FC Dallas Youth Pre- A Reyes

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- North Texas BU10 · 10 teams · FC Dallas Youth (all teams)

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8th

1-1-4 record · 6 played

0.67 points per game

-8 goal diff · 12–20

DLWLLlast 5

3% chance of top 4 · expected finish 7.1

+0.35 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 08:30 AM

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FC Dallas Youth Pre- A Reyes
8th · 0.67 PPG

Atlético Dallas Youth Pre- Luna
10th · 0.00 PPG

Fairview Soccer Park , Field 3B ↗

95%

windrawloss

●○○○○ Favorable to win

Most likely score 5–1 (expected goals 6.0 for, 1.2 against · 2.88 expected points)

Season so far	FC Dallas Youth Pre- A Reyes	Atlético Dallas Youth Pre- Luna
Position	8th	10th
Record (W-D-L)	1-1-4	0-0-6
Points per game	0.67	0.00
Goals for / game	2.0	0.2
Goals against / game	3.3	9.8
Clean sheets	1	0
Held scoreless	2	5
Form (recent first)	L L W L D	L L L L L
Biggest win	6–0 at Texas Warriors FC Pre- Perreira	—
Worst loss	0–7 at SOLAR PRE- ROMERO	0–16 at DKSC Pre- Arana
Model rating (net goals vs avg)	-0.73	-5.72
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)	+0.35	+1.53

Common opponents: SOLAR PRE- ROMERO — we 0–7; they 1–7. DKSC Pre- De La Cruz — we 3–3; they 0–6. Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Academy — we 2–5; they 0–9. DKSC Pre- Arana — we 1–3; they 0–16.

Game plan

They struggle to score
Atlético Dallas Youth Pre- Luna average 0.2 goals/game (league avg 3.1); blanked in 5 of 6.
A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
They leak goals — be greedy
Atlético Dallas Youth Pre- Luna concede 9.8/game; worst result 0–16 at DKSC Pre- Arana.
Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.
Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–7 at SOLAR PRE- ROMERO, 0–2 vs NTX United FC Pre Guibert.
Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
Expected win — the trap is complacency
Model gives a 95% chance; likely score 5–1.
Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.
Confidence is low on their side
Atlético Dallas Youth Pre- Luna have lost 6 straight (form: LLLLL).
Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.
Early kickoff
Game time 08:30 AM.
Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Atlético Dallas Youth Pre- Luna game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (FC Dallas Youth Pre- A Reyes – Atlético Dallas Youth Pre- Luna) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 4 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our result	Rivals don't play	Likely results	Every rival wins
– Win · 1.00 PPG	8th— holds	8th— holds	8th— holds
Win 1.00 PPG	8th— holds	8th— holds	8th— holds
Draw 0.71 PPG	8th— holds	8th— holds	9th▼ down 1
Loss 0.57 PPG	8th— holds	8th— holds	9th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? No. With a 5–1 win we stay 8th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st

3% top 4

97% below the top 4

7.1 average finish

1st
2nd
3rd
4th 3%
5th 12%
6th 6%
7th 29%
8th 46%
9th 3%
10th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 2 remaining known games (max 1.25 PPG if we win out).

#	Team	PPG	Proj.	To pass them
1	Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Academy	3.00 (+2.33)	1st (2.86)	20 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2	Sting Pre- Lucero	2.50 (+1.83)	3rd (2.56)	16 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 17 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3	DKSC Pre- Arana	2.50 (+1.83)	2nd (2.58)	16 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 17 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
4	NTX United FC Pre Guibert	1.67 (+1.00)	5th (1.32)	10 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 7 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
5	SOLAR PRE- ROMERO	1.50 (+0.83)	6th (1.21)	8 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 6 for their projection
6	Dallas Texans Pre- Rojas	1.17 (+0.50)	4th (1.36)	6 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 7 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
7	DKSC Pre- De La Cruz	1.17 (+0.50)	7th (1.01)	6 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 5 for their projection

How the results connect

23 chains · 10 teams

Paths of results that link FC Dallas Youth Pre- A Reyes to Atlético Dallas Youth Pre- Luna through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

21 favour us

2 favour them

+7.0 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.

won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

7 game days

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -2.52 · 10th hardest of 10

Date	Opponent	Where	Difficulty	Win	Likely	Exp. pts	Run. PPG	Priority
Sat Oct 24 08:30 AM	Atlético Dallas Youth Pre- Luna 10th · 0-0-6 · GD -58	Home Fairview Soccer Park	●○○○○ Favorable	95%	5–1	2.88	0.98	Bank it
Sat Oct 31 08:00 AM	Dallas Texans Pre- Rojas 6th · 2-1-3 · GD +5	Home Fairview Soccer Park	●●●●○ Tough	25%	1–2	0.93	0.98	Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

