Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Luna
Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- North Texas BU12 · 9 teams · Atletico Dallas Youth (all teams)
Next game — Sun Oct 25, 02:00 PM
Fairview Soccer Park , Field 4B ↗
●●○○○ Lean win to win
Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.6 for, 1.2 against · 2.20 expected points)
| Season so far | Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Luna | Dutch FC Pre |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 1st | 6th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 4-1-0 | 1-3-2 |
| Points per game | 2.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals for / game | 3.0 | 1.8 |
| Goals against / game | 0.6 | 2.0 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W W D | L D W D L |
| Biggest win | 8–1 at NTX Celtic FC Pre- Petreas | 3–0 vs NTX Celtic FC Pre- Petreas |
| Worst loss | — | 0–3 at FC Dallas Youth Pre- A Reyes |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.36 | -0.17 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.35 | -0.15 |
Common opponents: FC Dallas Youth Pre- A Reyes — we 0–0; they 0–3. Atlético Dallas Youth Pre Hernandez — we 3–0; they 3–3. NTX Celtic FC Pre- Petreas — we 8–1; they 3–0. Sting Pre- Brandt — we 1–0; they 3–3.
Game plan
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–0 vs FC Dallas Youth Pre- A Reyes.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Swing game — small margins
Win 68% / draw 17% / loss 15%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
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Away game
Kickoff 02:00 PM at Fairview Soccer Park .Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Dutch FC Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Luna – Dutch FC Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 5 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 2.67 PPG |
1st— holds | 1st— holds | 1st— holds |
| Win 2.67 PPG |
1st— holds | 1st— holds | 1st— holds |
| Draw 2.33 PPG |
1st— holds | 2nd▼ down 1 | 2nd▼ down 1 |
| Loss 2.17 PPG |
2nd▼ down 1 | 3rd▼ down 2 | 3rd▼ down 2 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–1 win we stay 1st even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 56%
- 2nd 26%
- 3rd 18%
- 4th <1%
- 5th
- 6th
- 7th
- 8th
- 9th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
Top of the table. The job is to stay there: see the path below for where points are most at risk.
How the results connect
19 chains · 8 teams
Paths of results that link Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Luna to Dutch FC Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
9 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.15 · 7th hardest of 9
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Oct 25 02:00 PM |
Dutch FC Pre 6th · 1-3-2 · GD -1 |
Away Fairview Soccer Park |
●●○○○ Lean win | 68% |
2–1 | 2.20 | 2.53 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 1 11:30 AM |
Dallas Cosmos SC Pre- Black 2nd · 4-2-0 · GD +10 |
Away Fairview Soccer Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
1–1 | 1.32 | 2.36 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 8 08:00 AM |
Dallas Texans Pre- Mendoza 7th · 1-1-2 · GD -2 |
Home Fairview Soccer Park |
●○○○○ Favorable | 78% |
2–0 | 2.48 | 2.37 | Bank it |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Luna | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 3 | +12 | 13 | 2.60 | DWWWW | -0.35 | +0.15 | 100% | 1.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Dutch FC Pre · Sun Nov 1 at Dallas Cosmos SC Pre- Black · Sun Nov 8 vs Dallas Texans Pre- Mendoza See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Dallas Cosmos SC Pre- Black | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 3 | +10 | 14 | 2.33 | WDWWW | -0.33 | +0.48 | 100% | 2.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Dallas Texans Pre- Mendoza · Sun Nov 1 vs Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Luna See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | FC Dallas Youth Pre- A Reyes | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 1 | +7 | 8 | 2.00 | DWDW | +0.43 | -0.68 | 99% | 2.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Atlético Dallas Youth Pre Hernandez · Sat Oct 31 vs Sting Pre- Brandt · Sun Nov 1 at Dallas Texans Pre- Mendoza See all 4 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | BVBIA DFW Pre | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 6 | 1.20 | WLWLL | +0.70 | -0.93 | 59% | 4.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Dallas Texans Pre- Mendoza · Sun Oct 25 vs NTX Celtic FC Pre- Petreas · Sun Nov 1 vs Dutch FC Pre See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Sting Pre- Brandt | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 7 | 1.17 | LWLDL | -0.07 | +0.41 | 21% | 5.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Atlético Dallas Youth Pre Hernandez · Sat Oct 31 at FC Dallas Youth Pre- A Reyes See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Dutch FC Pre | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 6 | 1.00 | LDWDL | -0.15 | +0.48 | 11% | 6.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Luna · Sun Nov 1 at BVBIA DFW Pre See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Dallas Texans Pre- Mendoza | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 4 | 1.00 | DLLW | -0.60 | +0.75 | 6% | 6.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs BVBIA DFW Pre · Sun Oct 25 vs Dallas Cosmos SC Pre- Black · Sun Nov 1 vs FC Dallas Youth Pre- A Reyes See all 4 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Atlético Dallas Youth Pre Hernandez | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 5 | 0.83 | DLDLW | -0.15 | +0.58 | 3% | 6.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs FC Dallas Youth Pre- A Reyes · Sun Oct 25 vs Sting Pre- Brandt See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | NTX Celtic FC Pre- Petreas | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 24 | -21 | 3 | 0.50 | WLLLL | +0.29 | +0.32 | 0% | 8.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at BVBIA DFW Pre · Sun Nov 8 vs FC Dallas Youth Pre- A Reyes See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.74 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.