Stafford Revolution
ECNL Regional League Girls · Virginia GU18/19 · 7 teams · Stafford Soccer (all teams)
Next game
No remaining games on the published schedule.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 0 remaining known games (max 0.50 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Richmond United Blue | 2.50 (+2.00) | 1st (2.50) | — |
| 2 | Beach FC | 2.50 (+2.00) | 2nd (2.28) | — |
| 3 | Arlington Soccer Association | 2.25 (+1.75) | 3rd (1.87) | — |
| 4 | BRYC Academy | 1.50 (+1.00) | 4th (1.75) | — |
| 5 | VA Reign FC | 1.20 (+0.70) | 5th (1.13) | — |
Position over the season
9 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
No remaining games published.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Richmond United Blue | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 8 | +23 | 15 | 2.50 | LWWWW | -0.35 | — | 100% | 1.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 2 | Beach FC | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 5 | +9 | 10 | 2.50 | WWWD | -0.31 | -0.05 | 100% | 2.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at VA Reign FC · Sun Nov 1 at Arlington Soccer Association See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Arlington Soccer Association | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | +3 | 9 | 2.25 | WLWW | -0.58 | +0.92 | 98% | 3.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at BRYC Academy · Sun Nov 1 vs Beach FC See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | BRYC Academy | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | +4 | 6 | 1.50 | LWLW | +0.28 | -1.02 | 99% | 3.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Arlington Soccer Association · Sun Nov 1 vs Virginia Valor FC See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | VA Reign FC | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 6 | 1.20 | WWLLL | +0.02 | +1.12 | 3% | 5.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Beach FC See all 1 future matchup ▸ |
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| 6 | Stafford Revolution | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 25 | -16 | 3 | 0.50 | LLWLL | +0.29 | — | 0% | 6.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 7 | Virginia Valor FC | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 23 | -20 | 1 | 0.20 | LLLDL | +0.34 | +0.72 | 0% | 7.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 at BRYC Academy See all 1 future matchup ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.30 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.