Athletic Club Florida Miami
ECNL Regional League Girls · Florida GU17 · 8 teams · Athletic Club Florida (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 24, 11:00 AM
●●●●● Very tough to win
Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.1 for, 2.5 against · 0.63 expected points)
| Season so far | Athletic Club Florida Miami | SFFA |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 5th | 2nd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 2-0-3 | 3-0-1 |
| Points per game | 1.20 | 2.25 |
| Goals for / game | 1.8 | 3.5 |
| Goals against / game | 2.0 | 0.3 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 3 |
| Held scoreless | 2 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | W L L W L | W L W W |
| Biggest win | 4–2 at AC Florida West | 9–0 vs Athletic Club Florida |
| Worst loss | 2–4 vs SWFL PREMIER FC | 0–1 at Cape Coral SA |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.03 | +1.63 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.62 | -0.58 |
Already played this season: Sun Sep 13 0–1 at SFFA (L)
Common opponents: ACF Sunrise — we 0–1; they 4–0. Cape Coral SA — we 3–2; they 0–1.
Game plan
-
Respect their attack
SFFA score 3.5/game — well above the league's 1.9.Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.
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Hard to break down
SFFA concede only 0.2/game with 3 clean sheet(s).Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–1 at SFFA, 0–1 at ACF Sunrise.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 15%; a draw (17%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the SFFA game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Athletic Club Florida Miami – SFFA) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Loss · 1.00 PPG |
5th— holds | 6th▼ down 1 | 7th▼ down 2 |
| Win 1.50 PPG |
5th— holds | 4th▲ up 1 | 5th— holds |
| Draw 1.17 PPG |
5th— holds | 6th▼ down 1 | 7th▼ down 2 |
| Loss 1.00 PPG |
5th— holds | 6th▼ down 1 | 7th▼ down 2 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we stay 5th even if every rival loses, and as low as 7th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd 2%
- 3rd 25%
- 4th 39%
- 5th 25%
- 6th 8%
- 7th 2%
- 8th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 9 remaining known games (max 2.36 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SWFL PREMIER FC | 3.00 (+1.80) | 1st (2.48) | 36 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | SFFA | 2.25 (+1.05) | 2nd (2.29) | 26 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection |
| 3 | Cape Coral SA | 2.00 (+0.80) | 3rd (1.71) | 22 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 18 for their projection |
| 4 | ACF Sunrise | 1.75 (+0.55) | 5th (1.35) | 19 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 13 for their projection |
How the results connect
9 chains · 7 teams
Paths of results that link Athletic Club Florida Miami to SFFA through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
8 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.34 · 8th hardest of 8
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Sep 12 03:00 PM no score posted |
Team Boca 6th · 1-1-2 · GD -7 |
Away far trip
SPANISH RIVER SPORTS COMPLEX |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 53% |
2–1 | 1.80 | 1.30 | Swing game |
| Sat Oct 24 11:00 AM |
SFFA 2nd · 3-0-1 · GD +13 |
Home Miami Dade College |
●●●●● Very tough | 15% |
1–2 | 0.63 | 1.20 | Upside |
| Sun Oct 25 10:30 AM |
Team Boca 6th · 1-1-2 · GD -7 |
Home Southeast Park |
●●○○○ Lean win | 62% |
2–1 | 2.05 | 1.31 | Swing game |
| Sat Oct 31 09:00 AM |
Athletic Club Florida 8th · 0-0-5 · GD -20 |
Away Miami Dade College Kendall Campus |
●○○○○ Favorable | 78% |
2–0 | 2.47 | 1.44 | Bank it |
| Sat Mar 6 11:30 AM |
ACF Sunrise 4th · 2-1-1 · GD -1 |
Home Miami Dade College |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
1–1 | 1.66 | 1.46 | Swing game |
| Sun Mar 7 11:30 AM |
AC Florida West 7th · 1-0-4 · GD -1 |
Home Miami Dade College |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 49% |
2–1 | 1.68 | 1.48 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 10 11:00 AM |
Cape Coral SA 3rd · 4-0-2 · GD +0 |
Away far trip
Cape Coral Sports Complex |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
1–2 | 1.25 | 1.46 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 11 01:00 PM |
SWFL PREMIER FC 1st · 5-0-0 · GD +17 |
Away far trip
Lakewood Ranch Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 12% |
1–3 | 0.46 | 1.38 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 17 11:30 AM |
Athletic Club Florida 8th · 0-0-5 · GD -20 |
Home Miami Dade College |
●○○○○ Favorable | 85% |
3–0 | 2.64 | 1.47 | Bank it |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | SWFL PREMIER FC | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 7 | +17 | 15 | 3.00 | WWWWW | -0.64 | -0.04 | 100% | 1.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs AC Florida West · Sun Oct 25 vs ACF Sunrise · Sat Mar 6 vs SFFA See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | SFFA | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 1 | +13 | 9 | 2.25 | WWLW | -0.58 | -0.08 | 100% | 1.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 26 at AC Florida West · Sat Oct 24 at Athletic Club Florida Miami · Sun Oct 25 at Athletic Club Florida See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Cape Coral SA | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 13 | +0 | 12 | 2.00 | WWLWL | +0.02 | -0.02 | 84% | 3.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 12 at ACF Sunrise · Sat Oct 24 vs ACF Sunrise · Sun Oct 25 vs AC Florida West See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | ACF Sunrise | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 7 | 1.75 | WWDL | -0.32 | +0.19 | 40% | 4.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Mon Jan 1 at Athletic Club Florida · Sun Aug 23 at AC Florida West · Sat Sep 12 vs Cape Coral SA See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Athletic Club Florida Miami | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 6 | 1.20 | LWLLW | +0.62 | -0.34 | 65% | 4.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 12 at Team Boca · Sat Oct 24 vs SFFA · Sun Oct 25 vs Team Boca See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Team Boca | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 4 | 1.00 | LLWD | +0.35 | +0.03 | 5% | 6.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 12 vs Athletic Club Florida Miami · Sun Sep 13 vs Athletic Club Florida · Sat Oct 24 at Athletic Club Florida See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | AC Florida West | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 3 | 0.60 | LLWLL | -0.17 | +0.19 | 6% | 6.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Aug 23 vs ACF Sunrise · Sat Sep 26 vs SFFA · Sat Oct 24 at SWFL PREMIER FC See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Athletic Club Florida | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 21 | -20 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +0.62 | +0.16 | 0% | 8.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Mon Jan 1 vs ACF Sunrise · Sun Sep 13 at Team Boca · Sat Oct 24 vs Team Boca See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.89 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.