Real Colorado North National Pre
Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Colorado BU12 · 8 teams · Real Colorado (all teams)
Next game — Sun Nov 1, 11:30 AM
Stenger Soccer Complex, Field 17 ↗ far trip
●●●○○ Toss-up to win
Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.3 for, 2.1 against · 1.53 expected points)
| Season so far | Real Colorado North National Pre | Colorado EDGE Pre- United |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 4th | 5th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 1-0-1 | 0-1-0 |
| Points per game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Goals for / game | 3.5 | 2.0 |
| Goals against / game | 2.5 | 2.0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | L W | D |
| Biggest win | 6–2 at Colorado Rush Pre- White | — |
| Worst loss | 1–3 vs Pride SC Pre- Copa | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.35 | -0.12 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.14 | -0.82 |
Common opponents: Colorado Rush Pre- White — we 6–2; they 2–2.
Game plan
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Swing game — small margins
Win 45% / draw 19% / loss 36%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
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Away game
Kickoff 11:30 AM at Stenger Soccer Complex.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
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What a win does
Arsenal Colorado Pre- Gold sit 3rd on 2.00 PPG; we are on 1.50.A win moves us above Arsenal Colorado Pre- Gold on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Colorado EDGE Pre- United game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Real Colorado North National Pre – Colorado EDGE Pre- United) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 3 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Draw · 1.33 PPG |
4th— holds | 4th— holds | 6th▼ down 2 |
| Win 2.00 PPG |
1st▲ up 3 | 2nd▲ up 2 | 4th— holds |
| Draw 1.33 PPG |
4th— holds | 4th— holds | 6th▼ down 2 |
| Loss 1.00 PPG |
5th▼ down 1 | 5th▼ down 1 | 7th▼ down 3 |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–2 draw we finish as high as 1st if every rival drops points, and as low as 6th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 13%
- 2nd 17%
- 3rd 18%
- 4th 18%
- 5th 15%
- 6th 11%
- 7th 6%
- 8th 1%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 5 remaining known games (max 2.57 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pride SC Pre- Copa | 2.00 (+0.50) | 1st (1.93) | Win next game |
| 2 | Colorado Storm Pre- North | 2.00 (+0.50) | 2nd (1.77) | Win next game |
| 3 | Arsenal Colorado Pre- Gold | 2.00 (+0.50) | 3rd (1.55) | Win next game |
How the results connect
1 chain · 3 teams
Paths of results that link Real Colorado North National Pre to Colorado EDGE Pre- United through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
3 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.00 · 5th hardest of 8
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Nov 1 11:30 AM |
Colorado EDGE Pre- United 5th · 0-1-0 · GD +0 |
Away far trip
Stenger Soccer Complex |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 45% |
2–2 | 1.53 | 1.51 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 15 10:00 AM |
Arsenal Colorado Pre- Gold 3rd · 1-1-0 · GD +1 |
Home Dry Creek Community Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–1 | 1.62 | 1.54 | Swing game |
| Sat Mar 20 10:00 AM |
Colorado Storm South Pre 6th · 0-1-0 · GD +0 |
Home Neighbors Point Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 50% |
2–1 | 1.71 | 1.57 | Swing game |
| Sun Mar 21 09:00 AM |
Colorado Storm Pre- North 2nd · 1-1-0 · GD +2 |
Away far trip
Northwest Open Spaces |
●●●●○ Tough | 31% |
1–2 | 1.13 | 1.50 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 10 10:30 AM |
Real Colorado Pre- Olympico 8th · 0-0-1 · GD -2 |
Away far trip
Highland Heritage Regional Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 52% |
2–1 | 1.77 | 1.54 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Pride SC Pre- Copa | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 2.00 | DW | +0.37 | -0.24 | 90% | 2.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 vs Colorado Rush Pre- White · Sun Nov 8 vs Colorado EDGE Pre- United · Sun Nov 15 at Colorado Storm South Pre See all 5 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Colorado Storm Pre- North | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 2.00 | DW | -0.01 | -0.08 | 82% | 2.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 at Arsenal Colorado Pre- Gold · Sun Nov 15 vs Colorado Rush Pre- White · Sun Nov 22 at Colorado Storm South Pre See all 5 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Arsenal Colorado Pre- Gold | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 2.00 | DW | -0.43 | +0.14 | 63% | 3.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 vs Colorado Storm Pre- North · Sun Nov 15 at Real Colorado North National Pre · Sun Nov 22 at Real Colorado Pre- Olympico See all 5 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Real Colorado North National Pre | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 3 | 1.50 | WL | -0.14 | -0.00 | 66% | 3.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 at Colorado EDGE Pre- United · Sun Nov 15 vs Arsenal Colorado Pre- Gold · Sat Mar 20 vs Colorado Storm South Pre See all 5 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Colorado EDGE Pre- United | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +0 | 1 | 1.00 | D | -0.82 | +0.16 | 31% | 5.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 18 at Colorado Storm South Pre · Sun Nov 1 vs Real Colorado North National Pre · Sun Nov 8 at Pride SC Pre- Copa See all 6 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Colorado Storm South Pre | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +0 | 1 | 1.00 | D | +0.14 | -0.02 | 49% | 4.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 18 vs Colorado EDGE Pre- United · Sun Nov 1 at Real Colorado Pre- Olympico · Sun Nov 15 vs Pride SC Pre- Copa See all 6 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Colorado Rush Pre- White | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 1 | 0.33 | DLL | +0.13 | +0.12 | 3% | 7.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 at Pride SC Pre- Copa · Sun Nov 15 at Colorado Storm Pre- North · Sat Mar 20 vs Real Colorado Pre- Olympico See all 4 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Real Colorado Pre- Olympico | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | 0.00 | L | +0.39 | +0.01 | 16% | 6.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 vs Colorado Storm South Pre · Sun Nov 15 vs Colorado EDGE Pre- United · Sun Nov 22 vs Arsenal Colorado Pre- Gold See all 6 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.68 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.