Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Academy

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- North Texas BU10 · 10 teams · Atletico Dallas Youth (all teams)

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1st

7-0-0 record · 7 played

3.00 points per game

+25 goal diff · 32–7

WWWWWlast 5

100% chance of top 4 · expected finish 1.2

-0.73 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 31, 08:00 AM

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Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Academy
1st · 3.00 PPG

SOLAR PRE- ROMERO
5th · 1.29 PPG

Fairview Soccer Park , Field 4B ↗

77% 11% 12%

windrawloss

●○○○○ Favorable to win

Most likely score 3–1 (expected goals 3.9 for, 1.7 against · 2.43 expected points)

Season so far	Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Academy	SOLAR PRE- ROMERO
Position	1st	5th
Record (W-D-L)	7-0-0	3-0-4
Points per game	3.00	1.29
Goals for / game	4.6	2.9
Goals against / game	1.0	3.4
Clean sheets	2	1
Held scoreless	0	4
Form (recent first)	W W W W W	L L W L L
Biggest win	9–0 at Atlético Dallas Youth Pre- Luna	7–0 vs FC Dallas Youth Pre- A Reyes
Worst loss	—	0–6 vs DKSC Pre- Arana
Model rating (net goals vs avg)	+2.22	-0.46
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)	-0.73	-0.19

Common opponents: Atlético Dallas Youth Pre- Luna — we 9–0; they 7–1. FC Dallas Youth Pre- A Reyes — we 5–2; they 7–0. Dallas Texans Pre- Rojas — we 4–0; they 0–4. Texas Warriors FC Pre- Perreira — we 5–1; they 6–4. Sting Pre- Lucero — we 3–1; they 0–6. NTX United FC Pre Guibert — we 3–1; they 0–3.

Game plan

Expected win — the trap is complacency
Model gives a 77% chance; likely score 3–1.
Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.
Away game
Kickoff 08:00 AM at Fairview Soccer Park .
Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
Early kickoff
Game time 08:00 AM.
Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the SOLAR PRE- ROMERO game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Academy – SOLAR PRE- ROMERO) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 4 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our result	Rivals don't play	Likely results	Every rival wins
– Win · 3.00 PPG	1st— holds	1st— holds	1st— holds
Win 3.00 PPG	1st— holds	1st— holds	1st— holds
Draw 2.75 PPG	1st— holds	1st— holds	1st— holds
Loss 2.63 PPG	1st— holds	3rd▼ down 2	3rd▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? No. With a 3–1 win we stay 1st even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

89% finish 1st

100% top 4

0% below the top 4

1.2 average finish

1st 89%
2nd 3%
3rd 9%
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
10th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

Top of the table. The job is to stay there: see the path below for where points are most at risk.

How the results connect

35 chains · 10 teams

Paths of results that link Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Academy to SOLAR PRE- ROMERO through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

26 favour us

1 even

8 favour them

+3.7 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.

won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

8 game days

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.46 · 6th hardest of 10

Date	Opponent	Where	Difficulty	Win	Likely	Exp. pts	Run. PPG	Priority
Sat Oct 31 08:00 AM	SOLAR PRE- ROMERO 5th · 3-0-4 · GD -4	Away Fairview Soccer Park	●○○○○ Favorable	77%	3–1	2.43	2.93	Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

Team

Pts

PPG

Form

SoS

Run-in

Top 4

Exp. finish

Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Academy

+25

3.00

WWWWW

-0.73

-0.46

100%

1.2

W	Sat Oct 24	vs	NTX United FC Pre Guibert (4th)	3–1
W	Sat Oct 17	at	Sting Pre- Lucero (2nd)	3–1
W	Sat Oct 10	vs	Texas Warriors FC Pre- Perreira (9th)	5–1
W	Sat Oct 3	at	Dallas Texans Pre- Rojas (6th)	4–0
W	Sat Sep 26	vs	FC Dallas Youth Pre- A Reyes (8th)	5–2
W	Sat Sep 19	at	Atlético Dallas Youth Pre- Luna (10th)	9–0
W	Sat Sep 12	vs	DKSC Pre- De La Cruz (7th)	3–2

