TableChase Clubs

Colorado EDGE Pre- Select

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Colorado BU12 · 8 teams · Colorado EDGE (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 4 hours ago.
Add schedule to calendar
5th
1-0-1 record · 2 played
1.50 points per game
-1 goal diff · 3–4
WLlast 2
28% chance of top 4 · expected finish 5.2
-0.06 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Nov 1, 11:30 AM

Open the match preview →

Colorado EDGE Pre- Select
5th · 1.50 PPG
vs
Real Colorado Pre- National
1st · 3.00 PPG

Stenger Soccer Complex, Field 16 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.4 for, 1.7 against · 1.18 expected points)

Season so farColorado EDGE Pre- SelectReal Colorado Pre- National
Position5th1st
Record (W-D-L)1-0-12-0-0
Points per game1.503.00
Goals for / game1.52.0
Goals against / game2.01.0
Clean sheets11
Held scoreless00
Form (recent first)L WW W
Biggest win2–0 vs Colorado Rush Pre- Blue3–2 at Colorado Rush Pre- Blue
Worst loss1–4 at Colorado Storm Central Pre—
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.23+0.26
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.06-0.75

Common opponents: Colorado Rush Pre- Blue — we 2–0; they 3–2.

Game plan

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 32%; a draw (23%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • What a win does
    Arsenal Colorado Pre- Academy sit 4th on 2.00 PPG; we are on 1.50.

    A win moves us above Arsenal Colorado Pre- Academy on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Real Colorado Pre- National game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Colorado EDGE Pre- Select – Real Colorado Pre- National) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 3 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 1.33 PPG		 5th— holds 5th— holds 6th▼ down 1
Win
2.00 PPG		 5th— holds 2nd▲ up 3 6th▼ down 1
Draw
1.33 PPG		 5th— holds 5th— holds 6th▼ down 1
Loss
1.00 PPG		 6th▼ down 1 6th▼ down 1 6th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–1 draw we stay 5th even if every rival loses, and as low as 6th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

2% finish 1st
28% top 4
72% below the top 4
5.2 average finish
  1. 1st 2%
  2. 2nd 5%
  3. 3rd 8%
  4. 4th 12%
  5. 5th 21%
  6. 6th 33%
  7. 7th 15%
  8. 8th 3%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 5 remaining known games (max 2.57 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Real Colorado Pre- National 3.00 (+1.50) 1st (1.83) 18 of 15 pts to pass their current pace, 10 for their projection
2 Colorado Storm Central Pre 2.00 (+0.50) 2nd (1.81) Win next game
3 Colorado Storm Pre 2.00 (+0.50) 3rd (1.81) Win next game
4 Arsenal Colorado Pre- Academy 2.00 (+0.50) 4th (1.74) Win next game

How the results connect

1 chain · 3 teams

Paths of results that link Colorado EDGE Pre- Select to Real Colorado Pre- National through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

1 favour us
0 favour them
+1.0 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
2–0 2–3 Colorado EDGE Pre- … 5th Colorado Rush Pre- … 8th Real Colorado Pre- … 1st

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

1 chains

Position over the season

3 game days

1st 4th 8th Sep 20 Oct 6 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.11 · 3rd hardest of 8

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Nov 1
11:30 AM		 Real Colorado Pre- National
1st · 2-0-0 · GD +2		 Home
Stenger Soccer Complex		 ●●●●○ Tough
32%		 1–1 1.18 1.39 Upside
Sun Nov 8
03:30 PM		 Pride SC Pre- Predators
7th · 0-0-2 · GD -4		 Away far trip
El Pomar Olin Field · turf		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
46%		 1–1 1.63 1.45 Swing game
Sun Nov 15
10:30 AM		 Real Colorado Pre- Academy
6th · 0-1-0 · GD +0		 Away far trip
Highland Heritage Regional Park		 ●●●●○ Tough
27%		 1–1 1.06 1.37 Upside
Sun Mar 14
TBD		 Arsenal Colorado Pre- Academy
4th · 1-1-0 · GD +2		 Away
●●●●● Very tough
21%		 1–2 0.85 1.29 Upside
Sat Mar 20
10:30 AM		 Colorado Storm Pre
3rd · 1-1-0 · GD +3		 Home
Long Lake Regional Park · turf		 ●●●●○ Tough
26%		 1–1 1.01 1.25 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Real Colorado Pre- National 2200 42+2 63.00 WW -0.75 +0.26 80% 3.0
2 Colorado Storm Central Pre 2110 63+3 42.00 DW +0.06 -0.13 83% 2.9
3 Colorado Storm Pre 2110 41+3 42.00 WD -0.28 +0.04 81% 2.9
4 Arsenal Colorado Pre- Academy 2110 42+2 42.00 DW -0.17 -0.02 74% 3.2
5 Colorado EDGE Pre- Select 2101 34-1 31.50 WL -0.06 +0.11 28% 5.2
6 Real Colorado Pre- Academy 1010 11+0 11.00 D +0.50 -0.08 51% 4.3
7 Pride SC Pre- Predators 2002 04-4 00.00 LL +0.37 +0.00 3% 7.0
8 Colorado Rush Pre- Blue 3003 27-5 00.00 LLL +0.16 +0.11 1% 7.5

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.44 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.