Colorado Storm Pre
Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Colorado BU12 · 8 teams · Colorado Storm (all teams)
Next game — Sun Nov 1, 12:00 PM
Fort Collins Soccer Complex, FCSC #9 ↗ far trip
●●●●○ Tough to win
Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.3 for, 1.4 against · 1.33 expected points)
| Season so far | Colorado Storm Pre | Arsenal Colorado Pre- Academy |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 3rd | 4th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 1-1-0 | 1-1-0 |
| Points per game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals for / game | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| Goals against / game | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | D W | W D |
| Biggest win | 3–0 vs Pride SC Pre- Predators | 2–0 at Colorado Rush Pre- Blue |
| Worst loss | — | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.50 | +0.40 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.28 | -0.17 |
Game plan
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 36%; a draw (26%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
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Away game
Kickoff 12:00 PM at Fort Collins Soccer Complex.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
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What a win does
Colorado Storm Central Pre sit 2nd on 2.00 PPG; we are on 2.00.A point moves us above Colorado Storm Central Pre on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Arsenal Colorado Pre- Academy game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Colorado Storm Pre – Arsenal Colorado Pre- Academy) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 3 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Draw · 1.67 PPG |
3rd— holds | 3rd— holds | 5th▼ down 2 |
| Win 2.33 PPG |
2nd▲ up 1 | 1st▲ up 2 | 3rd— holds |
| Draw 1.67 PPG |
3rd— holds | 3rd— holds | 5th▼ down 2 |
| Loss 1.33 PPG |
5th▼ down 2 | 4th▼ down 1 | 6th▼ down 3 |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 1–1 draw we finish as high as 2nd if every rival drops points, and as low as 5th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 25%
- 2nd 21%
- 3rd 19%
- 4th 16%
- 5th 12%
- 6th 6%
- 7th 2%
- 8th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 5 remaining known games (max 2.71 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Colorado Pre- National | 3.00 (+1.00) | 1st (1.83) | 17 of 15 pts to pass their current pace, 9 for their projection |
| 2 | Colorado Storm Central Pre | 2.00 (+0.00) | 2nd (1.81) | A point next game |
Position over the season
3 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.04 · 4th hardest of 8
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Nov 1 12:00 PM |
Arsenal Colorado Pre- Academy 4th · 1-1-0 · GD +2 |
Away far trip
Fort Collins Soccer Complex |
●●●●○ Tough | 36% |
1–1 | 1.33 | 1.78 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 15 10:30 AM |
Colorado Rush Pre- Blue 8th · 0-0-3 · GD -5 |
Home Regis University |
●●○○○ Lean win | 71% |
2–0 | 2.31 | 1.91 | Bank it |
| Sun Nov 22 10:30 AM |
Colorado Storm Central Pre 2nd · 1-1-0 · GD +3 |
Home Regis University |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 44% |
1–1 | 1.56 | 1.84 | Swing game |
| Sat Mar 20 10:30 AM |
Colorado EDGE Pre- Select 5th · 1-0-1 · GD -1 |
Away far trip
Long Lake Regional Park · turf |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 51% |
1–1 | 1.76 | 1.83 | Swing game |
| Sun Mar 21 10:30 AM |
Real Colorado Pre- National 1st · 2-0-0 · GD +2 |
Home Regis University |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 48% |
1–1 | 1.68 | 1.81 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Real Colorado Pre- National | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 6 | 3.00 | WW | -0.75 | +0.26 | 80% | 3.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 at Colorado EDGE Pre- Select · Sun Nov 15 vs Arsenal Colorado Pre- Academy · Sun Mar 14 at Real Colorado Pre- Academy See all 5 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Colorado Storm Central Pre | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 4 | 2.00 | DW | +0.06 | -0.13 | 83% | 2.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 at Real Colorado Pre- Academy · Sun Nov 15 vs Pride SC Pre- Predators · Sun Nov 22 at Colorado Storm Pre See all 5 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Colorado Storm Pre | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 4 | 2.00 | WD | -0.28 | +0.04 | 81% | 2.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 at Arsenal Colorado Pre- Academy · Sun Nov 15 vs Colorado Rush Pre- Blue · Sun Nov 22 vs Colorado Storm Central Pre See all 5 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Arsenal Colorado Pre- Academy | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 2.00 | DW | -0.17 | -0.02 | 74% | 3.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 vs Colorado Storm Pre · Sun Nov 15 at Real Colorado Pre- National · Sun Nov 22 at Real Colorado Pre- Academy See all 5 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Colorado EDGE Pre- Select | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 3 | 1.50 | WL | -0.06 | +0.11 | 28% | 5.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 vs Real Colorado Pre- National · Sun Nov 8 at Pride SC Pre- Predators · Sun Nov 15 at Real Colorado Pre- Academy See all 5 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Real Colorado Pre- Academy | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +0 | 1 | 1.00 | D | +0.50 | -0.08 | 51% | 4.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 vs Colorado Storm Central Pre · Sun Nov 15 vs Colorado EDGE Pre- Select · Sun Nov 22 vs Arsenal Colorado Pre- Academy See all 6 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Pride SC Pre- Predators | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 | 0.00 | LL | +0.37 | +0.00 | 3% | 7.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 vs Colorado Rush Pre- Blue · Sun Nov 8 vs Colorado EDGE Pre- Select · Sun Nov 15 at Colorado Storm Central Pre See all 5 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Colorado Rush Pre- Blue | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 0 | 0.00 | LLL | +0.16 | +0.11 | 1% | 7.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 at Pride SC Pre- Predators · Sun Nov 15 at Colorado Storm Pre · Sat Mar 20 vs Real Colorado Pre- Academy See all 4 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.44 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.