Next: Sat Oct 31 at SOLAR PRE- ROMERO See all 1 future matchup ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 31	at	SOLAR PRE- ROMERO (5th)	3–1	77%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Sting Pre- Lucero

+44

2.57

WWWLW

-0.44

-0.13

100%

2.1

W	Sat Oct 24	vs	SOLAR PRE- ROMERO (5th)	6–0
L	Sat Oct 17	vs	Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Academy (1st)	1–3
W	Sat Oct 10	at	Dallas Texans Pre- Rojas (6th)	4–2
W	Sat Oct 3	vs	Atlético Dallas Youth Pre- Luna (10th)	13–0
W	Sat Sep 26	at	DKSC Pre- Arana (3rd)	3–1
W	Sat Sep 19	vs	NTX United FC Pre Guibert (4th)	8–0
W	Sat Sep 12	at	Texas Warriors FC Pre- Perreira (9th)	16–1

Next: Sat Oct 31 at DKSC Pre- De La Cruz See all 1 future matchup ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 31	at	DKSC Pre- De La Cruz (7th)	5–1	88%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

DKSC Pre- Arana

+40

2.57

LWWWW

-0.83

-0.42

100%

2.7

W	Sat Oct 24	at	Texas Warriors FC Pre- Perreira (9th)	12–1
W	Sat Oct 17	vs	FC Dallas Youth Pre- A Reyes (8th)	3–1
W	Sat Oct 10	at	DKSC Pre- De La Cruz (7th)	6–0
W	Sat Oct 3	at	SOLAR PRE- ROMERO (5th)	6–0
L	Sat Sep 26	vs	Sting Pre- Lucero (2nd)	1–3
W	Sat Sep 19	at	Dallas Texans Pre- Rojas (6th)	1–0
W	Sat Sep 12	vs	Atlético Dallas Youth Pre- Luna (10th)	16–0

Next: Sat Oct 31 vs NTX United FC Pre Guibert See all 1 future matchup ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	NTX United FC Pre Guibert (4th)	4–0	91%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

NTX United FC Pre Guibert

-5

1.43

WLWWL

+0.24

+3.62

19%

5.0

L	Sat Oct 24	at	Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Academy (1st)	1–3
W	Sat Oct 17	vs	Texas Warriors FC Pre- Perreira (9th)	4–2
W	Sat Oct 10	at	FC Dallas Youth Pre- A Reyes (8th)	2–0
L	Sat Oct 3	vs	DKSC Pre- De La Cruz (7th)	0–2
W	Sat Sep 26	vs	SOLAR PRE- ROMERO (5th)	3–0
L	Sat Sep 19	at	Sting Pre- Lucero (2nd)	0–8
D	Sat Sep 12	vs	Dallas Texans Pre- Rojas (6th)	2–2

Next: Sat Oct 31 at DKSC Pre- Arana See all 1 future matchup ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 31	at	DKSC Pre- Arana (3rd)	0–4	3%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

SOLAR PRE- ROMERO

-4

1.29

LLWLL

-0.19

+2.22

14%

5.7

L	Sat Oct 24	at	Sting Pre- Lucero (2nd)	0–6
L	Sat Oct 17	vs	Dallas Texans Pre- Rojas (6th)	0–4
W	Sat Oct 10	at	Atlético Dallas Youth Pre- Luna (10th)	7–1
L	Sat Oct 3	vs	DKSC Pre- Arana (3rd)	0–6
L	Sat Sep 26	at	NTX United FC Pre Guibert (4th)	0–3
W	Sat Sep 19	at	Texas Warriors FC Pre- Perreira (9th)	6–4
W	Sat Sep 12	vs	FC Dallas Youth Pre- A Reyes (8th)	7–0

Next: Sat Oct 31 vs Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Academy See all 1 future matchup ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Academy (1st)	1–3	12%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Dallas Texans Pre- Rojas

1.14

WLLWD

+0.47

-0.73

47%

5.1

D	Sat Oct 24	vs	DKSC Pre- De La Cruz (7th)	4–4
W	Sat Oct 17	at	SOLAR PRE- ROMERO (5th)	4–0
L	Sat Oct 10	vs	Sting Pre- Lucero (2nd)	2–4
L	Sat Oct 3	vs	Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Academy (1st)	0–4
W	Sat Sep 26	at	Atlético Dallas Youth Pre- Luna (10th)	8–0
L	Sat Sep 19	vs	DKSC Pre- Arana (3rd)	0–1
D	Sat Sep 12	at	NTX United FC Pre Guibert (4th)	2–2

