TableChase Clubs

SOLAR PRE- ROMERO

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- North Texas BU10 · 10 teams · Solar SC (all teams)

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5th
3-0-3 record · 6 played
1.50 points per game
+2 goal diff · 20–18
WLLWLlast 5
10% chance of top 4 · expected finish 5.9
-0.98 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 08:00 AM

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SOLAR PRE- ROMERO
5th · 1.50 PPG
at
Sting Pre- Lucero
2nd · 2.50 PPG

Fairview Soccer Park , Field 4B ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–6 (expected goals 1.8 for, 6.4 against · 0.14 expected points)

Season so farSOLAR PRE- ROMEROSting Pre- Lucero
Position5th2nd
Record (W-D-L)3-0-35-0-1
Points per game1.502.50
Goals for / game3.37.5
Goals against / game3.01.2
Clean sheets12
Held scoreless30
Form (recent first)L W L L WL W W W W
Biggest win7–0 vs FC Dallas Youth Pre- A Reyes16–1 at Texas Warriors FC Pre- Perreira
Worst loss0–6 vs DKSC Pre- Arana1–3 vs Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Academy
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.08+3.91
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.98-0.42

Common opponents: Texas Warriors FC Pre- Perreira — we 6–4; they 16–1. NTX United FC Pre Guibert — we 0–3; they 8–0. DKSC Pre- Arana — we 0–6; they 3–1. Atlético Dallas Youth Pre- Luna — we 7–1; they 13–0. Dallas Texans Pre- Rojas — we 0–4; they 4–2.

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    Sting Pre- Lucero score 7.5/game — well above the league's 3.1.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Hard to break down
    Sting Pre- Lucero concede only 1.2/game with 2 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 3 time(s): 0–3 at NTX United FC Pre Guibert, 0–6 vs DKSC Pre- Arana, 0–4 vs Dallas Texans Pre- Rojas.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 3%; a draw (4%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 08:00 AM at Fairview Soccer Park .

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 08:00 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

  • What a win does
    NTX United FC Pre Guibert sit 4th on 1.67 PPG; we are on 1.50.

    A point moves us above NTX United FC Pre Guibert on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Sting Pre- Lucero game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (SOLAR PRE- ROMERO – Sting Pre- Lucero) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 4 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 1.29 PPG
5th— holds 6th▼ down 1 7th▼ down 2
Win
1.71 PPG
4th▲ up 1 4th▲ up 1 5th— holds
Draw
1.43 PPG
5th— holds 5th— holds 6th▼ down 1
Loss
1.29 PPG
5th— holds 6th▼ down 1 7th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–6 loss we stay 5th even if every rival loses, and as low as 7th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
10% top 4
90% below the top 4
5.9 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th 10%
  5. 5th 13%
  6. 6th 49%
  7. 7th 26%
  8. 8th 1%
  9. 9th
  10. 10th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 2 remaining known games (max 1.88 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Academy 3.00 (+1.50) 1st (2.86) 15 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 14 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Sting Pre- Lucero 2.50 (+1.00) 3rd (2.56) 11 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 12 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 DKSC Pre- Arana 2.50 (+1.00) 2nd (2.58) 11 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 12 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
4 NTX United FC Pre Guibert 1.67 (+0.17) 5th (1.32) A point next game

How the results connect

22 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link SOLAR PRE- ROMERO to Sting Pre- Lucero through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

2 favour us
1 even
19 favour them
-6.0 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–4 2–4 7–1 0–13 0–6 1–3 0–3 0–8 6–4 1–16 1–5 3–1 0–9 7–0 6–0 16–0 0–2 1–3 0–8 SOLAR PRE- ROMERO 5th Dallas Texans Pre- … 6th Atlético Dallas You… 10th DKSC Pre- Arana 3rd NTX United FC Pre G… 4th Texas Warriors FC P… 9th FC Dallas Youth Pre… 8th Atletico Dallas You… 1st Sting Pre- Lucero 2nd

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

7 game days

1st 5th 10th Sep 12 Sep 26 Oct 3 Oct 17

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +3.09 · 1st hardest of 10

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
08:00 AM
Sting Pre- Lucero
2nd · 5-0-1 · GD +38
Away
Fairview Soccer Park
●●●●● Very tough
3%
1–6 0.14 1.31 Upside
Sat Oct 31
08:00 AM
Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Academy
1st · 6-0-0 · GD +23
Home
Fairview Soccer Park
●●●●● Very tough
14%
1–3 0.54 1.21 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Academy 6600 296+23 183.00 WWWWW -0.70 -0.20 100% 1.4
2 Sting Pre- Lucero 6501 457+38 152.50 WWWWL -0.42 -0.14 100% 2.0
3 DKSC Pre- Arana 6501 334+29 152.50 WLWWW -0.30 -1.56 100% 2.6
4 NTX United FC Pre Guibert 6312 1114-3 101.67 LWLWW +0.02 +2.63 15% 5.4
5 SOLAR PRE- ROMERO 6303 2018+2 91.50 WLLWL -0.98 +3.09 10% 5.9
6 Dallas Texans Pre- Rojas 6213 1611+5 71.17 LWLLW +0.55 -0.46 64% 4.7
7 DKSC Pre- De La Cruz 6213 1616+0 71.17 DLWLW -0.81 +2.29 7% 6.9
8 FC Dallas Youth Pre- A Reyes 6114 1220-8 40.67 DLWLL +0.35 -2.52 4% 7.1
9 Texas Warriors FC Pre- Perreira 6105 1240-28 30.50 LWLLL +0.76 -1.37 0% 9.0
10 Atlético Dallas Youth Pre- Luna 6006 159-58 00.00 LLLLL +1.53 -1.76 0% 10.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (3.08 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.