TableChase Clubs

Dallas Texans Pre- Mendoza

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- North Texas BU12 · 9 teams · Dallas Texans (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 44 minutes ago.
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7th
1-1-2 record · 4 played
1.00 points per game
-2 goal diff · 6–8
DLLWlast 4
7% chance of top 4 · expected finish 6.9
-0.60 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 02:00 PM

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Dallas Texans Pre- Mendoza
7th · 1.00 PPG
vs
BVBIA DFW Pre
4th · 1.20 PPG

Fairview Soccer Park , Field 1B ↗

windrawloss

●●●○○ Toss-up to win

Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.1 for, 1.9 against · 1.51 expected points)

Season so farDallas Texans Pre- MendozaBVBIA DFW Pre
Position7th4th
Record (W-D-L)1-1-22-0-3
Points per game1.001.20
Goals for / game1.51.6
Goals against / game2.02.6
Clean sheets00
Held scoreless01
Form (recent first)W L L DL L W L W
Biggest win2–1 at Dutch FC Pre2–1 vs Atlético Dallas Youth Pre Hernandez
Worst loss1–3 vs Sting Pre- Brandt0–4 at FC Dallas Youth Pre- A Reyes
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.40-0.40
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.60+0.70

Common opponents: Atlético Dallas Youth Pre Hernandez — we 2–2; they 2–1. Sting Pre- Brandt — we 1–3; they 3–2.

Game plan

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 43% / draw 21% / loss 36%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • What a win does
    Dutch FC Pre sit 6th on 1.00 PPG; we are on 1.00.

    A point moves us above Dutch FC Pre on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the BVBIA DFW Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Dallas Texans Pre- Mendoza – BVBIA DFW Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 4 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 1.40 PPG		 4th▲ up 3 4th▲ up 3 5th▲ up 2
Win
1.40 PPG		 4th▲ up 3 4th▲ up 3 5th▲ up 2
Draw
1.00 PPG		 7th— holds 6th▲ up 1 8th▼ down 1
Loss
0.80 PPG		 8th▼ down 1 7th— holds 9th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–1 win we finish as high as 4th if every rival drops points, and as low as 5th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
7% top 4
93% below the top 4
6.9 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd <1%
  4. 4th 7%
  5. 5th 8%
  6. 6th 20%
  7. 7th 22%
  8. 8th 40%
  9. 9th 3%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 4 remaining known games (max 2.00 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Luna 2.60 (+1.60) 1st (2.37) 17 of 12 pts to pass their current pace, 15 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Dallas Cosmos SC Pre- Black 2.33 (+1.33) 2nd (2.19) 15 of 12 pts to pass their current pace, 14 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 FC Dallas Youth Pre- A Reyes 2.00 (+1.00) 3rd (2.14) 12 of 12 pts to pass their current pace, 14 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
4 BVBIA DFW Pre 1.20 (+0.20) 4th (1.41) A point next game
5 Sting Pre- Brandt 1.17 (+0.17) 5th (1.14) A point next game
6 Dutch FC Pre 1.00 (+0.00) 6th (1.00) A point next game

How the results connect

14 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link Dallas Texans Pre- Mendoza to BVBIA DFW Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

2 favour us
3 even
9 favour them
-1.9 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
2–2 1–2 1–3 2–3 2–1 3–3 3–3 0–2 3–1 0–3 4–0 0–1 3–2 0–2 0–3 1–1 1–2 0–4 0–4 Dallas Texans Pre- … 7th Atlético Dallas You… 8th Sting Pre- Brandt 5th Dutch FC Pre 6th NTX Celtic FC Pre- … 9th Dallas Cosmos SC Pr… 2nd FC Dallas Youth Pre… 3rd Atletico Dallas You… 1st BVBIA DFW Pre 4th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

9 game days

1st 5th 9th Sep 12 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.75 · 1st hardest of 9

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
02:00 PM		 BVBIA DFW Pre
4th · 2-0-3 · GD -5		 Home
Fairview Soccer Park 		●●●○○ Toss-up
43%		 2–1 1.51 1.10 Swing game
Sun Oct 25
02:00 PM		 Dallas Cosmos SC Pre- Black
2nd · 4-2-0 · GD +10		 Home
Fairview Soccer Park 		●●●●● Very tough
15%		 0–2 0.66 1.03 Upside
Sun Nov 1
11:30 AM		 FC Dallas Youth Pre- A Reyes
3rd · 2-2-0 · GD +7		 Home
Fairview Soccer Park 		●●●●● Very tough
15%		 0–2 0.65 0.97 Upside
Sun Nov 8
08:00 AM		 Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Luna
1st · 4-1-0 · GD +12		 Away
Fairview Soccer Park 		●●●●● Very tough
9%		 0–2 0.39 0.90 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Luna 5410 153+12 132.60 DWWWW -0.35 +0.15 100% 1.6
2 Dallas Cosmos SC Pre- Black 6420 133+10 142.33 WDWWW -0.33 +0.48 100% 2.2
3 FC Dallas Youth Pre- A Reyes 4220 81+7 82.00 DWDW +0.43 -0.68 99% 2.3
4 BVBIA DFW Pre 5203 813-5 61.20 WLWLL +0.70 -0.93 59% 4.7
5 Sting Pre- Brandt 6213 1210+2 71.17 LWLDL -0.07 +0.41 20% 5.5
6 Dutch FC Pre 6132 1112-1 61.00 LDWDL -0.15 +0.48 11% 6.1
7 Dallas Texans Pre- Mendoza 4112 68-2 41.00 DLLW -0.60 +0.75 7% 6.9
8 Atlético Dallas Youth Pre Hernandez 6123 1012-2 50.83 DLDLW -0.15 +0.58 3% 6.8
9 NTX Celtic FC Pre- Petreas 6105 324-21 30.50 WLLLL +0.29 +0.32 0% 8.9

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.74 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.