Team

Pts

PPG

Form

SoS

Run-in

Top 4

Exp. finish

Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Academy

+23

3.00

WWWWW

-0.70

-0.20

100%

1.4

W	Sat Oct 17	at	Sting Pre- Lucero (2nd)	3–1
W	Sat Oct 10	vs	Texas Warriors FC Pre- Perreira (9th)	5–1
W	Sat Oct 3	at	Dallas Texans Pre- Rojas (6th)	4–0
W	Sat Sep 26	vs	FC Dallas Youth Pre- A Reyes (8th)	5–2
W	Sat Sep 19	at	Atlético Dallas Youth Pre- Luna (10th)	9–0
W	Sat Sep 12	vs	DKSC Pre- De La Cruz (7th)	3–2

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs NTX United FC Pre Guibert · Sat Oct 31 at SOLAR PRE- ROMERO See all 2 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	NTX United FC Pre Guibert (4th)	3–1	81%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	SOLAR PRE- ROMERO (5th)	3–1	74%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Sting Pre- Lucero

+38

2.50

WWWWL

-0.42

-0.14

100%

2.0

L	Sat Oct 17	vs	Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Academy (1st)	1–3
W	Sat Oct 10	at	Dallas Texans Pre- Rojas (6th)	4–2
W	Sat Oct 3	vs	Atlético Dallas Youth Pre- Luna (10th)	13–0
W	Sat Sep 26	at	DKSC Pre- Arana (3rd)	3–1
W	Sat Sep 19	vs	NTX United FC Pre Guibert (4th)	8–0
W	Sat Sep 12	at	Texas Warriors FC Pre- Perreira (9th)	16–1

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs SOLAR PRE- ROMERO · Sat Oct 31 at DKSC Pre- De La Cruz See all 2 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	SOLAR PRE- ROMERO (5th)	6–1	93%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	DKSC Pre- De La Cruz (7th)	5–1	86%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

DKSC Pre- Arana

+29

2.50

WLWWW

-0.30

-1.56

100%

2.6

W	Sat Oct 17	vs	FC Dallas Youth Pre- A Reyes (8th)	3–1
W	Sat Oct 10	at	DKSC Pre- De La Cruz (7th)	6–0
W	Sat Oct 3	at	SOLAR PRE- ROMERO (5th)	6–0
L	Sat Sep 26	vs	Sting Pre- Lucero (2nd)	1–3
W	Sat Sep 19	at	Dallas Texans Pre- Rojas (6th)	1–0
W	Sat Sep 12	vs	Atlético Dallas Youth Pre- Luna (10th)	16–0

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Texas Warriors FC Pre- Perreira · Sat Oct 31 vs NTX United FC Pre Guibert See all 2 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Texas Warriors FC Pre- Perreira (9th)	7–1	97%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	NTX United FC Pre Guibert (4th)	4–1	87%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

NTX United FC Pre Guibert

-3

1.67

LWLWW

+0.02

+2.63

16%

5.3

W	Sat Oct 17	vs	Texas Warriors FC Pre- Perreira (9th)	4–2
W	Sat Oct 10	at	FC Dallas Youth Pre- A Reyes (8th)	2–0
L	Sat Oct 3	vs	DKSC Pre- De La Cruz (7th)	0–2
W	Sat Sep 26	vs	SOLAR PRE- ROMERO (5th)	3–0
L	Sat Sep 19	at	Sting Pre- Lucero (2nd)	0–8
D	Sat Sep 12	vs	Dallas Texans Pre- Rojas (6th)	2–2

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Academy · Sat Oct 31 at DKSC Pre- Arana See all 2 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Academy (1st)	1–3	8%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	DKSC Pre- Arana (3rd)	1–4	5%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

SOLAR PRE- ROMERO

1.50

WLLWL

-0.98

+3.09

11%

5.9

L	Sat Oct 17	vs	Dallas Texans Pre- Rojas (6th)	0–4
W	Sat Oct 10	at	Atlético Dallas Youth Pre- Luna (10th)	7–1
L	Sat Oct 3	vs	DKSC Pre- Arana (3rd)	0–6
L	Sat Sep 26	at	NTX United FC Pre Guibert (4th)	0–3
W	Sat Sep 19	at	Texas Warriors FC Pre- Perreira (9th)	6–4
W	Sat Sep 12	vs	FC Dallas Youth Pre- A Reyes (8th)	7–0

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Sting Pre- Lucero · Sat Oct 31 vs Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Academy See all 2 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Sting Pre- Lucero (2nd)	1–6	3%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Academy (1st)	1–3	14%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Dallas Texans Pre- Rojas

