Atlético Dallas Youth Pre Hernandez
Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- North Texas BU12 · 9 teams · Atletico Dallas Youth (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 24, 03:30 PM
Dallas Soccer Park, Field 18 ↗
●●●●● Very tough to win
Most likely score 0–1 (expected goals 0.9 for, 2.0 against · 0.71 expected points)
| Season so far | Atlético Dallas Youth Pre Hernandez | FC Dallas Youth Pre- A Reyes |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 8th | 3rd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 1-2-3 | 2-2-0 |
| Points per game | 0.83 | 2.00 |
| Goals for / game | 1.7 | 2.0 |
| Goals against / game | 2.0 | 0.3 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 3 |
| Held scoreless | 2 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | W L D L D | W D W D |
| Biggest win | 4–0 at NTX Celtic FC Pre- Petreas | 4–0 vs BVBIA DFW Pre |
| Worst loss | 0–3 at Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Luna | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -0.22 | +1.04 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.15 | +0.43 |
Common opponents: BVBIA DFW Pre — we 1–2; they 4–0. Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Luna — we 0–3; they 0–0. Dutch FC Pre — we 3–3; they 3–0. Dallas Cosmos SC Pre- Black — we 0–2; they 1–1.
Game plan
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Hard to break down
FC Dallas Youth Pre- A Reyes concede only 0.2/game with 3 clean sheet(s).Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–3 at Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Luna, 0–2 vs Dallas Cosmos SC Pre- Black.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 17%; a draw (21%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
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What a win does
Dallas Texans Pre- Mendoza sit 7th on 1.00 PPG; we are on 0.83.A point moves us above Dallas Texans Pre- Mendoza on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the FC Dallas Youth Pre- A Reyes game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Atlético Dallas Youth Pre Hernandez – FC Dallas Youth Pre- A Reyes) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 4 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Loss · 0.71 PPG |
8th— holds | 8th— holds | 9th▼ down 1 |
| Win 1.14 PPG |
6th▲ up 2 | 7th▲ up 1 | 8th— holds |
| Draw 0.86 PPG |
8th— holds | 8th— holds | 8th— holds |
| Loss 0.71 PPG |
8th— holds | 8th— holds | 9th▼ down 1 |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 0–1 loss we finish as high as 7th if every rival drops points, and as low as 9th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd
- 3rd <1%
- 4th 3%
- 5th 16%
- 6th 20%
- 7th 27%
- 8th 32%
- 9th 2%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 2 remaining known games (max 1.38 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Luna | 2.60 (+1.77) | 1st (2.37) | 16 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 14 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | Dallas Cosmos SC Pre- Black | 2.33 (+1.50) | 2nd (2.19) | 14 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 13 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 3 | FC Dallas Youth Pre- A Reyes | 2.00 (+1.17) | 3rd (2.14) | 11 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 13 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 4 | BVBIA DFW Pre | 1.20 (+0.37) | 4th (1.41) | 5 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 7 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 5 | Sting Pre- Brandt | 1.17 (+0.34) | 5th (1.14) | 5 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 5 for their projection |
| 6 | Dutch FC Pre | 1.00 (+0.17) | 6th (1.00) | A point next game |
| 7 | Dallas Texans Pre- Mendoza | 1.00 (+0.17) | 7th (0.90) | A point next game |
How the results connect
14 chains · 8 teams
Paths of results that link Atlético Dallas Youth Pre Hernandez to FC Dallas Youth Pre- A Reyes through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
9 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.58 · 2nd hardest of 9
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 24 03:30 PM |
FC Dallas Youth Pre- A Reyes 3rd · 2-2-0 · GD +7 |
Home Dallas Soccer Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 17% |
0–1 | 0.71 | 0.82 | Upside |
| Sun Oct 25 09:30 AM |
Sting Pre- Brandt 5th · 2-1-3 · GD +2 |
Home Dallas Soccer Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 37% |
1–1 | 1.32 | 0.88 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Luna | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 3 | +12 | 13 | 2.60 | DWWWW | -0.35 | +0.15 | 100% | 1.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Dutch FC Pre · Sun Nov 1 at Dallas Cosmos SC Pre- Black · Sun Nov 8 vs Dallas Texans Pre- Mendoza See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Dallas Cosmos SC Pre- Black | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 3 | +10 | 14 | 2.33 | WDWWW | -0.33 | +0.48 | 100% | 2.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Dallas Texans Pre- Mendoza · Sun Nov 1 vs Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Luna See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | FC Dallas Youth Pre- A Reyes | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 1 | +7 | 8 | 2.00 | DWDW | +0.43 | -0.68 | 99% | 2.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Atlético Dallas Youth Pre Hernandez · Sat Oct 31 vs Sting Pre- Brandt · Sun Nov 1 at Dallas Texans Pre- Mendoza See all 4 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | BVBIA DFW Pre | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 6 | 1.20 | WLWLL | +0.70 | -0.93 | 60% | 4.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Dallas Texans Pre- Mendoza · Sun Oct 25 vs NTX Celtic FC Pre- Petreas · Sun Nov 1 vs Dutch FC Pre See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Sting Pre- Brandt | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 7 | 1.17 | LWLDL | -0.07 | +0.41 | 21% | 5.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Atlético Dallas Youth Pre Hernandez · Sat Oct 31 at FC Dallas Youth Pre- A Reyes See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Dutch FC Pre | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 6 | 1.00 | LDWDL | -0.15 | +0.48 | 11% | 6.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Luna · Sun Nov 1 at BVBIA DFW Pre See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Dallas Texans Pre- Mendoza | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 4 | 1.00 | DLLW | -0.60 | +0.75 | 6% | 6.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs BVBIA DFW Pre · Sun Oct 25 vs Dallas Cosmos SC Pre- Black · Sun Nov 1 vs FC Dallas Youth Pre- A Reyes See all 4 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Atlético Dallas Youth Pre Hernandez | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 5 | 0.83 | DLDLW | -0.15 | +0.58 | 3% | 6.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs FC Dallas Youth Pre- A Reyes · Sun Oct 25 vs Sting Pre- Brandt See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | NTX Celtic FC Pre- Petreas | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 24 | -21 | 3 | 0.50 | WLLLL | +0.29 | +0.32 | 0% | 8.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at BVBIA DFW Pre · Sun Nov 8 vs FC Dallas Youth Pre- A Reyes See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.74 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.