Pride SC Pre- Copa
Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Colorado BU12 · 8 teams · Pride SC (all teams)
Next game — Sun Nov 1, 03:30 PM
Pride Soccer Complex, Field 4 South ↗
●●○○○ Lean win to win
Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.9 for, 1.2 against · 2.30 expected points)
| Season so far | Pride SC Pre- Copa | Colorado Rush Pre- White |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 1st | 7th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 1-1-0 | 0-1-2 |
| Points per game | 2.00 | 0.33 |
| Goals for / game | 2.0 | 1.7 |
| Goals against / game | 1.0 | 3.3 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W D | L L D |
| Biggest win | 3–1 at Real Colorado North National Pre | — |
| Worst loss | — | 2–6 vs Real Colorado North National Pre |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.50 | -0.82 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.37 | +0.13 |
Common opponents: Real Colorado North National Pre — we 3–1; they 2–6.
Game plan
-
They leak goals — be greedy
Colorado Rush Pre- White concede 3.3/game; worst result 2–6 vs Real Colorado North National Pre.Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.
-
Expected win — the trap is complacency
Model gives a 72% chance; likely score 2–1.Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Colorado Rush Pre- White game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Pride SC Pre- Copa – Colorado Rush Pre- White) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 3 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 2.33 PPG |
1st— holds | 1st— holds | 1st— holds |
| Win 2.33 PPG |
1st— holds | 1st— holds | 1st— holds |
| Draw 1.67 PPG |
3rd▼ down 2 | 1st— holds | 6th▼ down 5 |
| Loss 1.33 PPG |
4th▼ down 3 | 4th▼ down 3 | 7th▼ down 6 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–1 win we stay 1st even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 43%
- 2nd 24%
- 3rd 14%
- 4th 10%
- 5th 6%
- 6th 3%
- 7th 1%
- 8th 1%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
Top of the table. The job is to stay there: see the path below for where points are most at risk.
How the results connect
1 chain · 3 teams
Paths of results that link Pride SC Pre- Copa to Colorado Rush Pre- White through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
3 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.24 · 8th hardest of 8
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Nov 1 03:30 PM |
Colorado Rush Pre- White 7th · 0-1-2 · GD -5 |
Home Pride Soccer Complex |
●●○○○ Lean win | 72% |
2–1 | 2.30 | 2.10 | Bank it |
| Sun Nov 8 03:30 PM |
Colorado EDGE Pre- United 5th · 0-1-0 · GD +0 |
Home El Pomar Olin Field · turf |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 57% |
2–1 | 1.91 | 2.05 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 15 11:00 AM |
Colorado Storm South Pre 6th · 0-1-0 · GD +0 |
Away far trip
Gates South Soccer Complex |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 43% |
1–1 | 1.54 | 1.95 | Swing game |
| Sat Mar 20 TBD |
Arsenal Colorado Pre- Gold 3rd · 1-1-0 · GD +1 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 49% |
1–1 | 1.71 | 1.91 | Swing game |
| Sun Mar 21 TBD |
Real Colorado Pre- Olympico 8th · 0-0-1 · GD -2 |
Home |
●●○○○ Lean win | 62% |
2–0 | 2.07 | 1.93 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pride SC Pre- Copa | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 2.00 | DW | +0.37 | -0.24 | 90% | 2.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 vs Colorado Rush Pre- White · Sun Nov 8 vs Colorado EDGE Pre- United · Sun Nov 15 at Colorado Storm South Pre See all 5 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | Colorado Storm Pre- North | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 2.00 | DW | -0.01 | -0.08 | 82% | 2.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 at Arsenal Colorado Pre- Gold · Sun Nov 15 vs Colorado Rush Pre- White · Sun Nov 22 at Colorado Storm South Pre See all 5 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | Arsenal Colorado Pre- Gold | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 2.00 | DW | -0.43 | +0.14 | 63% | 3.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 vs Colorado Storm Pre- North · Sun Nov 15 at Real Colorado North National Pre · Sun Nov 22 at Real Colorado Pre- Olympico See all 5 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | Real Colorado North National Pre | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 3 | 1.50 | WL | -0.14 | -0.00 | 66% | 3.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 at Colorado EDGE Pre- United · Sun Nov 15 vs Arsenal Colorado Pre- Gold · Sat Mar 20 vs Colorado Storm South Pre See all 5 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | Colorado EDGE Pre- United | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +0 | 1 | 1.00 | D | -0.82 | +0.16 | 31% | 5.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 18 at Colorado Storm South Pre · Sun Nov 1 vs Real Colorado North National Pre · Sun Nov 8 at Pride SC Pre- Copa See all 6 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | Colorado Storm South Pre | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +0 | 1 | 1.00 | D | +0.14 | -0.02 | 49% | 4.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 18 vs Colorado EDGE Pre- United · Sun Nov 1 at Real Colorado Pre- Olympico · Sun Nov 15 vs Pride SC Pre- Copa See all 6 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | Colorado Rush Pre- White | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 1 | 0.33 | DLL | +0.13 | +0.12 | 3% | 7.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 at Pride SC Pre- Copa · Sun Nov 15 at Colorado Storm Pre- North · Sat Mar 20 vs Real Colorado Pre- Olympico See all 4 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | Real Colorado Pre- Olympico | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | 0.00 | L | +0.39 | +0.01 | 16% | 6.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 vs Colorado Storm South Pre · Sun Nov 15 vs Colorado EDGE Pre- United · Sun Nov 22 vs Arsenal Colorado Pre- Gold See all 6 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.68 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.