TableChase Clubs

Colorado Storm Central Pre

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Colorado BU12 · 8 teams · Colorado Storm (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 7 hours ago.
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2nd
1-1-0 record · 2 played
2.00 points per game
+3 goal diff · 6–3
DWlast 2
83% chance of top 4 · expected finish 2.9
+0.06 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Nov 1, 01:30 PM

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Colorado Storm Central Pre
2nd · 2.00 PPG
at
Real Colorado Pre- Academy
6th · 1.00 PPG

Highland Heritage Regional Park, HHRP West Field 02 ↗ far trip

windrawloss

●●●○○ Toss-up to win

Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.7 for, 1.5 against · 1.54 expected points)

Season so farColorado Storm Central PreReal Colorado Pre- Academy
Position2nd6th
Record (W-D-L)1-1-00-1-0
Points per game2.001.00
Goals for / game3.01.0
Goals against / game1.51.0
Clean sheets00
Held scoreless00
Form (recent first)W DD
Biggest win4–1 vs Colorado EDGE Pre- Select—
Worst loss——
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.57+0.07
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.06+0.50

Game plan

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 44% / draw 23% / loss 33%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • Away game
    Kickoff 01:30 PM at Highland Heritage Regional Park.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Real Colorado Pre- Academy game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Colorado Storm Central Pre – Real Colorado Pre- Academy) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 3 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 1.67 PPG		 4th▼ down 2 2nd— holds 5th▼ down 3
Win
2.33 PPG		 2nd— holds 1st▲ up 1 2nd— holds
Draw
1.67 PPG		 4th▼ down 2 2nd— holds 5th▼ down 3
Loss
1.33 PPG		 6th▼ down 4 5th▼ down 3 6th▼ down 4

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–1 draw we stay 2nd even if every rival loses, and as low as 5th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

24% finish 1st
83% top 4
17% below the top 4
2.9 average finish
  1. 1st 24%
  2. 2nd 23%
  3. 3rd 20%
  4. 4th 17%
  5. 5th 10%
  6. 6th 5%
  7. 7th 1%
  8. 8th <1%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 5 remaining known games (max 2.71 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Real Colorado Pre- National 3.00 (+1.00) 1st (1.83) 17 of 15 pts to pass their current pace, 9 for their projection

Position over the season

3 game days

1st 4th 8th Sep 20 Oct 6 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.13 · 8th hardest of 8

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Nov 1
01:30 PM		 Real Colorado Pre- Academy
6th · 0-1-0 · GD +0		 Away far trip
Highland Heritage Regional Park		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
44%		 1–1 1.54 1.85 Swing game
Sun Nov 15
10:45 AM		 Pride SC Pre- Predators
7th · 0-0-2 · GD -4		 Home
Aurora Sports Park		 ●●○○○ Lean win
72%		 2–0 2.32 1.97 Bank it
Sun Nov 22
10:30 AM		 Colorado Storm Pre
3rd · 1-1-0 · GD +3		 Away far trip
Regis University		 ●●●●○ Tough
33%		 1–1 1.21 1.81 Upside
Sat Mar 20
10:30 AM		 Real Colorado Pre- National
1st · 2-0-0 · GD +2		 Away far trip
Highland Heritage Regional Park		 ●●●●○ Tough
40%		 1–1 1.42 1.75 Upside
Sun Mar 21
TBD		 Colorado Rush Pre- Blue
8th · 0-0-3 · GD -5		 Away
●●○○○ Lean win
67%		 2–1 2.17 1.81 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Real Colorado Pre- National 2200 42+2 63.00 WW -0.75 +0.26 80% 3.0
2 Colorado Storm Central Pre 2110 63+3 42.00 DW +0.06 -0.13 83% 2.9
3 Colorado Storm Pre 2110 41+3 42.00 WD -0.28 +0.04 81% 2.9
4 Arsenal Colorado Pre- Academy 2110 42+2 42.00 DW -0.17 -0.02 74% 3.2
5 Colorado EDGE Pre- Select 2101 34-1 31.50 WL -0.06 +0.11 28% 5.2
6 Real Colorado Pre- Academy 1010 11+0 11.00 D +0.50 -0.08 51% 4.3
7 Pride SC Pre- Predators 2002 04-4 00.00 LL +0.37 +0.00 3% 7.0
8 Colorado Rush Pre- Blue 3003 27-5 00.00 LLL +0.16 +0.11 1% 7.5

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.44 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.