TableChase Clubs

FC Dallas South Academy

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- North Texas BU12 · 9 teams · FC Dallas Youth (all teams)

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4th
4-1-1 record · 6 played
2.17 points per game
+11 goal diff · 19–8
DWWWWlast 5
97% chance of top 4 · expected finish 3.0
+0.41 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 03:30 PM

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FC Dallas South Academy
4th · 2.17 PPG
at
SOLAR PRE- SALCEDO
6th · 1.40 PPG

Fairview Soccer Park , Field 6A ↗

windrawloss

●●●○○ Toss-up to win

Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.9 for, 1.7 against · 1.52 expected points)

Season so farFC Dallas South AcademySOLAR PRE- SALCEDO
Position4th6th
Record (W-D-L)4-1-12-1-2
Points per game2.171.40
Goals for / game3.21.8
Goals against / game1.31.4
Clean sheets11
Held scoreless12
Form (recent first)W W W W DL D W L W
Biggest win5–0 vs SOLAR PRE- OGLESBY5–2 at Nido Dallas Pre - Maldonado
Worst loss0–2 vs Dallas Texans Pre- McKinney0–2 at SOLAR PRE- OGLESBY
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+1.10+0.45
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.41+0.50

Common opponents: Dallas Texans Pre- McKinney — we 0–2; they 0–1. Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Academy — we 2–2; they 2–2. OK Energy FC Pre II — we 4–1; they 2–0. SOLAR PRE- OGLESBY — we 5–0; they 0–2. Nido Dallas Pre - Maldonado — we 4–2; they 5–2.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–2 vs Dallas Texans Pre- McKinney.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 43% / draw 22% / loss 35%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • Away game
    Kickoff 03:30 PM at Fairview Soccer Park .

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    FC Dallas North Academy sit 3rd on 2.17 PPG; we are on 2.17.

    A point moves us above FC Dallas North Academy on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the SOLAR PRE- SALCEDO game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (FC Dallas South Academy – SOLAR PRE- SALCEDO) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 1 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 2.00 PPG		 4th— holds 4th— holds 4th— holds
Win
2.29 PPG		 2nd▲ up 2 2nd▲ up 2 2nd▲ up 2
Draw
2.00 PPG		 4th— holds 4th— holds 4th— holds
Loss
1.86 PPG		 4th— holds 4th— holds 4th— holds

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–1 draw we stay 4th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

6% finish 1st
97% top 4
3% below the top 4
3.0 average finish
  1. 1st 6%
  2. 2nd 32%
  3. 3rd 23%
  4. 4th 36%
  5. 5th 3%
  6. 6th <1%
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 2 remaining known games (max 2.38 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Dallas Texans Pre- McKinney 2.60 (+0.43) 1st (2.43) 8 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 7 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Academy 2.20 (+0.03) 4th (2.16) A point next game
3 FC Dallas North Academy 2.17 (+0.00) 3rd (2.17) A point next game

How the results connect

14 chains · 7 teams

Paths of results that link FC Dallas South Academy to SOLAR PRE- SALCEDO through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

7 favour us
1 even
6 favour them
+0.2 goals per chain on average. The results call it close.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
2–2 2–2 4–2 2–5 4–1 0–2 0–2 1–0 4–1 3–5 3–7 1–4 1–2 3–0 FC Dallas South Aca… 4th Atletico Dallas You… 2nd Nido Dallas Pre - M… 8th OK Energy FC Pre II 7th Dallas Texans Pre- … 1st Sting Pre- Lucero 5th SOLAR PRE- SALCEDO 6th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

9 game days

1st 5th 9th Sep 12 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -1.77 · 7th hardest of 7

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
03:30 PM		 SOLAR PRE- SALCEDO
6th · 2-1-2 · GD +2		 Away
Fairview Soccer Park 		●●●○○ Toss-up
43%		 1–1 1.52 2.07 Swing game
Sun Nov 1
12:30 PM		 DKSC Pre- Portillo
9th · 0-0-5 · GD -37		 Home
Fairview Soccer Park 		●○○○○ Favorable
98%		 6–0 2.95 2.18 Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Dallas Texans Pre- McKinney 5410 152+13 132.60 WWWDW -0.06 -0.54 98% 1.8
2 Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Academy 5320 2510+15 112.20 WDWDW -0.58 +0.19 95% 2.8
3 FC Dallas North Academy 6411 207+13 132.17 +0.00 — 100% 2.6
4 FC Dallas South Academy 6411 198+11 132.17 DWWWW +0.41 -1.77 97% 3.0
5 Sting Pre- Lucero 5302 169+7 91.80 WWLWL -0.46 +0.34 8% 5.3
6 SOLAR PRE- SALCEDO 5212 97+2 71.40 WLWDL +0.50 -0.77 3% 5.5
7 OK Energy FC Pre II 8215 1119-8 70.88 LLLWD +0.05 — 0% 7.0
8 Nido Dallas Pre - Maldonado 5104 1523-8 30.60 LWLLL -0.28 +0.79 0% 8.0
9 DKSC Pre- Portillo 5005 138-37 00.00 LLLLL +0.23 +1.08 0% 9.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.67 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.