SOLAR PRE- SALCEDO
Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- North Texas BU12 · 9 teams · Solar SC (all teams)
Next game — Sun Oct 25, 03:30 PM
Fairview Soccer Park , Field 6A ↗
●●●●○ Tough to win
Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.7 for, 1.9 against · 1.26 expected points)
| Season so far | SOLAR PRE- SALCEDO | FC Dallas South Academy |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 6th | 4th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 2-1-2 | 4-1-1 |
| Points per game | 1.40 | 2.17 |
| Goals for / game | 1.8 | 3.2 |
| Goals against / game | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 2 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | L D W L W | W W W W D |
| Biggest win | 5–2 at Nido Dallas Pre - Maldonado | 5–0 vs SOLAR PRE- OGLESBY |
| Worst loss | 0–2 at SOLAR PRE- OGLESBY | 0–2 vs Dallas Texans Pre- McKinney |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.45 | +1.10 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.50 | +0.41 |
Common opponents: Nido Dallas Pre - Maldonado — we 5–2; they 4–2. SOLAR PRE- OGLESBY — we 0–2; they 5–0. OK Energy FC Pre II — we 2–0; they 4–1. Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Academy — we 2–2; they 2–2. Dallas Texans Pre- McKinney — we 0–1; they 0–2.
Game plan
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Hard to break down
FC Dallas South Academy concede only 1.3/game with 1 clean sheet(s).Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–2 at SOLAR PRE- OGLESBY, 0–1 at Dallas Texans Pre- McKinney.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 35%; a draw (22%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
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They arrive in form
FC Dallas South Academy have won 4 straight.Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the FC Dallas South Academy game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (SOLAR PRE- SALCEDO – FC Dallas South Academy) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 1 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Draw · 1.33 PPG |
6th— holds | 6th— holds | 6th— holds |
| Win 1.67 PPG |
6th— holds | 6th— holds | 6th— holds |
| Draw 1.33 PPG |
6th— holds | 6th— holds | 6th— holds |
| Loss 1.17 PPG |
6th— holds | 6th— holds | 6th— holds |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–1 draw we stay 6th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd
- 3rd <1%
- 4th 3%
- 5th 40%
- 6th 56%
- 7th <1%
- 8th
- 9th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 3 remaining known games (max 2.00 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dallas Texans Pre- McKinney | 2.60 (+1.20) | 1st (2.43) | 14 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 13 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Academy | 2.20 (+0.80) | 4th (2.16) | 11 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 11 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 3 | FC Dallas North Academy | 2.17 (+0.77) | 3rd (2.17) | 11 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 11 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 4 | FC Dallas South Academy | 2.17 (+0.77) | 2nd (2.18) | 11 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 11 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 5 | Sting Pre- Lucero | 1.80 (+0.40) | 5th (1.65) | 8 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 7 for their projection |
How the results connect
14 chains · 7 teams
Paths of results that link SOLAR PRE- SALCEDO to FC Dallas South Academy through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
9 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.77 · 6th hardest of 7
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Oct 25 03:30 PM |
FC Dallas South Academy 4th · 4-1-1 · GD +11 |
Home Fairview Soccer Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
1–1 | 1.26 | 1.38 | Upside |
| Sat Oct 31 03:30 PM |
Sting Pre- Lucero 5th · 3-0-2 · GD +7 |
Home Fairview Soccer Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 44% |
2–1 | 1.54 | 1.40 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 8 09:30 AM |
DKSC Pre- Portillo 9th · 0-0-5 · GD -37 |
Away Fairview Soccer Park |
●○○○○ Favorable | 90% |
4–0 | 2.77 | 1.57 | Bank it |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Dallas Texans Pre- McKinney | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 2 | +13 | 13 | 2.60 | WWWDW | -0.06 | -0.54 | 98% | 1.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs DKSC Pre- Portillo · Sun Nov 1 at Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Academy · Thu Nov 5 at Sting Pre- Lucero See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Academy | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 10 | +15 | 11 | 2.20 | WDWDW | -0.58 | +0.19 | 93% | 2.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs SOLAR PRE- OGLESBY · Sun Nov 1 vs Dallas Texans Pre- McKinney · Sun Nov 8 vs Nido Dallas Pre - Maldonado See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | FC Dallas North Academy | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 7 | +13 | 13 | 2.17 | +0.00 | — | 100% | 2.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. |
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| 4 | FC Dallas South Academy | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 8 | +11 | 13 | 2.17 | DWWWW | +0.41 | -1.77 | 96% | 3.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at SOLAR PRE- SALCEDO · Sun Nov 1 vs DKSC Pre- Portillo See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Sting Pre- Lucero | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 9 | +7 | 9 | 1.80 | WWLWL | -0.46 | +0.34 | 9% | 5.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 at SOLAR PRE- SALCEDO · Sun Nov 1 at Nido Dallas Pre - Maldonado · Thu Nov 5 vs Dallas Texans Pre- McKinney See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | SOLAR PRE- SALCEDO | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 7 | 1.40 | WLWDL | +0.50 | -0.77 | 4% | 5.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs FC Dallas South Academy · Sat Oct 31 vs Sting Pre- Lucero · Sun Nov 8 at DKSC Pre- Portillo See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | OK Energy FC Pre II | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 7 | 0.88 | LLLWD | +0.05 | — | 0% | 7.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 8 | Nido Dallas Pre - Maldonado | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 3 | 0.60 | LWLLL | -0.28 | +0.79 | 0% | 8.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at SOLAR PRE- OGLESBY · Sun Nov 1 vs Sting Pre- Lucero · Sun Nov 8 at Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Academy See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | DKSC Pre- Portillo | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 38 | -37 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +0.23 | +1.08 | 0% | 9.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Dallas Texans Pre- McKinney · Sun Nov 1 at FC Dallas South Academy · Sun Nov 8 vs SOLAR PRE- SALCEDO See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.67 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.