 PM |
Nido Dallas Pre - Maldonado 8th · 1-0-4 · GD -8 |
Away Fairview Soccer Park |
●●○○○ Lean win | 64% |
4–2 | 2.05 | 1.76 | Swing game |
| Thu Nov 5 06:00 PM |
Dallas Texans Pre- McKinney 1st · 4-1-0 · GD +13 |
Home Railroad Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 23% |
1–2 | 0.89 | 1.65 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dallas Texans Pre- McKinney | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 2 | +13 | 13 | 2.60 | WWWDW | -0.06 | -0.54 | 98% | 1.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs DKSC Pre- Portillo · Sun Nov 1 at Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Academy · Thu Nov 5 at Sting Pre- Lucero See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Academy | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 10 | +15 | 11 | 2.20 | WDWDW | -0.58 | +0.19 | 93% | 2.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs SOLAR PRE- OGLESBY · Sun Nov 1 vs Dallas Texans Pre- McKinney · Sun Nov 8 vs Nido Dallas Pre - Maldonado See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | FC Dallas North Academy | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 7 | +13 | 13 | 2.17 | +0.00 | — | 100% | 2.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
No games played yet. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | FC Dallas South Academy | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 8 | +11 | 13 | 2.17 | DWWWW | +0.41 | -1.77 | 96% | 3.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at SOLAR PRE- SALCEDO · Sun Nov 1 vs DKSC Pre- Portillo See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | Sting Pre- Lucero | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 9 | +7 | 9 | 1.80 | WWLWL | -0.46 | +0.34 | 9% | 5.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 at SOLAR PRE- SALCEDO · Sun Nov 1 at Nido Dallas Pre - Maldonado · Thu Nov 5 vs Dallas Texans Pre- McKinney See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | SOLAR PRE- SALCEDO | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 7 | 1.40 | WLWDL | +0.50 | -0.77 | 4% | 5.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs FC Dallas South Academy · Sat Oct 31 vs Sting Pre- Lucero · Sun Nov 8 at DKSC Pre- Portillo See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | OK Energy FC Pre II | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 7 | 0.88 | LLLWD | +0.05 | — | 0% | 7.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | Nido Dallas Pre - Maldonado | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 3 | 0.60 | LWLLL | -0.28 | +0.79 | 0% | 8.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at SOLAR PRE- OGLESBY · Sun Nov 1 vs Sting Pre- Lucero · Sun Nov 8 at Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Academy See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | DKSC Pre- Portillo | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 38 | -37 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +0.23 | +1.08 | 0% | 9.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Dallas Texans Pre- McKinney · Sun Nov 1 at FC Dallas South Academy · Sun Nov 8 vs SOLAR PRE- SALCEDO See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.67 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.