ECNL Regional League Girls · 2026-27 · Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25
Week 11 in NorCal GU13: what changed
12 games · 45 goals
Week 11 in NorCal GU13 (Oct 19 to Oct 25): 12 games, 45 goals. Napa United climbed 5 places to 19th. Stanford Strikers slipped 4 places to 26th. Elk Grove Soccer lead on 2.71 points per game. The biggest upset was Reno APEX Soccer Club ENCL RL 1–2 Napa United, a result the model gave a 22% chance. Next week's game to watch: Elk Grove Soccer vs Folsom Lake Surf on Sunday.
Results
Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25
Sun Oct 25
- Santa Clara Sporting (11th) 4–1 (26th) Stanford Strikers
- Diablo Valley Futbol Club (21st) 1–1 (10th) East County Revolution FC
- Association FC (8th) 0–2 (4th) Walnut Creek Surf
- SF United FC (24th) 2–4 (14th) North Coast FC BLUE
- Alameda Soccer Club Islanders (28th) 0–7 (2nd) Burlingame SC
- Eastshore Alliance FC (22nd) 0–1 (15th) San Ramon FC
- San Francisco Elite Academy (9th) 1–4 (1st) Elk Grove Soccer
- Los Gatos United Soccer Club (16th) 0–3 (20th) Solano Surf
- Merced United (3rd) 2–0 (18th) Santa Cruz United FC
- Reno APEX Soccer Club ENCL RL (17th) 1–2 (19th) Napa United
- OV Toros FC (12th) 2–3 (7th) Livermore Fusion SC
- South Valley Chivas (25th) 2–2 (6th) Palo Alto SC
Movers
table position and finish odds, before and after the week
| Team | Before | After | Change | Top 4 odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napa United | 24th | 19th | ▲5 | — |
| Solano Surf | 25th | 20th | ▲5 | — |
| Stanford Strikers | 22nd | 26th | ▼4 | — |
| Santa Clara Sporting | 14th | 11th | ▲3 | — |
| North Coast FC BLUE | 17th | 14th | ▲3 | — |
| San Ramon FC | 18th | 15th | ▲3 | — |
| Los Gatos United Soccer Club | 13th | 16th | ▼3 | — |
| Eastshore Alliance FC | 19th | 22nd | ▼3 | — |
Positions are the table re-sorted after the last game of each week. Odds come from the nightly forecast snapshot nearest each end of the week; a dash means no snapshot exists yet.
Upsets
winner's odds under 30%
- Sun Oct 25 · model favoured Reno APEX Soccer Club ENCL RL
How likely each result was by today's ratings.
Next week: games that matter
Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1
-
44% · 22% · 34% — KEY GAME toss-up, zone race on the line
-
Valley Surf (27th) vs Merced United (3rd) Sat Oct 313% · 8% · 90% — KEY GAME zone race on the line
-
Palo Alto SC (6th) vs Solano Surf (20th) Sun Nov 174% · 16% · 10% — KEY GAME zone race on the line
-
32% · 22% · 46% — KEY GAME toss-up
-
28% · 24% · 48% — KEY GAME toss-up