TableChase Clubs

DKSC

ECNL Girls · Texas GU18/19 · 16 teams · DKSC (all teams)

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11th
2-0-4 record · 6 played
1.00 points per game
-1 goal diff · 14–15
LWLLLlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 8.9
+0.18 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 01:00 PM

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DKSC
11th · 1.00 PPG
at
West Side Alliance
14th · 0.50 PPG

RiverCity Parks, Field 9 ↗ far trip

windrawloss

●●●○○ Toss-up to win

Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.4 for, 1.6 against · 1.82 expected points)

Season so farDKSCWest Side Alliance
Position11th14th
Record (W-D-L)2-0-41-0-5
Points per game1.000.50
Goals for / game2.31.0
Goals against / game2.52.3
Clean sheets10
Held scoreless13
Form (recent first)L L L W LL L L L W
Biggest win5–0 vs Albion Hurricanes FC3–2 vs Lonestar ATX Red
Worst loss0–3 at SOLAR SC2–6 at Challenge SC
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.03-0.89
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.18-0.11

Common opponents: Albion Hurricanes FC — we 5–0; they 1–2. Challenge SC — we 1–2; they 2–6.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–3 at SOLAR SC.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 54% / draw 19% / loss 26%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • Confidence is low on their side
    West Side Alliance have lost 4 straight (form: WLLLL).

    Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 01:00 PM at RiverCity Parks.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    Albion Hurricanes FC sit 10th on 1.10 PPG; we are on 1.00.

    A point moves us above Albion Hurricanes FC on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the West Side Alliance game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (DKSC – West Side Alliance) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 10 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 1.29 PPG
8th▲ up 3 8th▲ up 3 10th▲ up 1
Win
1.29 PPG
8th▲ up 3 8th▲ up 3 10th▲ up 1
Draw
1.00 PPG
11th— holds 11th— holds 11th— holds
Loss
0.86 PPG
11th— holds 11th— holds 15th▼ down 4

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–1 win we finish as high as 6th if every rival drops points, and as low as 10th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
8.9 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th <1%
  5. 5th 2%
  6. 6th 10%
  7. 7th 17%
  8. 8th 18%
  9. 9th 16%
  10. 10th 14%
  11. 11th 10%
  12. 12th 8%
  13. 13th 4%
  14. 14th 2%
  15. 15th <1%
  16. 16th <1%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 9 remaining known games (max 2.20 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Real Colorado National 2.67 (+1.67) 1st (2.65) 35 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 34 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 SOLAR SC 2.63 (+1.63) 2nd (2.42) 34 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 FC Dallas Youth 2.60 (+1.60) 4th (2.06) 33 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection
4 Sting Black 2.17 (+1.17) 5th (2.03) 27 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection
5 FC Westlake 2.00 (+1.00) 3rd (2.10) 24 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection
6 Challenge SC 1.56 (+0.56) 7th (1.48) 18 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 17 for their projection
7 Sting Royal 1.33 (+0.33) 9th (1.25) 14 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 13 for their projection
8 Colorado Storm 1.27 (+0.27) 10th (1.23) A point next game
9 Colorado Rush 1.20 (+0.20) 6th (1.50) A point next game
10 Albion Hurricanes FC 1.10 (+0.10) 11th (1.08) A point next game

How the results connect

22 chains · 11 teams

Paths of results that link DKSC to West Side Alliance through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

13 favour us
3 even
6 favour them
+1.4 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–2 6–2 5–0 2–1 1–3 2–1 1–0 2–2 2–0 0–3 4–0 2–3 3–4 2–3 1–2 1–0 2–2 2–1 1–3 2–2 3–0 DKSC 11th Challenge SC 6th Albion Hurricanes FC 10th Real Colorado Natio… 1st SOLAR SC 2nd Colorado Storm 8th FC Westlake 5th Sting Royal 7th Lonestar ATX Red 15th FC Dallas Youth 3rd West Side Alliance 14th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

16 game days

1st 8th 16th Aug 22 Sep 5 Sep 19 Sep 27 Oct 11 Oct 21

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.11 · 12th hardest of 16

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
01:00 PM
West Side Alliance
14th · 1-0-5 · GD -8
Away far trip
RiverCity Parks
●●●○○ Toss-up
54%
2–1 1.82 1.12 Swing game
Sun Oct 25
11:00 AM
OK Energy FC
13th · 1-1-4 · GD -4
Away far trip
Edmond Soccer Club
●●●○○ Toss-up
44%
2–2 1.49 1.16 Swing game
Sat Oct 31
12:00 PM
FC Westlake
5th · 5-1-2 · GD +14
Away far trip
Cedar Ridge High School · turf?
●●●●● Very tough
14%
1–3 0.55 1.10 Upside
Sun Nov 1
09:00 AM
Lonestar ATX Red
15th · 1-1-6 · GD -18
Away far trip
Burger Activity Center · turf?
●●○○○ Lean win
65%
3–1 2.10 1.20 Swing game
Sat Dec 5
10:00 AM
Sting Royal
7th · 2-2-2 · GD -4
Home
JUNE SHELTON SCHOOL
●●●○○ Toss-up
53%
2–1 1.79 1.25 Swing game
Sat Dec 12
11:00 AM
Colorado Rush
9th · 2-0-3 · GD +3
Home
Clark East Field
●●●●○ Tough
35%
1–2 1.26 1.25 Upside
Sun Dec 13
01:00 PM
Real Colorado Athletico
16th · 0-2-5 · GD -14
Home
Clark East Field
●●○○○ Lean win
71%
3–1 2.29 1.33 Bank it
Sun Apr 18
TBD
FC Dallas Youth
3rd · 4-1-0 · GD +7
Home
●●●●○ Tough
26%
1–2 1.00 1.31 Upside
Sat May 8
TBD
Sting Black
4th · 4-1-1 · GD +10
Away
●●●●● Very tough
16%
1–2 0.63 1.26 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Real Colorado National 121020 389+29 322.67 WWWWW -0.04 -0.53 100% 1.2
2 SOLAR SC 8701 266+20 212.63 LWWWW -0.12 -0.11 97% 2.3
3 FC Dallas Youth 5410 114+7 132.60 WDWWW -0.05 -0.08 61% 4.1
4 Sting Black 6411 155+10 132.17 WDWWL -0.14 -0.01 60% 4.1
5 FC Westlake 8512 2410+14 162.00 DWWLW -0.09 -0.13 76% 3.7
6 Challenge SC 9423 2022-2 141.56 WDWWW +0.00 -0.02 1% 7.4
7 Sting Royal 6222 711-4 81.33 DDWWL +0.34 -0.20 0% 9.3
8 Colorado Storm 11425 2124-3 141.27 LWLLW -0.04 +0.23 0% 9.3
9 Colorado Rush 5203 107+3 61.20 LLWLW -0.14 -0.03 4% 7.1
10 Albion Hurricanes FC 10325 1322-9 111.10 LLLWW +0.04 +0.01 0% 10.7
11 DKSC 6204 1415-1 61.00 LWLLL +0.18 -0.11 0% 8.9
12 Dallas Texans 9216 1333-20 70.78 LLLWL +0.39 -0.29 0% 13.4
13 OK Energy FC 6114 1317-4 40.67 DLLLL -0.11 +0.10 0% 11.4
14 West Side Alliance 6105 614-8 30.50 WLLLL -0.11 +0.15 0% 13.7
15 Lonestar ATX Red 8116 1230-18 40.50 LLWLL -0.08 +0.28 0% 14.8
16 Real Colorado Athletico 7025 620-14 20.29 DLLLL +0.21 +0.01 0% 14.7

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.96 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.