Result · Saturday, Oct 3, 11:00 AM
Sting Black 2–2 Challenge SC
Coppell Middle School North · Turf Field ↗ · turf · 75019
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 16% chance — an upset. Pre-match odds were 69% home, 16% draw, 15% away, most likely 2–1.
| Season so far | Sting Black | Challenge SC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 4th | 6th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 4-1-1 | 4-2-3 |
| Points per game | 2.17 | 1.56 |
| Goals for / game | 2.5 | 2.2 |
| Goals against / game | 0.8 | 2.4 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | L W W D W | W W W D W |
| Biggest win | 4–0 vs Sting Royal | 6–2 vs West Side Alliance |
| Worst loss | 0–2 at Real Colorado National | 0–6 vs SOLAR SC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.02 | -0.09 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.14 | +0.00 |
Already met this season: Oct 3 2–2 (home for Sting Black)
Common opponents: Dallas Texans — Sting Black 4–0; Challenge SC 2–4. Colorado Storm — Sting Black 3–0; Challenge SC 3–1. Real Colorado National — Sting Black 0–2; Challenge SC 1–3.
What's at stake
| Sting Black | Challenge SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 4th | 6th |
| Games left | 9 | 6 |
| Chance of top 4 | 59% | 1% |
| Chance of 1st | 1% | 0% |
| Average finish | 4.2 | 7.3 |
How the results connect
28 chains
20 favour Sting Black, 5 favour Challenge SC, 3 even; average margin +2.3 goals toward Sting Black.
- 0Sting Black drew with Challenge SC 2–2
- 0Sting Black lost to Real Colorado National 0–2 → Real Colorado National beat Challenge SC 3–1
- +1Sting Black beat Colorado Storm 3–0 → Colorado Storm lost to Challenge SC 1–3
- +6Sting Black beat Dallas Texans 4–0 → Dallas Texans beat Challenge SC 4–2
- 0Sting Black beat Albion Hurricanes FC 2–1 → Albion Hurricanes FC lost to Real Colorado National 0–3 → Real Colorado National beat Challenge SC 3–1
- -1Sting Black lost to Real Colorado National 0–2 → Real Colorado National beat DKSC 3–1 → DKSC lost to Challenge SC 1–2
Full picture: Sting Black · Challenge SC · Texas GU18/19 standings