TableChase Clubs

Colorado EDGE Pre- United

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Colorado BU12 · 8 teams · Colorado EDGE (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 11 hours ago.
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5th
0-1-0 record · 1 played
1.00 points per game
+0 goal diff · 2–2
Dlast 1
31% chance of top 4 · expected finish 5.3
-0.82 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Nov 1, 11:30 AM

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Colorado EDGE Pre- United
5th · 1.00 PPG
vs
Real Colorado North National Pre
4th · 1.50 PPG

Stenger Soccer Complex, Field 17 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.1 for, 2.3 against · 1.28 expected points)

Season so farColorado EDGE Pre- UnitedReal Colorado North National Pre
Position5th4th
Record (W-D-L)0-1-01-0-1
Points per game1.001.50
Goals for / game2.03.5
Goals against / game2.02.5
Clean sheets00
Held scoreless00
Form (recent first)DL W
Biggest win—6–2 at Colorado Rush Pre- White
Worst loss—1–3 vs Pride SC Pre- Copa
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.12+0.35
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.82-0.14

Common opponents: Colorado Rush Pre- White — we 2–2; they 6–2.

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    Real Colorado North National Pre score 3.5/game — well above the league's 1.7.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 36%; a draw (19%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • What a win does
    Real Colorado North National Pre sit 4th on 1.50 PPG; we are on 1.00.

    A point moves us above Real Colorado North National Pre on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Real Colorado North National Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Colorado EDGE Pre- United – Real Colorado North National Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 3 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 1.00 PPG		 5th— holds 5th— holds 7th▼ down 2
Win
2.00 PPG		 4th▲ up 1 2nd▲ up 3 4th▲ up 1
Draw
1.00 PPG		 5th— holds 5th— holds 7th▼ down 2
Loss
0.50 PPG		 6th▼ down 1 6th▼ down 1 8th▼ down 3

Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–2 draw we stay 5th even if every rival loses, and as low as 7th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

4% finish 1st
31% top 4
69% below the top 4
5.3 average finish
  1. 1st 4%
  2. 2nd 5%
  3. 3rd 10%
  4. 4th 12%
  5. 5th 16%
  6. 6th 22%
  7. 7th 22%
  8. 8th 10%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 6 remaining known games (max 2.71 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Pride SC Pre- Copa 2.00 (+1.00) 1st (1.93) Win next game
2 Colorado Storm Pre- North 2.00 (+1.00) 2nd (1.77) Win next game
3 Arsenal Colorado Pre- Gold 2.00 (+1.00) 3rd (1.55) Win next game
4 Real Colorado North National Pre 1.50 (+0.50) 4th (1.54) A point next game

How the results connect

1 chain · 3 teams

Paths of results that link Colorado EDGE Pre- United to Real Colorado North National Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

0 favour us
1 favour them
-4.0 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
2–2 2–6 Colorado EDGE Pre- … 5th Colorado Rush Pre- … 7th Real Colorado North… 4th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

1 chains

Position over the season

3 game days

1st 4th 8th Sep 20 Oct 6 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.16 · 1st hardest of 8

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 18
11:00 AM
no score posted		 Colorado Storm South Pre
6th · 0-1-0 · GD +0		 Away far trip
Gates South Soccer Complex		 ●●●●○ Tough
31%		 1–1 1.17 1.08 Upside
Sun Nov 1
11:30 AM		 Real Colorado North National Pre
4th · 1-0-1 · GD +2		 Home
Stenger Soccer Complex		 ●●●●○ Tough
36%		 2–2 1.28 1.15 Upside
Sun Nov 8
03:30 PM		 Pride SC Pre- Copa
1st · 1-1-0 · GD +2		 Away far trip
El Pomar Olin Field · turf		 ●●●●● Very tough
22%		 1–2 0.88 1.08 Upside
Sun Nov 15
04:30 PM		 Real Colorado Pre- Olympico
8th · 0-0-1 · GD -2		 Away far trip
Highland Heritage Regional Park		 ●●●●○ Tough
41%		 1–1 1.48 1.16 Upside
Sun Mar 14
TBD		 Arsenal Colorado Pre- Gold
3rd · 1-1-0 · GD +1		 Away
●●●●○ Tough
29%		 1–1 1.10 1.15 Upside
Sat Mar 20
10:30 AM		 Colorado Storm Pre- North
2nd · 1-1-0 · GD +2		 Home
Long Lake Regional Park · turf		 ●●●●○ Tough
31%		 1–1 1.17 1.15 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Pride SC Pre- Copa 2110 42+2 42.00 DW +0.37 -0.24 90% 2.3
2 Colorado Storm Pre- North 2110 31+2 42.00 DW -0.01 -0.08 82% 2.9
3 Arsenal Colorado Pre- Gold 2110 32+1 42.00 DW -0.43 +0.14 63% 3.8
4 Real Colorado North National Pre 2101 75+2 31.50 WL -0.14 -0.00 66% 3.7
5 Colorado EDGE Pre- United 1010 22+0 11.00 D -0.82 +0.16 31% 5.3
6 Colorado Storm South Pre 1010 11+0 11.00 D +0.14 -0.02 49% 4.5
7 Colorado Rush Pre- White 3012 510-5 10.33 DLL +0.13 +0.12 3% 7.2
8 Real Colorado Pre- Olympico 1001 02-2 00.00 L +0.39 +0.01 16% 6.2

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.68 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.