Sting Pre- Brandt

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- North Texas BU12 · 9 teams · Sting Soccer Club (all teams)

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5th

2-1-3 record · 6 played

1.17 points per game

+2 goal diff · 12–10

LWLDLlast 5

20% chance of top 4 · expected finish 5.5

-0.07 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 09:30 AM

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Sting Pre- Brandt
5th · 1.17 PPG

Atlético Dallas Youth Pre Hernandez
8th · 0.83 PPG

Dallas Soccer Park, Field 18 ↗

42% 22% 37%

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.9 for, 1.8 against · 1.46 expected points)

Season so far	Sting Pre- Brandt	Atlético Dallas Youth Pre Hernandez
Position	5th	8th
Record (W-D-L)	2-1-3	1-2-3
Points per game	1.17	0.83
Goals for / game	2.0	1.7
Goals against / game	1.7	2.0
Clean sheets	1	1
Held scoreless	2	2
Form (recent first)	L D L W L	W L D L D
Biggest win	4–0 vs NTX Celtic FC Pre- Petreas	4–0 at NTX Celtic FC Pre- Petreas
Worst loss	0–2 vs Dallas Cosmos SC Pre- Black	0–3 at Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Luna
Model rating (net goals vs avg)	+0.13	-0.22
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)	-0.07	-0.15

Common opponents: NTX Celtic FC Pre- Petreas — we 4–0; they 4–0. BVBIA DFW Pre — we 2–3; they 1–2. Dallas Texans Pre- Mendoza — we 3–1; they 2–2. Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Luna — we 0–1; they 0–3. Dutch FC Pre — we 3–3; they 3–3. Dallas Cosmos SC Pre- Black — we 0–2; they 0–2.

Game plan

Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–1 at Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Luna, 0–2 vs Dallas Cosmos SC Pre- Black.
Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 42%; a draw (22%) would be a good result.
Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
Away game
Kickoff 09:30 AM at Dallas Soccer Park.
Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
Early kickoff
Game time 09:30 AM.
Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.
What a win does
BVBIA DFW Pre sit 4th on 1.20 PPG; we are on 1.17.
A point moves us above BVBIA DFW Pre on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Atlético Dallas Youth Pre Hernandez game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Sting Pre- Brandt – Atlético Dallas Youth Pre Hernandez) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 5 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our result	Rivals don't play	Likely results	Every rival wins
– Draw · 1.14 PPG	5th— holds	6th▼ down 1	7th▼ down 2
Win 1.43 PPG	4th▲ up 1	4th▲ up 1	6th▼ down 1
Draw 1.14 PPG	5th— holds	6th▼ down 1	7th▼ down 2
Loss 1.00 PPG	6th▼ down 1	6th▼ down 1	8th▼ down 3

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 1–1 draw we finish as high as 4th if every rival drops points, and as low as 7th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st

20% top 4

80% below the top 4

5.5 average finish

1st
2nd
3rd 1%
4th 19%
5th 37%
6th 20%
7th 18%
8th 5%
9th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 2 remaining known games (max 1.63 PPG if we win out).

#	Team	PPG	Proj.	To pass them
1	Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Luna	2.60 (+1.43)	1st (2.37)	14 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 12 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2	Dallas Cosmos SC Pre- Black	2.33 (+1.16)	2nd (2.19)	12 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 11 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3	FC Dallas Youth Pre- A Reyes	2.00 (+0.83)	3rd (2.14)	9 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 11 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
4	BVBIA DFW Pre	1.20 (+0.03)	4th (1.41)	A point next game

How the results connect

22 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link Sting Pre- Brandt to Atlético Dallas Youth Pre Hernandez through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

11 favour us

5 even

6 favour them

+0.5 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.

won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

9 game days

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.41 · 5th hardest of 9

Date	Opponent	Where	Difficulty	Win	Likely	Exp. pts	Run. PPG	Priority
Sun Oct 25 09:30 AM	Atlético Dallas Youth Pre Hernandez 8th · 1-2-3 · GD -2	Away Dallas Soccer Park	●●●●○ Tough	42%	1–1	1.46	1.21	Upside
Sat Oct 31 02:00 PM	FC Dallas Youth Pre- A Reyes 3rd · 2-2-0 · GD +7	Away Dallas Soccer Park	●●●●● Very tough	15%	0–2	0.67	1.14	Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

