Tennessee United SC
ECNL Regional League Girls · Mid-America GU15 · 9 teams · Tennessee United SC (all teams)
Next game — Sun Nov 22, 01:00 PM
Mike Rose Soccer Complex, Field 11 ↗ far trip
●●●●○ Tough to win
Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.9 for, 2.1 against · 1.25 expected points)
| Season so far | Tennessee United SC | Germantown Legends |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 8th | 4th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
| Points per game | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Goals for / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals against / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | — | — |
| Biggest win | — | — |
| Worst loss | — | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.00 | +0.00 |
Game plan
-
They struggle to score
Germantown Legends average 0.0 goals/game (league avg 2.0); blanked in 0 of 0.A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
-
Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 35%; a draw (21%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
-
Away game
Kickoff 01:00 PM at Mike Rose Soccer Complex.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
-
What a win does
Tennessee SC Murfreesboro sit 7th on 0.00 PPG; we are on 0.00.A point moves us above Tennessee SC Murfreesboro on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Germantown Legends game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Tennessee United SC – Germantown Legends) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 0 other games that week (Mon Nov 16 – Sun Nov 22); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Loss · 0.00 PPG |
8th— holds | 8th— holds | 8th— holds |
| Win 3.00 PPG |
2nd▲ up 6 | 2nd▲ up 6 | 2nd▲ up 6 |
| Draw 1.00 PPG |
3rd▲ up 5 | 3rd▲ up 5 | 3rd▲ up 5 |
| Loss 0.00 PPG |
8th— holds | 8th— holds | 8th— holds |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we stay 8th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 7%
- 2nd 12%
- 3rd 12%
- 4th 13%
- 5th 13%
- 6th 14%
- 7th 13%
- 8th 12%
- 9th 5%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 16 remaining known games (max 3.00 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mississippi Rush United | 3.00 (+3.00) | 1st (1.95) | Win next game |
| 2 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 0.00 (+0.00) | 6th (1.40) | Already ahead |
| 3 | FC Alliance TN | 0.00 (+0.00) | 7th (1.40) | Already ahead |
| 4 | Germantown Legends | 0.00 (+0.00) | 3rd (1.40) | Already ahead |
| 5 | Indy Eleven Spirit | 0.00 (+0.00) | 2nd (1.43) | Already ahead |
| 6 | Lobos Rush | 0.00 (+0.00) | 8th (1.40) | Already ahead |
| 7 | Tennessee SC Murfreesboro | 0.00 (+0.00) | 4th (1.40) | Already ahead |
Position over the season
2 game days
Not enough game days yet to draw a line.
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.00 · 7th hardest of 9
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Nov 22 01:00 PM |
Germantown Legends 4th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away far trip
Mike Rose Soccer Complex |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
1–2 | 1.25 | 1.25 | Upside |
| Sat Dec 12 04:00 PM |
Lobos Rush 6th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away far trip
W.C. Johnson Turf Park · turf |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
1–2 | 1.25 | 1.25 | Upside |
| Sat Jan 30 09:00 AM |
Chattanooga Red Wolves 2nd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away far trip
CSLA |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
1–2 | 1.25 | 1.25 | Upside |
| Sun Jan 31 09:00 AM |
FC Alliance TN 3rd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away far trip
UT Rec Center |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
1–2 | 1.25 | 1.25 | Upside |
| Sun Feb 21 10:00 AM |
Tennessee SC Murfreesboro 7th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away far trip
Richard Siegel Soccer Complex |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
1–2 | 1.25 | 1.25 | Upside |
| Sat Feb 27 03:00 PM |
Indy Eleven Spirit 5th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home Drakes Creek Park (DCP) |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 45% |
2–1 | 1.54 | 1.30 | Swing game |
| Sat Mar 6 03:00 PM |
Chattanooga Red Wolves 2nd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home Moss Wright Park (MWP) |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 45% |
2–1 | 1.54 | 1.33 | Swing game |
| Sun Mar 7 01:00 PM |
FC Alliance TN 3rd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home Drakes Creek Park (DCP) |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 45% |
2–1 | 1.54 | 1.36 | Swing game |
| Sat Mar 13 TBD |
Indy Eleven Spirit 5th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
1–2 | 1.25 | 1.35 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 20 01:00 PM |
Mississippi Rush United 1st · 2-0-0 · GD +4 |
Home Drakes Creek Park (DCP) |
●●●●○ Tough | 31% |
1–2 | 1.12 | 1.33 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 21 09:00 AM |
Mississippi Surf 9th · 0-0-2 · GD -4 |
Home Drakes Creek Park (DCP) |
●●○○○ Lean win | 59% |
2–1 | 1.96 | 1.38 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 10 03:00 PM |
Lobos Rush 6th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home Moss Wright Park (MWP) |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 45% |
2–1 | 1.54 | 1.40 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 11 01:00 PM |
Germantown Legends 4th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home Drakes Creek Park (DCP) |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 45% |
2–1 | 1.54 | 1.41 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 24 TBD |
Mississippi Surf 9th · 0-0-2 · GD -4 |
Away |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 49% |
2–1 | 1.67 | 1.43 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 25 11:00 AM |
Mississippi Rush United 1st · 2-0-0 · GD +4 |
Away far trip
Freedom Ridge Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 22% |
1–2 | 0.86 | 1.39 | Upside |
| Sat May 1 03:00 PM |
Tennessee SC Murfreesboro 7th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home Moss Wright Park (MWP) |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 45% |
2–1 | 1.54 | 1.40 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mississippi Rush United | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | +4 | 6 | 3.00 | WW | -0.72 | +0.00 | 93% | 1.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Feb 20 at FC Alliance TN · Sun Feb 21 at Chattanooga Red Wolves · Sat Mar 20 at Tennessee United SC See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
No games played yet. Next: Sat Nov 14 vs Tennessee SC Murfreesboro · Sat Dec 5 at Germantown Legends · Sun Dec 6 at Lobos Rush See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | FC Alliance TN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
No games played yet. Next: Sat Dec 5 at Lobos Rush · Sun Dec 6 at Germantown Legends · Sat Dec 12 vs Tennessee SC Murfreesboro See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | Germantown Legends | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
No games played yet. Next: Sun Nov 22 vs Tennessee United SC · Sat Dec 5 vs Chattanooga Red Wolves · Sun Dec 6 vs FC Alliance TN See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | Indy Eleven Spirit | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
No games played yet. Next: Sat Dec 12 vs Germantown Legends · Sat Feb 6 at FC Alliance TN · Sun Feb 7 at Chattanooga Red Wolves See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | Lobos Rush | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
No games played yet. Next: Sat Dec 5 vs FC Alliance TN · Sun Dec 6 vs Chattanooga Red Wolves · Sat Dec 12 vs Tennessee United SC See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | Tennessee SC Murfreesboro | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
No games played yet. Next: Sat Nov 14 at Chattanooga Red Wolves · Sat Dec 5 vs Mississippi Surf · Sat Dec 12 at FC Alliance TN See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | Tennessee United SC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
No games played yet. Next: Sun Nov 22 at Germantown Legends · Sat Dec 12 at Lobos Rush · Sat Jan 30 at Chattanooga Red Wolves See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | Mississippi Surf | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 0 | 0.00 | LL | +0.72 | +0.00 | 3% | 8.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Dec 5 at Tennessee SC Murfreesboro · Sat Feb 20 at Chattanooga Red Wolves · Sun Feb 21 at FC Alliance TN See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.96 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.