Real Colorado Pre- Academy
Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Colorado BU11 · 8 teams · Real Colorado (all teams)
Next game — Sun Nov 1, 12:00 PM
Highland Heritage Regional Park, HHRP West Field 02 ↗
●●●○○ Toss-up to win
Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.2 for, 1.9 against · 1.58 expected points)
| Season so far | Real Colorado Pre- Academy | Colorado Storm Central Pre |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 5th | 6th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 0-0-1 | 0-0-2 |
| Points per game | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Goals for / game | 0.0 | 1.5 |
| Goals against / game | 2.0 | 3.0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | L | L L |
| Biggest win | — | — |
| Worst loss | 0–2 at Colorado Storm Pre | 1–3 vs Colorado EDGE Pre- Select |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -0.37 | -0.46 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +1.18 | +1.23 |
Game plan
-
Swing game — small margins
Win 46% / draw 20% / loss 34%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Colorado Storm Central Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Real Colorado Pre- Academy – Colorado Storm Central Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 3 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 1.50 PPG |
5th— holds | 5th— holds | 5th— holds |
| Win 1.50 PPG |
5th— holds | 5th— holds | 5th— holds |
| Draw 0.50 PPG |
5th— holds | 6th▼ down 1 | 7th▼ down 2 |
| Loss 0.00 PPG |
6th▼ down 1 | 7th▼ down 2 | 8th▼ down 3 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–1 win we stay 5th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st <1%
- 2nd 1%
- 3rd 5%
- 4th 12%
- 5th 36%
- 6th 26%
- 7th 15%
- 8th 4%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 6 remaining known games (max 2.57 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colorado EDGE Pre- Select | 3.00 (+3.00) | 1st (2.29) | 21 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 17 for their projection |
| 2 | Colorado Storm Pre | 3.00 (+3.00) | 2nd (2.25) | 21 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 16 for their projection |
| 3 | Real Colorado Pre- National | 3.00 (+3.00) | 4th (1.84) | 21 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 13 for their projection |
| 4 | Arsenal Colorado Pre- Academy | 3.00 (+3.00) | 3rd (2.02) | 21 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 15 for their projection |
Position over the season
3 game days
Not enough game days yet to draw a line.
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.11 · 6th hardest of 8
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Nov 1 12:00 PM |
Colorado Storm Central Pre 6th · 0-0-2 · GD -3 |
Home Highland Heritage Regional Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 46% |
2–1 | 1.58 | 0.79 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 15 09:00 AM |
Colorado EDGE Pre- Select 1st · 2-0-0 · GD +9 |
Home Highland Heritage Regional Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 17% |
1–2 | 0.68 | 0.75 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 22 TBD |
Arsenal Colorado Pre- Academy 4th · 2-0-0 · GD +5 |
Home |
●●●●○ Tough | 25% |
1–2 | 0.94 | 0.80 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 14 04:30 PM |
Real Colorado Pre- National 3rd · 2-0-0 · GD +5 |
Home Highland Heritage Regional Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 30% |
2–2 | 1.06 | 0.85 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 20 TBD |
Colorado Rush Pre- Blue 8th · 0-0-3 · GD -13 |
Away |
●●○○○ Lean win | 61% |
2–1 | 2.00 | 1.04 | Swing game |
| Sun Mar 21 TBD |
Pride SC Pre- Predators 7th · 0-0-2 · GD -8 |
Away |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.59 | 1.12 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colorado EDGE Pre- Select | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | +9 | 6 | 3.00 | WW | -1.14 | +0.20 | 98% | 2.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 vs Real Colorado Pre- National · Sun Nov 8 at Pride SC Pre- Predators · Sun Nov 15 at Real Colorado Pre- Academy See all 5 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | Colorado Storm Pre | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | +7 | 6 | 3.00 | WW | -0.80 | +0.13 | 98% | 2.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 at Arsenal Colorado Pre- Academy · Sun Nov 15 vs Colorado Rush Pre- Blue · Sun Nov 22 vs Colorado Storm Central Pre See all 5 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | Real Colorado Pre- National | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 6 | 3.00 | WW | -1.61 | +0.55 | 84% | 3.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 at Colorado EDGE Pre- Select · Sun Nov 15 vs Arsenal Colorado Pre- Academy · Sun Mar 14 at Real Colorado Pre- Academy See all 5 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | Arsenal Colorado Pre- Academy | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | +5 | 6 | 3.00 | WW | -1.25 | +0.34 | 92% | 2.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 vs Colorado Storm Pre · Sun Nov 15 at Real Colorado Pre- National · Sun Nov 22 at Real Colorado Pre- Academy See all 5 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | Real Colorado Pre- Academy | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | 0.00 | L | +1.18 | -0.11 | 19% | 5.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 vs Colorado Storm Central Pre · Sun Nov 15 vs Colorado EDGE Pre- Select · Sun Nov 22 vs Arsenal Colorado Pre- Academy See all 6 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | Colorado Storm Central Pre | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 0 | 0.00 | LL | +1.23 | -0.36 | 8% | 5.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 at Real Colorado Pre- Academy · Sun Nov 15 vs Pride SC Pre- Predators · Sun Nov 22 at Colorado Storm Pre See all 5 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | Pride SC Pre- Predators | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 0 | 0.00 | LL | +0.90 | -0.07 | 2% | 6.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 vs Colorado Rush Pre- Blue · Sun Nov 8 vs Colorado EDGE Pre- Select · Sun Nov 15 at Colorado Storm Central Pre See all 5 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | Colorado Rush Pre- Blue | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 14 | -13 | 0 | 0.00 | LLL | +1.00 | -0.24 | 0% | 7.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 at Pride SC Pre- Predators · Sun Nov 15 at Colorado Storm Pre · Sat Mar 20 vs Real Colorado Pre- Academy See all 4 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.48 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.