Team

Pts

PPG

Form

SoS

Run-in

Top 4

Exp. finish

Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Luna

+12

2.60

DWWWW

-0.35

+0.15

100%

1.6

W	Sun Oct 18	at	BVBIA DFW Pre (4th)	3–2
W	Sun Oct 11	vs	Sting Pre- Brandt (5th)	1–0
W	Sun Sep 27	at	NTX Celtic FC Pre- Petreas (9th)	8–1
W	Sat Sep 26	vs	Atlético Dallas Youth Pre Hernandez (8th)	3–0
D	Sun Sep 13	vs	FC Dallas Youth Pre- A Reyes (3rd)	0–0

Next: Sun Oct 25 at Dutch FC Pre · Sun Nov 1 at Dallas Cosmos SC Pre- Black · Sun Nov 8 vs Dallas Texans Pre- Mendoza See all 3 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	at	Dutch FC Pre (6th)	2–1	68%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	Dallas Cosmos SC Pre- Black (2nd)	1–1	35%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	Dallas Texans Pre- Mendoza (7th)	2–0	78%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Dallas Cosmos SC Pre- Black

+10

2.33

WDWWW

-0.33

+0.48

100%

2.2

W	Sun Oct 18	at	Sting Pre- Brandt (5th)	2–0
W	Sat Oct 17	at	Atlético Dallas Youth Pre Hernandez (8th)	2–0
W	Sun Oct 11	vs	NTX Celtic FC Pre- Petreas (9th)	4–0
D	Sun Sep 27	at	FC Dallas Youth Pre- A Reyes (3rd)	1–1
W	Sun Sep 20	vs	BVBIA DFW Pre (4th)	3–1
D	Sun Sep 13	vs	Dutch FC Pre (6th)	1–1

Next: Sun Oct 25 at Dallas Texans Pre- Mendoza · Sun Nov 1 vs Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Luna See all 2 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	at	Dallas Texans Pre- Mendoza (7th)	2–0	64%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Luna (1st)	1–1	38%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

FC Dallas Youth Pre- A Reyes

2.00

DWDW

+0.43

-0.68

99%

2.3

W	Sun Oct 4	vs	BVBIA DFW Pre (4th)	4–0
D	Sun Sep 27	vs	Dallas Cosmos SC Pre- Black (2nd)	1–1
W	Sun Sep 20	vs	Dutch FC Pre (6th)	3–0
D	Sun Sep 13	at	Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Luna (1st)	0–0

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Atlético Dallas Youth Pre Hernandez · Sat Oct 31 vs Sting Pre- Brandt · Sun Nov 1 at Dallas Texans Pre- Mendoza See all 4 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Atlético Dallas Youth Pre Hernandez (8th)	1–0	62%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	Sting Pre- Brandt (5th)	2–0	64%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	Dallas Texans Pre- Mendoza (7th)	2–0	65%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	NTX Celtic FC Pre- Petreas (9th)	3–0	89%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

BVBIA DFW Pre

-5

1.20

WLWLL

+0.70

-0.93

59%

4.7

L	Sun Oct 18	vs	Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Luna (1st)	2–3
L	Sun Oct 4	at	FC Dallas Youth Pre- A Reyes (3rd)	0–4
W	Sun Sep 27	at	Sting Pre- Brandt (5th)	3–2
L	Sun Sep 20	at	Dallas Cosmos SC Pre- Black (2nd)	1–3
W	Sat Sep 12	vs	Atlético Dallas Youth Pre Hernandez (8th)	2–1

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Dallas Texans Pre- Mendoza · Sun Oct 25 vs NTX Celtic FC Pre- Petreas · Sun Nov 1 vs Dutch FC Pre See all 3 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Dallas Texans Pre- Mendoza (7th)	1–2	36%
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	NTX Celtic FC Pre- Petreas (9th)	3–1	82%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	Dutch FC Pre (6th)	2–2	41%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Sting Pre- Brandt

1.17

LWLDL

-0.07

+0.41

20%

5.5

L	Sun Oct 18	vs	Dallas Cosmos SC Pre- Black (2nd)	0–2
D	Sat Oct 17	vs	Dutch FC Pre (6th)	3–3
L	Sun Oct 11	at	Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Luna (1st)	0–1
W	Sun Oct 4	at	Dallas Texans Pre- Mendoza (7th)	3–1
L	Sun Sep 27	vs	BVBIA DFW Pre (4th)	2–3
W	Sun Sep 13	vs	NTX Celtic FC Pre- Petreas (9th)	4–0

