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Colorado Rush Pre- White

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Colorado BU12 · 8 teams · Colorado Rush (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 4 hours ago.
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7th
0-1-2 record · 3 played
0.33 points per game
-5 goal diff · 5–10
DLLlast 3
3% chance of top 4 · expected finish 7.2
+0.13 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Nov 1, 03:30 PM

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Colorado Rush Pre- White
7th · 0.33 PPG
at
Pride SC Pre- Copa
1st · 2.00 PPG

Pride Soccer Complex, Field 4 South ↗ far trip

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.2 for, 2.9 against · 0.55 expected points)

Season so farColorado Rush Pre- WhitePride SC Pre- Copa
Position7th1st
Record (W-D-L)0-1-21-1-0
Points per game0.332.00
Goals for / game1.72.0
Goals against / game3.31.0
Clean sheets00
Held scoreless00
Form (recent first)L L DW D
Biggest win—3–1 at Real Colorado North National Pre
Worst loss2–6 vs Real Colorado North National Pre—
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.82+0.50
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.13+0.37

Common opponents: Real Colorado North National Pre — we 2–6; they 3–1.

Game plan

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 13%; a draw (15%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 03:30 PM at Pride Soccer Complex.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    Colorado Storm South Pre sit 6th on 1.00 PPG; we are on 0.33.

    A win moves us above Colorado Storm South Pre on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Pride SC Pre- Copa game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Colorado Rush Pre- White – Pride SC Pre- Copa) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 3 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.25 PPG		 7th— holds 8th▼ down 1 8th▼ down 1
Win
1.00 PPG		 7th— holds 7th— holds 8th▼ down 1
Draw
0.50 PPG		 7th— holds 8th▼ down 1 8th▼ down 1
Loss
0.25 PPG		 7th— holds 8th▼ down 1 8th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we stay 7th even if every rival loses, and as low as 8th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
3% top 4
97% below the top 4
7.2 average finish
  1. 1st <1%
  2. 2nd <1%
  3. 3rd 1%
  4. 4th 2%
  5. 5th 5%
  6. 6th 11%
  7. 7th 27%
  8. 8th 54%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 4 remaining known games (max 1.86 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Pride SC Pre- Copa 2.00 (+1.67) 1st (1.93) 13 of 12 pts to pass their current pace, 13 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Colorado Storm Pre- North 2.00 (+1.67) 2nd (1.77) 13 of 12 pts to pass their current pace, 12 for their projection
3 Arsenal Colorado Pre- Gold 2.00 (+1.67) 3rd (1.55) 13 of 12 pts to pass their current pace, 10 for their projection
4 Real Colorado North National Pre 1.50 (+1.17) 4th (1.54) 10 of 12 pts to pass their current pace, 10 for their projection
5 Colorado EDGE Pre- United 1.00 (+0.67) 6th (1.15) Win next game
6 Colorado Storm South Pre 1.00 (+0.67) 5th (1.35) Win next game

How the results connect

1 chain · 3 teams

Paths of results that link Colorado Rush Pre- White to Pride SC Pre- Copa through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

0 favour us
1 favour them
-6.0 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
2–6 1–3 Colorado Rush Pre- … 7th Real Colorado North… 4th Pride SC Pre- Copa 1st

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

1 chains

Position over the season

3 game days

1st 4th 8th Sep 20 Oct 6 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.12 · 3rd hardest of 8

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Nov 1
03:30 PM		 Pride SC Pre- Copa
1st · 1-1-0 · GD +2		 Away far trip
Pride Soccer Complex		 ●●●●● Very tough
13%		 1–2 0.55 0.39 Upside
Sun Nov 15
10:00 AM		 Colorado Storm Pre- North
2nd · 1-1-0 · GD +2		 Away far trip
Northwest Open Spaces		 ●●●●● Very tough
15%		 1–2 0.62 0.43 Upside
Sat Mar 20
TBD		 Real Colorado Pre- Olympico
8th · 0-0-1 · GD -2		 Home
●●●●○ Tough
40%		 1–1 1.40 0.60 Upside
Sun Mar 21
TBD		 Colorado Storm South Pre
6th · 0-1-0 · GD +0		 Home
●●●●○ Tough
29%		 1–2 1.07 0.66 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Pride SC Pre- Copa 2110 42+2 42.00 DW +0.37 -0.24 90% 2.3
2 Colorado Storm Pre- North 2110 31+2 42.00 DW -0.01 -0.08 82% 2.9
3 Arsenal Colorado Pre- Gold 2110 32+1 42.00 DW -0.43 +0.14 63% 3.8
4 Real Colorado North National Pre 2101 75+2 31.50 WL -0.14 -0.00 66% 3.7
5 Colorado EDGE Pre- United 1010 22+0 11.00 D -0.82 +0.16 31% 5.3
6 Colorado Storm South Pre 1010 11+0 11.00 D +0.14 -0.02 49% 4.5
7 Colorado Rush Pre- White 3012 510-5 10.33 DLL +0.13 +0.12 3% 7.2
8 Real Colorado Pre- Olympico 1001 02-2 00.00 L +0.39 +0.01 16% 6.2

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.68 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.