TableChase Clubs

SOLAR PRE- SALCEDO

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- North Texas BU12 · 9 teams · Solar SC (all teams)

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6th
2-1-2 record · 5 played
1.40 points per game
+2 goal diff · 9–7
WLWDLlast 5
4% chance of top 4 · expected finish 5.5
+0.50 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 03:30 PM

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SOLAR PRE- SALCEDO
6th · 1.40 PPG
vs

Fairview Soccer Park , Field 6A ↗

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.7 for, 1.9 against · 1.26 expected points)

Season so farSOLAR PRE- SALCEDOFC Dallas South Academy
Position6th4th
Record (W-D-L)2-1-24-1-1
Points per game1.402.17
Goals for / game1.83.2
Goals against / game1.41.3
Clean sheets11
Held scoreless21
Form (recent first)L D W L WW W W W D
Biggest win5–2 at Nido Dallas Pre - Maldonado5–0 vs SOLAR PRE- OGLESBY
Worst loss0–2 at SOLAR PRE- OGLESBY0–2 vs Dallas Texans Pre- McKinney
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.45+1.10
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.50+0.41

Common opponents: Nido Dallas Pre - Maldonado — we 5–2; they 4–2. SOLAR PRE- OGLESBY — we 0–2; they 5–0. OK Energy FC Pre II — we 2–0; they 4–1. Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Academy — we 2–2; they 2–2. Dallas Texans Pre- McKinney — we 0–1; they 0–2.

Game plan

  • Hard to break down
    FC Dallas South Academy concede only 1.3/game with 1 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–2 at SOLAR PRE- OGLESBY, 0–1 at Dallas Texans Pre- McKinney.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 35%; a draw (22%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • They arrive in form
    FC Dallas South Academy have won 4 straight.

    Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the FC Dallas South Academy game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (SOLAR PRE- SALCEDO – FC Dallas South Academy) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 1 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 1.33 PPG
6th— holds 6th— holds 6th— holds
Win
1.67 PPG
6th— holds 6th— holds 6th— holds
Draw
1.33 PPG
6th— holds 6th— holds 6th— holds
Loss
1.17 PPG
6th— holds 6th— holds 6th— holds

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–1 draw we stay 6th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
4% top 4
96% below the top 4
5.5 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd <1%
  4. 4th 3%
  5. 5th 40%
  6. 6th 56%
  7. 7th <1%
  8. 8th
  9. 9th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 3 remaining known games (max 2.00 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Dallas Texans Pre- McKinney 2.60 (+1.20) 1st (2.43) 14 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 13 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Academy 2.20 (+0.80) 4th (2.16) 11 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 11 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 FC Dallas North Academy 2.17 (+0.77) 3rd (2.17) 11 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 11 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
4 FC Dallas South Academy 2.17 (+0.77) 2nd (2.18) 11 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 11 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
5 Sting Pre- Lucero 1.80 (+0.40) 5th (1.65) 8 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 7 for their projection

How the results connect

14 chains · 7 teams

Paths of results that link SOLAR PRE- SALCEDO to FC Dallas South Academy through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

6 favour us
1 even
7 favour them
-0.2 goals per chain on average. The results call it close.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
2–2 2–2 0–1 2–0 2–0 1–4 5–2 2–4 7–3 5–3 1–4 2–1 4–1 0–3 SOLAR PRE- SALCEDO 6th Atletico Dallas You… 2nd Dallas Texans Pre- … 1st OK Energy FC Pre II 7th Nido Dallas Pre - M… 8th Sting Pre- Lucero 5th FC Dallas South Aca… 4th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

9 game days

1st 5th 9th Sep 12 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.77 · 6th hardest of 7

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
03:30 PM
FC Dallas South Academy
4th · 4-1-1 · GD +11
Home
Fairview Soccer Park
●●●●○ Tough
35%
1–1 1.26 1.38 Upside
Sat Oct 31
03:30 PM
Sting Pre- Lucero
5th · 3-0-2 · GD +7
Home
Fairview Soccer Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
44%
2–1 1.54 1.40 Swing game
Sun Nov 8
09:30 AM
DKSC Pre- Portillo
9th · 0-0-5 · GD -37
Away
Fairview Soccer Park
●○○○○ Favorable
90%
4–0 2.77 1.57 Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Dallas Texans Pre- McKinney 5410 152+13 132.60 WWWDW -0.06 -0.54 98% 1.8
2 Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Academy 5320 2510+15 112.20 WDWDW -0.58 +0.19 93% 2.9
3 FC Dallas North Academy 6411 207+13 132.17 +0.00 — 100% 2.6
4 FC Dallas South Academy 6411 198+11 132.17 DWWWW +0.41 -1.77 96% 3.0
5 Sting Pre- Lucero 5302 169+7 91.80 WWLWL -0.46 +0.34 9% 5.2
6 SOLAR PRE- SALCEDO 5212 97+2 71.40 WLWDL +0.50 -0.77 4% 5.5
7 OK Energy FC Pre II 8215 1119-8 70.88 LLLWD +0.05 — 0% 7.0
8 Nido Dallas Pre - Maldonado 5104 1523-8 30.60 LWLLL -0.28 +0.79 0% 8.0
9 DKSC Pre- Portillo 5005 138-37 00.00 LLLLL +0.23 +1.08 0% 9.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.67 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.