TableChase Clubs

DKSC Pre- De La Cruz

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- North Texas BU10 · 10 teams · DKSC (all teams)

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7th
2-1-3 record · 6 played
1.17 points per game
+0 goal diff · 16–16
DLWLWlast 5
6% chance of top 4 · expected finish 6.9
-0.81 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 08:00 AM

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DKSC Pre- De La Cruz
7th · 1.17 PPG
at

Fairview Soccer Park , Field 6B ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.8 for, 2.9 against · 0.85 expected points)

Season so farDKSC Pre- De La CruzDallas Texans Pre- Rojas
Position7th6th
Record (W-D-L)2-1-32-1-3
Points per game1.171.17
Goals for / game2.72.7
Goals against / game2.71.8
Clean sheets22
Held scoreless12
Form (recent first)W L W L DW L L W L
Biggest win6–0 vs Atlético Dallas Youth Pre- Luna8–0 at Atlético Dallas Youth Pre- Luna
Worst loss0–6 vs DKSC Pre- Arana0–4 vs Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Academy
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.20+0.68
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.81+0.55

Common opponents: Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Academy — we 2–3; they 0–4. NTX United FC Pre Guibert — we 2–0; they 2–2. DKSC Pre- Arana — we 0–6; they 0–1. Atlético Dallas Youth Pre- Luna — we 6–0; they 8–0.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–6 vs DKSC Pre- Arana.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 23%; a draw (17%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 08:00 AM at Fairview Soccer Park .

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 08:00 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

  • What a win does
    Dallas Texans Pre- Rojas sit 6th on 1.17 PPG; we are on 1.17.

    A point moves us above Dallas Texans Pre- Rojas on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Dallas Texans Pre- Rojas game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (DKSC Pre- De La Cruz – Dallas Texans Pre- Rojas) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 4 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 1.00 PPG
7th— holds 7th— holds 7th— holds
Win
1.43 PPG
6th▲ up 1 4th▲ up 3 6th▲ up 1
Draw
1.14 PPG
7th— holds 7th— holds 7th— holds
Loss
1.00 PPG
7th— holds 7th— holds 7th— holds

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we stay 7th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
6% top 4
94% below the top 4
6.9 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th 6%
  5. 5th 12%
  6. 6th 8%
  7. 7th 30%
  8. 8th 43%
  9. 9th <1%
  10. 10th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 2 remaining known games (max 1.63 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Academy 3.00 (+1.83) 1st (2.86) 17 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 16 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Sting Pre- Lucero 2.50 (+1.33) 3rd (2.56) 13 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 14 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 DKSC Pre- Arana 2.50 (+1.33) 2nd (2.58) 13 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 14 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
4 NTX United FC Pre Guibert 1.67 (+0.50) 5th (1.32) 7 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 4 for their projection
5 SOLAR PRE- ROMERO 1.50 (+0.33) 6th (1.21) 5 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 3 for their projection
6 Dallas Texans Pre- Rojas 1.17 (+0.00) 4th (1.36) A point next game

How the results connect

23 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link DKSC Pre- De La Cruz to Dallas Texans Pre- Rojas through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

7 favour us
1 even
15 favour them
-2.8 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
6–0 0–8 2–0 2–2 2–3 4–0 0–6 1–0 9–0 3–0 0–4 3–4 1–5 3–3 2–5 1–3 16–0 0–2 DKSC Pre- De La Cruz 7th Atlético Dallas You… 10th NTX United FC Pre G… 4th Atletico Dallas You… 1st DKSC Pre- Arana 3rd Texas Warriors FC P… 9th FC Dallas Youth Pre… 8th SOLAR PRE- ROMERO 5th Dallas Texans Pre- … 6th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

7 game days

1st 5th 10th Sep 12 Sep 26 Oct 3 Oct 17

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +2.29 · 3rd hardest of 10

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
08:00 AM
Dallas Texans Pre- Rojas
6th · 2-1-3 · GD +5
Away
Fairview Soccer Park
●●●●● Very tough
23%
1–2 0.85 1.12 Upside
Sat Oct 31
08:30 AM
Sting Pre- Lucero
2nd · 5-0-1 · GD +38
Home
Fairview Soccer Park
●●●●● Very tough
6%
1–5 0.26 1.01 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Atletico Dallas Youth Pre- Academy 6600 296+23 183.00 WWWWW -0.70 -0.20 100% 1.4
2 Sting Pre- Lucero 6501 457+38 152.50 WWWWL -0.42 -0.14 100% 2.0
3 DKSC Pre- Arana 6501 334+29 152.50 WLWWW -0.30 -1.56 100% 2.6
4 NTX United FC Pre Guibert 6312 1114-3 101.67 LWLWW +0.02 +2.63 16% 5.3
5 SOLAR PRE- ROMERO 6303 2018+2 91.50 WLLWL -0.98 +3.09 11% 5.9
6 Dallas Texans Pre- Rojas 6213 1611+5 71.17 LWLLW +0.55 -0.46 62% 4.8
7 DKSC Pre- De La Cruz 6213 1616+0 71.17 DLWLW -0.81 +2.29 6% 6.9
8 FC Dallas Youth Pre- A Reyes 6114 1220-8 40.67 DLWLL +0.35 -2.52 4% 7.1
9 Texas Warriors FC Pre- Perreira 6105 1240-28 30.50 LWLLL +0.76 -1.37 0% 9.0
10 Atlético Dallas Youth Pre- Luna 6006 159-58 00.00 LLLLL +1.53 -1.76 0% 10.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (3.08 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.