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DKSC

ECNL Regional League Boys · Texas BU17 · 16 teams · DKSC (all teams)

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16th
0-0-7 record · 7 played
0.00 points per game
-31 goal diff · 4–35
LLLLLlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 15.7
+0.28 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 11:00 AM

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DKSC
16th · 0.00 PPG
vs
Lonestar ATX White
9th · 1.67 PPG

Coppell Middle School West, Field 1 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 0–3 (expected goals 0.9 for, 3.5 against · 0.28 expected points)

Season so farDKSCLonestar ATX White
Position16th9th
Record (W-D-L)0-0-73-1-2
Points per game0.001.67
Goals for / game0.61.5
Goals against / game5.01.3
Clean sheets01
Held scoreless42
Form (recent first)L L L L LL W L W W
Biggest win—4–0 vs HTX S
Worst loss0–9 at HTX N0–3 vs Sting
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-2.96+0.10
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.28+0.20

Common opponents: Sting — we 1–5; they 0–3. SOLAR SC — we 0–7; they 2–1. Houstonians FC — we 0–4; they 0–2. HTX S — we 2–4; they 4–0.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 4 time(s): 0–3 at CHALLENGE UNITED, 0–9 at HTX N, 0–7 at SOLAR SC, 0–4 vs Houstonians FC.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 6%; a draw (10%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • What a win does
    San Antonio City SC sit 15th on 0.00 PPG; we are on 0.00.

    A point moves us above San Antonio City SC on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Lonestar ATX White game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (DKSC – Lonestar ATX White) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 8 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.00 PPG
16th— holds 16th— holds 16th— holds
Win
0.38 PPG
15th▲ up 1 15th▲ up 1 16th— holds
Draw
0.13 PPG
15th▲ up 1 15th▲ up 1 16th— holds
Loss
0.00 PPG
16th— holds 16th— holds 16th— holds

Can we move up this round? No. With a 0–3 loss we stay 16th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
15.7 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th
  10. 10th
  11. 11th
  12. 12th
  13. 13th
  14. 14th 1%
  15. 15th 31%
  16. 16th 69%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 8 remaining known games (max 1.60 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 RISE SC 2.50 (+2.50) 5th (1.91) 38 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Nido Dallas 2.40 (+2.40) 1st (2.46) 36 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 37 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 HTX N 2.29 (+2.29) 2nd (2.18) 35 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 33 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
4 CHALLENGE UNITED 2.29 (+2.29) 6th (1.80) 35 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
5 Sting 2.17 (+2.17) 4th (1.94) 33 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
6 Houstonians FC 2.00 (+2.00) 3rd (2.02) 30 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
7 FC Westlake 2.00 (+2.00) 7th (1.71) 30 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
8 SAFC 1.71 (+1.71) 8th (1.63) 26 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
9 Lonestar ATX White 1.67 (+1.67) 9th (1.53) 26 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 24 for their projection
10 SOLAR SC 1.43 (+1.43) 10th (1.28) 22 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection
11 Dallas Texans 1.25 (+1.25) 11th (1.08) 19 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 17 for their projection
12 FC Dallas Youth 1.13 (+1.13) 12th (1.06) 17 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 16 for their projection
13 Albion Hurricanes FC 0.75 (+0.75) 13th (1.05) 12 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 16 for their projection
14 HTX S 0.75 (+0.75) 14th (0.74) 12 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 12 for their projection
15 San Antonio City SC 0.00 (+0.00) 15th (0.25) Already ahead

How the results connect

14 chains · 11 teams

Paths of results that link DKSC to Lonestar ATX White through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

1 favour us
13 favour them
-4.9 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–5 3–0 0–4 2–0 2–4 0–4 0–7 1–2 1–0 4–1 1–3 2–1 1–2 0–1 0–3 1–1 0–3 1–0 0–9 0–0 DKSC 16th Sting 5th Houstonians FC 6th HTX S 14th SOLAR SC 10th Dallas Texans 11th CHALLENGE UNITED 4th HTX N 3rd Albion Hurricanes FC 13th RISE SC 1st Lonestar ATX White 9th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

11 game days

1st 8th 16th Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 3 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.20 · 6th hardest of 16

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 3
01:00 PM
no score posted
RISE SC
1st · 3-1-0 · GD +6
Home
Coppell Middle School West
●●●●● Very tough
3%
0–3 0.15 0.02 Upside
Sun Oct 4
01:00 PM
no score posted
Albion Hurricanes FC
13th · 1-0-3 · GD -1
Home
Coppell Middle School North
●●●●● Very tough
9%
0–2 0.42 0.06 Upside
Sat Oct 24
11:00 AM
Lonestar ATX White
9th · 3-1-2 · GD +1
Home
Coppell Middle School West
●●●●● Very tough
6%
0–3 0.28 0.08 Upside
Sun Oct 25
11:00 AM
FC Westlake
7th · 2-2-0 · GD +7
Home
Coppell Middle School West
●●●●● Very tough
2%
0–4 0.12 0.09 Upside
Sat Nov 7
01:00 PM
San Antonio City SC
15th · 0-0-7 · GD -20
Away far trip
Specht Soccer Complex
●●●●○ Tough
31%
1–1 1.19 0.18 Upside
Sun Nov 8
TBD
SAFC
8th · 4-0-3 · GD +6
Away
●●●●● Very tough
1%
1–6 0.06 0.17 Upside
Sat Apr 24
09:00 AM
FC Dallas Youth
12th · 3-0-5 · GD -11
Away
Toyota Soccer Center
●●●●● Very tough
11%
1–2 0.49 0.19 Upside
Sat May 1
TBD
Nido Dallas
2nd · 4-0-1 · GD +19
Home
●●●●● Very tough
0%
0–6 0.01 0.18 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 RISE SC 4310 71+6 102.50 DWWW -0.35 +0.13 44% 5.0
2 Nido Dallas 5401 212+19 122.40 WWLWW +0.09 -0.21 99% 1.4
3 HTX N 7511 258+17 162.29 LWDWW -0.30 +0.18 86% 2.9
4 CHALLENGE UNITED 7511 147+7 162.29 WWWDW -0.70 +0.64 25% 6.0
5 Sting 6411 142+12 132.17 WWWDW -0.78 +0.53 50% 4.7
6 Houstonians FC 5311 102+8 102.00 WWDWL +0.23 -0.13 64% 4.1
7 FC Westlake 4220 114+7 82.00 WWDD -0.51 +0.22 19% 6.6
8 SAFC 7403 2115+6 121.71 LWWWL +0.00 -0.02 9% 7.2
9 Lonestar ATX White 6312 98+1 101.67 WWLWL +0.20 -0.04 3% 8.2
10 SOLAR SC 7313 1613+3 101.43 WLWLD -0.58 +0.60 0% 10.1
11 Dallas Texans 8314 1417-3 101.25 LLWDL -0.26 +0.53 0% 11.6
12 FC Dallas Youth 8305 718-11 91.13 WWWLL +0.38 -0.23 0% 11.9
13 Albion Hurricanes FC 4103 45-1 30.75 LWLL -0.10 +0.13 0% 11.7
14 HTX S 8206 929-20 60.75 LLLLW +0.29 -0.01 0% 13.7
15 San Antonio City SC 7007 121-20 00.00 LLLLL +0.35 -0.01 0% 15.3
16 DKSC 7007 435-31 00.00 LLLLL +0.28 +0.20 0% 15.7

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.76 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.