Next: Sat Oct 31 at FC Dallas Youth Pre- A Reyes See all 1 future matchup ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 31	at	FC Dallas Youth Pre- A Reyes (8th)	2–2	56%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

DKSC Pre- De La Cruz

1.14

LWLWD

-0.59

+4.04

7.1

D	Sat Oct 24	at	Dallas Texans Pre- Rojas (6th)	4–4
W	Sat Oct 17	vs	Atlético Dallas Youth Pre- Luna (10th)	6–0
L	Sat Oct 10	vs	DKSC Pre- Arana (3rd)	0–6
W	Sat Oct 3	at	NTX United FC Pre Guibert (4th)	2–0
L	Sun Sep 27	vs	Texas Warriors FC Pre- Perreira (9th)	3–4
D	Sat Sep 19	at	FC Dallas Youth Pre- A Reyes (8th)	3–3
L	Sat Sep 12	at	Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Academy (1st)	2–3

Next: Sat Oct 31 vs Sting Pre- Lucero See all 1 future matchup ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	Sting Pre- Lucero (2nd)	1–5	6%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

FC Dallas Youth Pre- A Reyes

-8

0.67

DLWLL

+0.28

-2.53

18%

7.0

L	Sat Oct 17	at	DKSC Pre- Arana (3rd)	1–3
L	Sat Oct 10	vs	NTX United FC Pre Guibert (4th)	0–2
W	Sat Oct 3	at	Texas Warriors FC Pre- Perreira (9th)	6–0
L	Sat Sep 26	at	Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Academy (1st)	2–5
D	Sat Sep 19	vs	DKSC Pre- De La Cruz (7th)	3–3
L	Sat Sep 12	at	SOLAR PRE- ROMERO (5th)	0–7

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Atlético Dallas Youth Pre- Luna · Sat Oct 31 vs Dallas Texans Pre- Rojas See all 2 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Atlético Dallas Youth Pre- Luna (10th)	5–1	94%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	Dallas Texans Pre- Rojas (6th)	2–2	27%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Texas Warriors FC Pre- Perreira

-39

0.43

WLLLL

+1.17

-5.66

9.0

L	Sat Oct 24	vs	DKSC Pre- Arana (3rd)	1–12
L	Sat Oct 17	at	NTX United FC Pre Guibert (4th)	2–4
L	Sat Oct 10	at	Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Academy (1st)	1–5
L	Sat Oct 3	vs	FC Dallas Youth Pre- A Reyes (8th)	0–6
W	Sun Sep 27	at	DKSC Pre- De La Cruz (7th)	4–3
L	Sat Sep 19	vs	SOLAR PRE- ROMERO (5th)	4–6
L	Sat Sep 12	vs	Sting Pre- Lucero (2nd)	1–16

Next: Sat Oct 31 at Atlético Dallas Youth Pre- Luna See all 1 future matchup ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 31	at	Atlético Dallas Youth Pre- Luna (10th)	5–2	75%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Atlético Dallas Youth Pre- Luna

-58

0.00

LLLLL

+1.57

-2.09

10.0

L	Sat Oct 17	at	DKSC Pre- De La Cruz (7th)	0–6
L	Sat Oct 10	vs	SOLAR PRE- ROMERO (5th)	1–7
L	Sat Oct 3	at	Sting Pre- Lucero (2nd)	0–13
L	Sat Sep 26	vs	Dallas Texans Pre- Rojas (6th)	0–8
L	Sat Sep 19	vs	Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Academy (1st)	0–9
L	Sat Sep 12	at	DKSC Pre- Arana (3rd)	0–16

Next: Sat Oct 24 at FC Dallas Youth Pre- A Reyes · Sat Oct 31 vs Texas Warriors FC Pre- Perreira See all 2 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	FC Dallas Youth Pre- A Reyes (8th)	1–5	2%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	Texas Warriors FC Pre- Perreira (9th)	2–5	14%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (3.16 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.