1.17

LWLLW

+0.55

-0.46

63%

4.7

W	Sat Oct 17	at	SOLAR PRE- ROMERO (5th)	4–0
L	Sat Oct 10	vs	Sting Pre- Lucero (2nd)	2–4
L	Sat Oct 3	vs	Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Academy (1st)	0–4
W	Sat Sep 26	at	Atlético Dallas Youth Pre- Luna (10th)	8–0
L	Sat Sep 19	vs	DKSC Pre- Arana (3rd)	0–1
D	Sat Sep 12	at	NTX United FC Pre Guibert (4th)	2–2

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs DKSC Pre- De La Cruz · Sat Oct 31 at FC Dallas Youth Pre- A Reyes See all 2 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	DKSC Pre- De La Cruz (7th)	2–1	60%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	FC Dallas Youth Pre- A Reyes (8th)	2–1	57%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

DKSC Pre- De La Cruz

1.17

DLWLW

-0.81

+2.29

6.9

W	Sat Oct 17	vs	Atlético Dallas Youth Pre- Luna (10th)	6–0
L	Sat Oct 10	vs	DKSC Pre- Arana (3rd)	0–6
W	Sat Oct 3	at	NTX United FC Pre Guibert (4th)	2–0
L	Sun Sep 27	vs	Texas Warriors FC Pre- Perreira (9th)	3–4
D	Sat Sep 19	at	FC Dallas Youth Pre- A Reyes (8th)	3–3
L	Sat Sep 12	at	Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Academy (1st)	2–3

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Dallas Texans Pre- Rojas · Sat Oct 31 vs Sting Pre- Lucero See all 2 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Dallas Texans Pre- Rojas (6th)	1–2	23%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	Sting Pre- Lucero (2nd)	1–5	6%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

FC Dallas Youth Pre- A Reyes

-8

0.67

DLWLL

+0.35

-2.52

7.1

L	Sat Oct 17	at	DKSC Pre- Arana (3rd)	1–3
L	Sat Oct 10	vs	NTX United FC Pre Guibert (4th)	0–2
W	Sat Oct 3	at	Texas Warriors FC Pre- Perreira (9th)	6–0
L	Sat Sep 26	at	Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Academy (1st)	2–5
D	Sat Sep 19	vs	DKSC Pre- De La Cruz (7th)	3–3
L	Sat Sep 12	at	SOLAR PRE- ROMERO (5th)	0–7

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Atlético Dallas Youth Pre- Luna · Sat Oct 31 vs Dallas Texans Pre- Rojas See all 2 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Atlético Dallas Youth Pre- Luna (10th)	5–1	95%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	Dallas Texans Pre- Rojas (6th)	1–2	25%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Texas Warriors FC Pre- Perreira

-28

0.50

LWLLL

+0.76

-1.37

9.0

L	Sat Oct 17	at	NTX United FC Pre Guibert (4th)	2–4
L	Sat Oct 10	at	Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Academy (1st)	1–5
L	Sat Oct 3	vs	FC Dallas Youth Pre- A Reyes (8th)	0–6
W	Sun Sep 27	at	DKSC Pre- De La Cruz (7th)	4–3
L	Sat Sep 19	vs	SOLAR PRE- ROMERO (5th)	4–6
L	Sat Sep 12	vs	Sting Pre- Lucero (2nd)	1–16

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs DKSC Pre- Arana · Sat Oct 31 at Atlético Dallas Youth Pre- Luna See all 2 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	DKSC Pre- Arana (3rd)	1–7	1%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	Atlético Dallas Youth Pre- Luna (10th)	5–2	81%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Atlético Dallas Youth Pre- Luna

-58

0.00

LLLLL

+1.53

-1.76

10.0

L	Sat Oct 17	at	DKSC Pre- De La Cruz (7th)	0–6
L	Sat Oct 10	vs	SOLAR PRE- ROMERO (5th)	1–7
L	Sat Oct 3	at	Sting Pre- Lucero (2nd)	0–13
L	Sat Sep 26	vs	Dallas Texans Pre- Rojas (6th)	0–8
L	Sat Sep 19	vs	Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Academy (1st)	0–9
L	Sat Sep 12	at	DKSC Pre- Arana (3rd)	0–16

Next: Sat Oct 24 at FC Dallas Youth Pre- A Reyes · Sat Oct 31 vs Texas Warriors FC Pre- Perreira See all 2 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	FC Dallas Youth Pre- A Reyes (8th)	1–5	2%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	Texas Warriors FC Pre- Perreira (9th)	2–5	10%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (3.08 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.