Colorado Storm Pre

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Colorado BU11 · 8 teams · Colorado Storm (all teams)

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2nd

2-0-0 record · 2 played

3.00 points per game

+7 goal diff · 7–0

WWlast 2

98% chance of top 4 · expected finish 2.2

-0.80 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Nov 1, 03:00 PM

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Colorado Storm Pre
2nd · 3.00 PPG

Arsenal Colorado Pre- Academy
4th · 3.00 PPG

Fort Collins Soccer Complex, FCSC #9 ↗ far trip

42% 21% 37%

windrawloss

●●●○○ Toss-up to win

Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.1 for, 1.9 against · 1.48 expected points)

Season so far	Colorado Storm Pre	Arsenal Colorado Pre- Academy
Position	2nd	4th
Record (W-D-L)	2-0-0	2-0-0
Points per game	3.00	3.00
Goals for / game	3.5	3.5
Goals against / game	0.0	1.0
Clean sheets	2	1
Held scoreless	0	0
Form (recent first)	W W	W W
Biggest win	5–0 vs Pride SC Pre- Predators	4–0 at Colorado Rush Pre- Blue
Worst loss	—	—
Model rating (net goals vs avg)	+1.18	+0.86
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)	-0.80	-1.25

Game plan

Respect their attack
Arsenal Colorado Pre- Academy score 3.5/game — well above the league's 2.5.
Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.
Hard to break down
Arsenal Colorado Pre- Academy concede only 1.0/game with 1 clean sheet(s).
Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.
Swing game — small margins
Win 42% / draw 21% / loss 37%.
Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
Away game
Kickoff 03:00 PM at Fort Collins Soccer Complex.
Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
What a win does
Colorado EDGE Pre- Select sit 1st on 3.00 PPG; we are on 3.00.
A win moves us above Colorado EDGE Pre- Select on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Arsenal Colorado Pre- Academy game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Colorado Storm Pre – Arsenal Colorado Pre- Academy) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 3 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our result	Rivals don't play	Likely results	Every rival wins
– Win · 3.00 PPG	2nd— holds	2nd— holds	2nd— holds
Win 3.00 PPG	2nd— holds	2nd— holds	2nd— holds
Draw 2.33 PPG	3rd▼ down 1	2nd— holds	3rd▼ down 1
Loss 2.00 PPG	4th▼ down 2	3rd▼ down 1	4th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–1 win we finish as high as 1st if every rival drops points, and as low as 2nd if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

34% finish 1st

98% top 4

2% below the top 4

2.2 average finish

1st 34%
2nd 31%
3rd 22%
4th 10%
5th 2%
6th <1%
7th
8th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 5 remaining known games (max 3.00 PPG if we win out).

#	Team	PPG	Proj.	To pass them
1	Colorado EDGE Pre- Select	3.00 (+0.00)	1st (2.29)	Win next game

Position over the season

3 game days

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.13 · 4th hardest of 8

Date	Opponent	Where	Difficulty	Win	Likely	Exp. pts	Run. PPG	Priority
Sun Nov 1 03:00 PM	Arsenal Colorado Pre- Academy 4th · 2-0-0 · GD +5	Away far trip Fort Collins Soccer Complex	●●●○○ Toss-up	42%	2–1	1.48	2.49	Swing game
Sun Nov 15 09:00 AM	Colorado Rush Pre- Blue 8th · 0-0-3 · GD -13	Home Regis University	●○○○○ Favorable	89%	4–0	2.75	2.56	Bank it
Sun Nov 22 09:00 AM	Colorado Storm Central Pre 6th · 0-0-2 · GD -3	Home Regis University	●●○○○ Lean win	74%	3–1	2.35	2.52	Bank it
Sat Mar 20 09:00 AM	Colorado EDGE Pre- Select 1st · 2-0-0 · GD +9	Away far trip Long Lake Regional Park · turf	●●●●○ Tough	33%	1–2	1.18	2.29	Upside
Sun Mar 21 09:00 AM	Real Colorado Pre- National 3rd · 2-0-0 · GD +5	Home Regis University	●●○○○ Lean win	61%	3–1	2.00	2.25	Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

Team

Pts

PPG

Form

SoS

Run-in

Top 4

Exp. finish

Colorado EDGE Pre- Select

3.00

-1.14

+0.20

98%

2.0

W	Sun Oct 18	at	Colorado Storm Central Pre (6th)	3–1
W	Sun Sep 20	vs	Colorado Rush Pre- Blue (8th)	7–0

Next: Sun Nov 1 vs Real Colorado Pre- National · Sun Nov 8 at Pride SC Pre- Predators · Sun Nov 15 at Real Colorado Pre- Academy See all 5 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	Real Colorado Pre- National (3rd)	3–2	66%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	Pride SC Pre- Predators (7th)	4–1	82%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	Real Colorado Pre- Academy (5th)	2–1	67%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	Arsenal Colorado Pre- Academy (4th)	2–2	46%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	Colorado Storm Pre (2nd)	2–1	47%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Colorado Storm Pre

3.00

-0.80

+0.13

98%

2.2

W	Sun Oct 18	vs	Real Colorado Pre- Academy (5th)	2–0
W	Sun Sep 20	vs	Pride SC Pre- Predators (7th)	5–0

