TableChase Clubs

Nido Dallas Pre - Maldonado

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- North Texas BU12 · 9 teams · Club America Nido Dallas (all teams)

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8th
1-0-5 record · 6 played
0.50 points per game
-10 goal diff · 17–27
WLLLLlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 8.0
-0.28 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Nov 1, 12:30 PM

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Nido Dallas Pre - Maldonado
8th · 0.50 PPG
vs
Sting Pre- Lucero
5th · 1.80 PPG

Fairview Soccer Park , Field 6A ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 2–4 (expected goals 2.7 for, 4.2 against · 0.80 expected points)

Season so farNido Dallas Pre - MaldonadoSting Pre- Lucero
Position8th5th
Record (W-D-L)1-0-53-0-2
Points per game0.501.80
Goals for / game2.83.2
Goals against / game4.51.8
Clean sheets03
Held scoreless10
Form (recent first)L L L L WL W L W W
Biggest win10–1 at DKSC Pre- Portillo6–0 at DKSC Pre- Portillo
Worst loss0–9 at Dallas Texans Pre- McKinney1–4 vs FC Dallas South Academy
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-1.17+0.60
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.28-0.46

Common opponents: DKSC Pre- Portillo — we 10–1; they 6–0. FC Dallas South Academy — we 2–4; they 1–4. OK Energy FC Pre II — we 1–4; they 3–0. SOLAR PRE- OGLESBY — we 2–4; they 3–0.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–9 at Dallas Texans Pre- McKinney.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 22%; a draw (13%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Sting Pre- Lucero game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Nido Dallas Pre - Maldonado – Sting Pre- Lucero) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 3 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.43 PPG
8th— holds 8th— holds 9th▼ down 1
Win
0.86 PPG
8th— holds 8th— holds 8th— holds
Draw
0.57 PPG
8th— holds 8th— holds 8th— holds
Loss
0.43 PPG
8th— holds 8th— holds 9th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–4 loss we stay 8th even if every rival loses, and as low as 9th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
8.0 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th 2%
  8. 8th 98%
  9. 9th <1%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 2 remaining known games (max 1.13 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Dallas Texans Pre- McKinney 2.60 (+2.10) 1st (2.43) 18 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 17 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Academy 2.20 (+1.70) 4th (2.16) 15 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 15 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 FC Dallas North Academy 2.17 (+1.67) 3rd (2.17) 15 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 15 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
4 FC Dallas South Academy 2.17 (+1.67) 2nd (2.18) 15 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 15 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
5 Sting Pre- Lucero 1.80 (+1.30) 5th (1.65) 12 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 11 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
6 SOLAR PRE- SALCEDO 1.40 (+0.90) 6th (1.57) 9 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 10 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
7 OK Energy FC Pre II 0.88 (+0.38) 7th (0.88) 5 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 4 for their projection

How the results connect

14 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link Nido Dallas Pre - Maldonado to Sting Pre- Lucero through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

4 favour us
1 even
9 favour them
-2.4 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
2–4 4–1 10–1 0–6 1–4 0–3 2–2 5–3 2–5 2–2 4–1 0–9 0–9 2–0 0–2 2–0 3–7 Nido Dallas Pre - M… 8th FC Dallas South Aca… 4th DKSC Pre- Portillo 9th OK Energy FC Pre II 7th SOLAR PRE- SALCEDO 6th Dallas Texans Pre- … 1st Atletico Dallas You… 2nd Sting Pre- Lucero 5th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

9 game days

1st 5th 9th Sep 12 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +1.19 · 1st hardest of 7

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Nov 1
12:30 PM
Sting Pre- Lucero
5th · 3-0-2 · GD +7
Home
Fairview Soccer Park
●●●●● Very tough
22%
2–4 0.80 0.54 Upside
Sun Nov 8
09:30 AM
Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Academy
2nd · 3-2-0 · GD +15
Away
Fairview Soccer Park
●●●●● Very tough
6%
2–6 0.22 0.50 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Dallas Texans Pre- McKinney 5410 152+13 132.60 WWWDW -0.07 -0.54 97% 1.8
2 Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Academy 5320 2510+15 112.20 WDWDW -0.58 +0.17 94% 2.8
3 FC Dallas North Academy 6411 207+13 132.17 +0.00 — 100% 2.6
4 FC Dallas South Academy 6411 198+11 132.17 DWWWW +0.40 -1.77 97% 2.9
5 Sting Pre- Lucero 5302 169+7 91.80 WWLWL -0.46 +0.32 8% 5.3
6 SOLAR PRE- SALCEDO 5212 97+2 71.40 WLWDL +0.49 -0.77 3% 5.5
7 OK Energy FC Pre II 8215 1119-8 70.88 LLLWD +0.05 — 0% 7.0
8 Nido Dallas Pre - Maldonado 6105 1727-10 30.50 WLLLL -0.28 +1.19 0% 8.0
9 DKSC Pre- Portillo 5005 138-37 00.00 LLLLL +0.21 +1.08 0% 9.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.67 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.