Next: Sun Oct 25 at Atlético Dallas Youth Pre Hernandez · Sat Oct 31 at FC Dallas Youth Pre- A Reyes See all 2 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	at	Atlético Dallas Youth Pre Hernandez (8th)	1–1	42%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	FC Dallas Youth Pre- A Reyes (3rd)	0–2	15%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Dutch FC Pre

-1

1.00

LDWDL

-0.15

+0.48

11%

6.1

L	Sun Oct 18	vs	Dallas Texans Pre- Mendoza (7th)	1–2
D	Sat Oct 17	at	Sting Pre- Brandt (5th)	3–3
W	Sun Oct 4	vs	NTX Celtic FC Pre- Petreas (9th)	3–0
D	Sun Sep 27	vs	Atlético Dallas Youth Pre Hernandez (8th)	3–3
L	Sun Sep 20	at	FC Dallas Youth Pre- A Reyes (3rd)	0–3
D	Sun Sep 13	at	Dallas Cosmos SC Pre- Black (2nd)	1–1

Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Luna · Sun Nov 1 at BVBIA DFW Pre See all 2 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Luna (1st)	1–2	15%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	BVBIA DFW Pre (4th)	2–2	39%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Dallas Texans Pre- Mendoza

-2

1.00

DLLW

-0.60

+0.75

6.9

W	Sun Oct 18	at	Dutch FC Pre (6th)	2–1
L	Sun Oct 4	vs	Sting Pre- Brandt (5th)	1–3
L	Sun Sep 20	at	NTX Celtic FC Pre- Petreas (9th)	1–2
D	Sun Sep 13	at	Atlético Dallas Youth Pre Hernandez (8th)	2–2

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs BVBIA DFW Pre · Sun Oct 25 vs Dallas Cosmos SC Pre- Black · Sun Nov 1 vs FC Dallas Youth Pre- A Reyes See all 4 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	BVBIA DFW Pre (4th)	2–1	43%
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	Dallas Cosmos SC Pre- Black (2nd)	0–2	15%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	FC Dallas Youth Pre- A Reyes (3rd)	0–2	15%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Luna (1st)	0–2	9%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Atlético Dallas Youth Pre Hernandez

-2

0.83

DLDLW

-0.15

+0.58

6.8

W	Sun Oct 18	at	NTX Celtic FC Pre- Petreas (9th)	4–0
L	Sat Oct 17	vs	Dallas Cosmos SC Pre- Black (2nd)	0–2
D	Sun Sep 27	at	Dutch FC Pre (6th)	3–3
L	Sat Sep 26	at	Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Luna (1st)	0–3
D	Sun Sep 13	vs	Dallas Texans Pre- Mendoza (7th)	2–2
L	Sat Sep 12	at	BVBIA DFW Pre (4th)	1–2

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs FC Dallas Youth Pre- A Reyes · Sun Oct 25 vs Sting Pre- Brandt See all 2 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	FC Dallas Youth Pre- A Reyes (3rd)	0–1	17%
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	Sting Pre- Brandt (5th)	1–1	37%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

NTX Celtic FC Pre- Petreas

-21

0.50

WLLLL

+0.29

+0.32

8.9

L	Sun Oct 18	vs	Atlético Dallas Youth Pre Hernandez (8th)	0–4
L	Sun Oct 11	at	Dallas Cosmos SC Pre- Black (2nd)	0–4
L	Sun Oct 4	at	Dutch FC Pre (6th)	0–3
L	Sun Sep 27	vs	Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Luna (1st)	1–8
W	Sun Sep 20	vs	Dallas Texans Pre- Mendoza (7th)	2–1
L	Sun Sep 13	at	Sting Pre- Brandt (5th)	0–4

Next: Sun Oct 25 at BVBIA DFW Pre · Sun Nov 8 vs FC Dallas Youth Pre- A Reyes See all 2 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	at	BVBIA DFW Pre (4th)	1–3	8%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	FC Dallas Youth Pre- A Reyes (3rd)	0–3	3%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.74 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.