Preview · Sunday, Oct 25, 10:00 AM
Merced United vs Santa Cruz United FC
Merced College · Field 3 ↗ · 95348
Forecast
88%
4%
Merced United windrawSanta Cruz United FC win
Most likely score 3–0 (expected goals 4.0 home, 0.9 away)
| Season so far | Merced United | Santa Cruz United FC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 3rd | 16th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 5-1-0 | 2-2-3 |
| Points per game | 2.67 | 1.14 |
| Goals for / game | 4.0 | 1.7 |
| Goals against / game | 0.7 | 2.3 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 3 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W W W | D L D W L |
| Biggest win | 6–0 vs South Valley Chivas | 5–0 vs West Coast Soccer -RL |
| Worst loss | — | 0–5 at Burlingame SC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +2.05 | -0.43 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.22 | +0.08 |
Common opponents: East County Revolution FC — Merced United 4–1; Santa Cruz United FC 0–0.
What's at stake
| Merced United | Santa Cruz United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 3rd | 16th |
| Games left | 9 | 8 |
| Chance of top 4 | 34% | 0% |
| Chance of 1st | 4% | 0% |
| Average finish | 5.0 | 17.8 |
How the results connect
9 chains
8 favour Merced United, 1 favour Santa Cruz United FC; average margin +4.4 goals toward Merced United.
- +3Merced United beat East County Revolution FC 4–1 → East County Revolution FC drew with Santa Cruz United FC 0–0
- +1Merced United beat Belmont United Soccer Club 5–0 → Belmont United Soccer Club lost to East County Revolution FC 1–5 → East County Revolution FC drew with Santa Cruz United FC 0–0
- -2Merced United beat Reno APEX Soccer Club ENCL RL 2–1 → Reno APEX Soccer Club ENCL RL lost to Los Gatos United Soccer Club 2–3 → Los Gatos United Soccer Club lost to Santa Cruz United FC 2–4
- +3Merced United drew with Folsom Lake Surf 1–1 → Folsom Lake Surf beat West Coast Soccer -RL 8–0 → West Coast Soccer -RL lost to Santa Cruz United FC 0–5
- +5Merced United beat Belmont United Soccer Club 5–0 → Belmont United Soccer Club drew with San Ramon FC 1–1 → San Ramon FC drew with Santa Cruz United FC 1–1
- +6Merced United beat Diablo Valley Futbol Club 6–1 → Diablo Valley Futbol Club lost to Palo Alto SC 0–2 → Palo Alto SC beat Santa Cruz United FC 3–0
Full picture: Merced United · Santa Cruz United FC · NorCal GU13 standings