Next: Sun Nov 1 at Arsenal Colorado Pre- Academy · Sun Nov 15 vs Colorado Rush Pre- Blue · Sun Nov 22 vs Colorado Storm Central Pre See all 5 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Nov 1	at	Arsenal Colorado Pre- Academy (4th)	2–1	42%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	Colorado Rush Pre- Blue (8th)	4–0	89%
·	Sun Nov 22	vs	Colorado Storm Central Pre (6th)	3–1	74%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	Colorado EDGE Pre- Select (1st)	1–2	33%
·	Sun Mar 21	vs	Real Colorado Pre- National (3rd)	3–1	61%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Real Colorado Pre- National

3.00

-1.61

+0.55

84%

3.4

W	Sun Oct 18	vs	Pride SC Pre- Predators (7th)	7–4
W	Tue Oct 6	at	Colorado Rush Pre- Blue (8th)	3–1

Next: Sun Nov 1 at Colorado EDGE Pre- Select · Sun Nov 15 vs Arsenal Colorado Pre- Academy · Sun Mar 14 at Real Colorado Pre- Academy See all 5 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Nov 1	at	Colorado EDGE Pre- Select (1st)	2–3	20%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	Arsenal Colorado Pre- Academy (4th)	2–2	41%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	Real Colorado Pre- Academy (5th)	2–2	53%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	Colorado Storm Central Pre (6th)	3–2	67%
·	Sun Mar 21	at	Colorado Storm Pre (2nd)	1–3	23%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Arsenal Colorado Pre- Academy

3.00

-1.25

+0.34

92%

2.9

W	Sun Oct 18	at	Colorado Rush Pre- Blue (8th)	4–0
W	Sun Sep 20	at	Colorado Storm Central Pre (6th)	3–2

Next: Sun Nov 1 vs Colorado Storm Pre · Sun Nov 15 at Real Colorado Pre- National · Sun Nov 22 at Real Colorado Pre- Academy See all 5 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	Colorado Storm Pre (2nd)	1–2	37%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	Real Colorado Pre- National (3rd)	2–2	42%
·	Sun Nov 22	at	Real Colorado Pre- Academy (5th)	2–1	56%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	Colorado EDGE Pre- Select (1st)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	Pride SC Pre- Predators (7th)	4–2	72%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Real Colorado Pre- Academy

-2

0.00

+1.18

-0.11

19%

5.4

Sun Oct 18

Colorado Storm Pre (2nd)

0–2

Next: Sun Nov 1 vs Colorado Storm Central Pre · Sun Nov 15 vs Colorado EDGE Pre- Select · Sun Nov 22 vs Arsenal Colorado Pre- Academy See all 6 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	Colorado Storm Central Pre (6th)	2–1	46%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	Colorado EDGE Pre- Select (1st)	1–2	17%
·	Sun Nov 22	vs	Arsenal Colorado Pre- Academy (4th)	1–2	25%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	Real Colorado Pre- National (3rd)	2–2	30%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	Colorado Rush Pre- Blue (8th)	2–1	61%
·	Sun Mar 21	at	Pride SC Pre- Predators (7th)	2–2	47%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Colorado Storm Central Pre

-3

0.00

+1.23

-0.36

5.9

L	Sun Oct 18	vs	Colorado EDGE Pre- Select (1st)	1–3
L	Sun Sep 20	vs	Arsenal Colorado Pre- Academy (4th)	2–3

Next: Sun Nov 1 at Real Colorado Pre- Academy · Sun Nov 15 vs Pride SC Pre- Predators · Sun Nov 22 at Colorado Storm Pre See all 5 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Nov 1	at	Real Colorado Pre- Academy (5th)	1–2	34%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	Pride SC Pre- Predators (7th)	3–2	59%
·	Sun Nov 22	at	Colorado Storm Pre (2nd)	1–3	12%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	Real Colorado Pre- National (3rd)	2–3	19%
·	Sun Mar 21	at	Colorado Rush Pre- Blue (8th)	2–1	61%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Pride SC Pre- Predators

-8

0.00

+0.90

-0.07

6.6

L	Sun Oct 18	at	Real Colorado Pre- National (3rd)	4–7
L	Sun Sep 20	at	Colorado Storm Pre (2nd)	0–5

Next: Sun Nov 1 vs Colorado Rush Pre- Blue · Sun Nov 8 vs Colorado EDGE Pre- Select · Sun Nov 15 at Colorado Storm Central Pre See all 5 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	Colorado Rush Pre- Blue (8th)	3–2	66%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	Colorado EDGE Pre- Select (1st)	1–4	9%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	Colorado Storm Central Pre (6th)	2–3	25%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	Arsenal Colorado Pre- Academy (4th)	2–4	15%
·	Sun Mar 21	vs	Real Colorado Pre- Academy (5th)	2–2	35%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Colorado Rush Pre- Blue

-13

0.00

LLL

+1.00

-0.24

7.6

L	Sun Oct 18	vs	Arsenal Colorado Pre- Academy (4th)	0–4
L	Tue Oct 6	vs	Real Colorado Pre- National (3rd)	1–3
L	Sun Sep 20	at	Colorado EDGE Pre- Select (1st)	0–7

Next: Sun Nov 1 at Pride SC Pre- Predators · Sun Nov 15 at Colorado Storm Pre · Sat Mar 20 vs Real Colorado Pre- Academy See all 4 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Nov 1	at	Pride SC Pre- Predators (7th)	2–3	20%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	Colorado Storm Pre (2nd)	0–4	4%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	Real Colorado Pre- Academy (5th)	1–2	21%
·	Sun Mar 21	vs	Colorado Storm Central Pre (6th)	1–2	21%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.48 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.